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Ellipsis

(9,123 posts)
Wed Sep 19, 2012, 01:43 PM Sep 2012

Poll Obama up in Wisconsin 54-40 - Just released Marquette law school poll

MILWAUKEE - The newly-released Marquette University Law School Poll says that two Democratic candidates for election in Wisconsin have opened up larger leads.

Democratic Senate candidate Tammy Baldwin, who represents Madison in Congress, leads former Wisconsin Republican Governor and U.S. Secretary of Health and Human Serivces Tommy Thompson, 50 to 41 percent.

Thompson had led Baldwin by the same percentage in a previous version of the poll from August 16-19.

In the Presidential race, President Barack Obama (D) led Mitt Romney (R), 54-40.

According to poll director Prof. Charles Franklin, Mr. Obama grabbed a big bump from the Democratic National Convention. His 14 percent margin on Romney is the biggest of the year so far.

When it came to the Senate race, Franklin said independent voters supported Thompson back in August, 47-37 percent. This month, they supported Baldwin 50-38.

The poll had a margin of error of plus-or-minus 3.8 percent. 705 registered Wisconsin voters took part when the poll was conducted on Sept. 13-16.

http://www.todaystmj4.com/elections/stories/170361456.html


Bite me Reince!



Fox news 11

Poll administrators caution that respondents in the latest poll were more heavily Democratic than in previous Marquette polls. The September poll was two percentage points more Democratic and three points less Republican than average, however, still within the poll’s margin of error. When adjusted to average partisan makeup, Baldwin’s lead would be 48-43 percent, while Obama’s lead would be 51-43 percent.

http://www.fox11online.com/dpp/news/wisconsin/obama-baldwin-lead-in-wisconsin-in-september-2012

18 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Poll Obama up in Wisconsin 54-40 - Just released Marquette law school poll (Original Post) Ellipsis Sep 2012 OP
K & R cr8tvlde Sep 2012 #1
Sounds a bit crazy Ebadlun Sep 2012 #2
What's form? Brother Buzz Sep 2012 #5
Seems A Bit Off But If It Deflates The Morale Of Our Opponents I Like It DemocratSinceBirth Sep 2012 #6
Yes. Ellipsis Sep 2012 #12
Now is the time for an explaination of how Scott Focker won the recall election Blue Owl Sep 2012 #3
It computes as W a u k e s h a. ananda Sep 2012 #8
Yup I'm thinkin -- K a t h y N i c k o l a u s -- the GOP's henchwench... Blue Owl Sep 2012 #15
Actually it does. Ellipsis Sep 2012 #17
Hate to say it, but I can't trust these poll numbers. Dawgs Sep 2012 #4
See Six DemocratSinceBirth Sep 2012 #7
Agree to a point. I'm obsessed with the polls (fun for me), and I like to think they're accurate. Dawgs Sep 2012 #10
I Tend To Trust The Polls Where One Pollster Is A D And The Other Poster Is A R DemocratSinceBirth Sep 2012 #13
Marquette Hit walkers recall election vote totals - right on the money Ellipsis Sep 2012 #14
Looking forward to polls conducted a week from now Echotrail Sep 2012 #9
I thought the Libya thing would kill him Ebadlun Sep 2012 #11
Data justed posted Ellipsis Sep 2012 #16
Tammy Baldwin surges in Wisconsin Senate race ProSense Sep 2012 #18

Blue Owl

(49,913 posts)
15. Yup I'm thinkin -- K a t h y N i c k o l a u s -- the GOP's henchwench...
Wed Sep 19, 2012, 02:19 PM
Sep 2012

...put some fake cheese on that shit sandwich

 

Dawgs

(14,755 posts)
4. Hate to say it, but I can't trust these poll numbers.
Wed Sep 19, 2012, 01:48 PM
Sep 2012

They look no better than Rasmussen, Gravis, or Purple Strategies. I would have to exclude them from my own analysis.

 

Dawgs

(14,755 posts)
10. Agree to a point. I'm obsessed with the polls (fun for me), and I like to think they're accurate.
Wed Sep 19, 2012, 01:56 PM
Sep 2012

Oh well.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,705 posts)
13. I Tend To Trust The Polls Where One Pollster Is A D And The Other Poster Is A R
Wed Sep 19, 2012, 01:58 PM
Sep 2012

Like WSJ-NBC. If there is an error I am fairly confident it is random.

Ellipsis

(9,123 posts)
14. Marquette Hit walkers recall election vote totals - right on the money
Wed Sep 19, 2012, 02:01 PM
Sep 2012

Frankly I'm quite surprised myself... I thought perhaps 5 points on Baldwin maybe 8 on Obama.

Echotrail

(349 posts)
9. Looking forward to polls conducted a week from now
Wed Sep 19, 2012, 01:55 PM
Sep 2012

that take into account Romney's view of half of America.

It's the lead story in most of today's printed newspapers.
Heehee

Ebadlun

(336 posts)
11. I thought the Libya thing would kill him
Wed Sep 19, 2012, 01:56 PM
Sep 2012

but it doesn't seem to have changed much. But he needs more votes, not less, so even if the long-term damage is only 1%, that will do.

ProSense

(116,464 posts)
18. Tammy Baldwin surges in Wisconsin Senate race
Wed Sep 19, 2012, 02:58 PM
Sep 2012
Tammy Baldwin surges in Wisconsin Senate race

by kos

Yesterday we enjoyed Elizabeth Warren's surge in her Senate race in Massachusetts (another poll today added to Scott Brown's bad news). She isn't the only great Democrat enjoying a post-convention renaissance. The Senate race in Wisconsin between Democrat Tammy Baldwin and Republican Tommy Thompson has been turned upside down in a single week:

- more -

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/09/19/1133896/-Tammy-Baldwin-surges-in-Wisconsin-Senate-race

There's a chart at the link.

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