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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsNewest Pew Research Poll as Obama ahead 53% to 43%
Last edited Wed Sep 19, 2012, 03:42 PM - Edit history (2)
Obama Ahead with Stronger Support, Better Image and Lead on Most Issues
At this stage in the campaign, Barack Obama is in a strong position compared with past victorious presidential candidates. With an eight-point lead over Mitt Romney among likely voters, Obama holds a bigger September lead than the last three candidates who went on to win in November, including Obama four years ago. In elections since 1988, only Bill Clinton, in 1992 and 1996, entered the fall with a larger advantage.
Not only does Obama enjoy a substantial lead in the horserace, he tops Romney on a number of key dimensions. His support is stronger than his rivals, and is positive rather than negative. Mitt Romneys backers are more ardent than they were pre-convention, but are still not as enthusiastic as Obamas. Roughly half of Romneys supporters say they are voting against Obama rather than for the Republican nominee. With the exception of Bill Clinton in 1992, candidates lacking mostly positive backing have lost in November.
The latest national survey by the Pew Research Center for the People & the Press, conducted September 12-16, 2012 among 3,019 adults including 2,424 registered voters, finds that Obama continues to be the more likable candidate by a substantial margin; his favorability rating has risen to 55% from 50% in late July, with 42% now expressing an unfavorable view of him.
http://www.people-press.org/2012/09/19/obama-ahead-with-stronger-support-better-image-and-lead-on-most-issues/
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Newest Pew Research Poll as Obama ahead 53% to 43% (Original Post)
Playinghardball
Sep 2012
OP
bigdarryl
(13,190 posts)1. Why doesn't Nate Silver use this poll in his formula
pampango
(24,692 posts)2. Great stat: "vote is more a vote for your candidate" or "against other candidate" - 74% for Obama,
22% against Romney - among people who plan to vote for Obama.
Romney voters, OTOH, are voting against Obama (52%) rather than for Romney (45%).
Also nice to see that enthusiasm levels are higher for Obama supporters.
Victor_c3
(3,557 posts)3. yup. I was getting ready to state that too
I love the dates when the data was collected for all of the polls that I've seen today - all of them were done before that whole leaked video thing. I can't wait to see what the polls look like after the next cycle.
barbtries
(28,769 posts)4. part of me hates to say it
but i do believe it. barack obama will be reelected.
but we MUST GOTV. no complacency allowed!!!