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ProSense

(116,464 posts)
Sun Sep 16, 2012, 07:42 PM Sep 2012

PPP: Elizabeth Warren leads in the MA-Sen poll... (updated Warren 48, Brown 46)

Last edited Sun Sep 16, 2012, 11:08 PM - Edit history (1)

Elizabeth Warren leads in the MA-Sen poll we will release tonight. Last month we found her down by 5 pts.

https://twitter.com/ppppolls/status/247451449250955264

Scott Brown: Toast!

Another poll showed her up by six points http://www.democraticunderground.com/10021354781

At Rally, Elizabeth Warren Takes More Aggressive Stance
http://www.democraticunderground.com/10021355005

Warren rebounds

Things have been going Elizabeth Warren's way in the Massachusetts Senate race over the last month. She's gained 7 points and now leads Scott Brown 48-46 after trailing him by a 49-44 margin on our last poll.

Warren's gaining because Democratic voters are coming back into the fold. Last month she led only 73-20 with Democrats. Now she's up 81-13. That explains basically the entire difference between the two polls. There are plenty of Democrats who like Scott Brown- 29% approve of him- but fewer are now willing to vote for him. That's probably because of another finding on our poll- 53% of voters want Democrats to have control of the Senate compared to only 36% who want Republicans in charge. More and more Democrats who may like Brown are shifting to Warren because they don't like the prospect of a GOP controlled Senate.

<...>

Warren's image has seen some improvement in the last month. She has a +8 net favorability at 51/43, up 5 points from last month when she was at 46/43. That reverses the trend of her numbers falling in every poll we'd done this year up until now. Again the difference is Democrats becoming more enthusiastic about her. She's gone from a 75/16 spread with them last month now up to an 81/12 one.

This race has one of the most monumental gender gaps we've seen in any contest this year, with Warren up 56-36 with women but down 55-39 with men. Although there aren't a lot of undecided voters left they seem more likely to break toward Warren than Brown- they're supporting Barack Obama for President by a 76-2 margin- and at the end of the day most of those folks will probably vote the same party for both offices. This race continues to be a toss up but after a good summer for Brown the momentum is heading back in Warren's direction.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/09/warren-rebounds.html



8 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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PPP: Elizabeth Warren leads in the MA-Sen poll... (updated Warren 48, Brown 46) (Original Post) ProSense Sep 2012 OP
Scott Brown: Toast! DJ13 Sep 2012 #1
K & R !!! WillyT Sep 2012 #2
Did you see the update: ProSense Sep 2012 #3
Mass & Maine are critical pick ups for us. jaysunb Sep 2012 #4
Scotty also has big Wall St. money behind him; so it looks like the truth will win! left on green only Sep 2012 #5
WooT! ellie Sep 2012 #6
Updated OP. n/t ProSense Sep 2012 #7
Man, this is good news! Le Taz Hot Sep 2012 #8

left on green only

(1,484 posts)
5. Scotty also has big Wall St. money behind him; so it looks like the truth will win!
Sun Sep 16, 2012, 08:01 PM
Sep 2012

Elizabeth Warren Commander and Chief 2016. Hate to steal her away from you Massachusetts, but there *is* a higher calling. I'm going to love to see the result of the match up between her and 'honest' Jeb Bush.

Le Taz Hot

(22,271 posts)
8. Man, this is good news!
Sun Sep 16, 2012, 11:22 PM
Sep 2012

I SO want her to win this seat. Not only for the Senate and the people of Massachusetts but for her future presidential bid (and I'm CONVINCED she'll run and win). I'm keeping a close eye on this one.

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