General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsGOP’S BIGGEST 2016 PROBLEM: CLINTON’S NUMBERS AMONG WHITE VOTERS
By Lloyd Green
06/09/2014
Culture will likely shape the 2016 presidential elections, and this is bad news for the Republican Party. Recent polls show Hillary Clinton running well among white voters overall, showing real strength among white non-evangelical Protestants, and running competitively among white Catholics. Trailing only among evangelicals, Clinton is poised to move beyond the upstairs-downstairs coalition that brought Barack Obama to the White House, and that continues to characterize his policies and presidency to this day.
On multiple levels Clinton is not Obama, and GOP swipes at Clinton over her age and health appear to have gained less traction among voters than digs leveled at the President over his birth certificate and religion. Instead of faltering, Clinton is building upon her bid for the 2008 Democratic nomination, when she stitched together wins in industrial and large states by winning a majority of white voters.
http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2014/06/09/gop-s-biggest-2016-problem-clinton-s-numbers-among-white-voters.html
yeoman6987
(14,449 posts)the Republicans know they don't have a chance. They will just put up a sacrificial candidate and wait until 2020.
bravenak
(34,648 posts)She has them running scared. They may never win another presidential if things keep going this way.
yeoman6987
(14,449 posts)However, I can see Democrats having three or four straight wins before switching to a Republican. Our country is still split about 50-50. One of the reasons that Romney lost is that conservatives stayed home in 2012 because they hated Romney. There are tons of other reasons why President Obama won too.
bravenak
(34,648 posts)They hate too many people.
yeoman6987
(14,449 posts)However, I could see financially someday.
But their economic policies are geared towards the few, and even they are noticing that they are losing the middle class by fighting for corporations. I know i personally will never vote for one in my life. I like my reproductive freedom and voting.
Ex Lurker
(3,811 posts)Hell, I might even consider voting for them if that happened.
Do you advocate voting for Republicans while posting on DU?
Ex Lurker
(3,811 posts)and the Roosevelt wing of the early 20th century Republican Party was in several ways more progressive than the current Democratic establishment.
Va Lefty
(6,252 posts)Voter suppression
bravenak
(34,648 posts)They (Koch's) donated money to the United Negro College fund recently for historically black colleges. And the GOP just announced they are opening up college republican charters on..... historically black colleges. Those two things mean they are coming for educated middle and upper middle class black people who voted in the highest proportions in the last election. The voter suppression will end with the opening up and wealthier and higher educated black are sometimes susceptible to their views as it is financially beneficial to them. The indoctrination starts. 50 million from one place 60 million dollars from the GOP just to get started. By the time 2014 comes around they may have shut their racists down to steal our votes.
L0oniX
(31,493 posts)morningfog
(18,115 posts)No. We should not do that. We should have a vigorous primary and see who the best candidate is. Her middle east views need to be discussed so that we can be sure she wont make the same mistake twice and i am worried about her hawkish views. We need to ask questions and get some solid policy from her and see who else wants to run. I suspect we will have a good selection to choose from and if someone can beat her, they deserve our vote as long as they are not a conservadem.
TheCowsCameHome
(40,167 posts)The GOP is already cowering in fear at th sound of her name.
NCTraveler
(30,481 posts)NewJeffCT
(56,828 posts)Republicans will be hoping to hold on to states like Texas and Georgia and prevent a Johnson-Goldwater like landslide. Heck, if one of the Castro brothers is on the ticket as a VP candidate, she could take Texas...
bravenak
(34,648 posts)My heart. I love that idea. I would rub it in their face all day the next day, oh please let it happen!! I want to try trolling a conservative website. It would be fun that day . We at least we could go to discussionist and drink their sad conservative tears. I can't decide which Castro brother it should be.
MannyGoldstein
(34,589 posts)How's she polling on Wall Street?
bravenak
(34,648 posts)I have no idea. Do you? I would find that information interesting to discuss. Let's see if we can find anything.
NCTraveler
(30,481 posts)Beacool
(30,247 posts)Thanks for asking.
AngryAmish
(25,704 posts)Oh, yeah, if you are not white you don't count. I forgot my place.
pipoman
(16,038 posts)And 3 times more than all other races combined?
WorseBeforeBetter
(11,441 posts)Ah, another fun day on DU!
Beacool
(30,247 posts)We would still probably lose them with Hillary, but by a much smaller margin. That margin may make all the difference in 2016.
pipoman
(16,038 posts)She is not loved by most of the 'just right of center' crowd, a demographic as necessary to a Democratic candidate winning a presidential election as those just left of center are to a Republican winning. Has this type of early proclamation ever been accurate? I don't remember a time in my lifetime when it has...and the party would do well to look at that. ..
Thespian2
(2,741 posts)so much time is spent writing about Clinton who has always been a corporate shill, and little space is given to a truly progressive candidate? I much prefer Bernie Sanders to any Clinton. I surely hope he runs and gets the nomination.
dotymed
(5,610 posts)Beacool
(30,247 posts)In what world would Sanders win a Democratic nomination, let alone a general election?????
SomethingFishy
(4,876 posts)However, that's not us.
L0oniX
(31,493 posts)truebluegreen
(9,033 posts)and Grayson for AG.
heh
Erich Bloodaxe BSN
(14,733 posts)Or even Sanders or (Sherrod) Brown in the mix.
L0oniX
(31,493 posts)cinch the progressive and populist vote ...and with Grayson or Sanders for AG we would see a lot of righteous actions. I can't see not having Sanders in an effective position.
truebluegreen
(9,033 posts)I know--he'd have to change his party affiliation...OTOH that's an elected position and the Senators are not that smart. Sanders at Treasury would shake things up.
Drunken Irishman
(34,857 posts)It's clear a great segment of the population refused to vote Obama because he was black. That won't be a problem for Hillary.
Erich Bloodaxe BSN
(14,733 posts)She'll pick up a lot more votes in areas Dems pre-Obama did a lot better in that supposedly 'swung red', when in reality, they simply 'swung white' in the last couple of elections.
Drunken Irishman
(34,857 posts)It showed each county and which degree they swung between the 2004 and 2008 elections. Of course, since Obama won by a sizable margin (and Kerry lost the popular vote in 2004), nearly the entire map showed an increase in county-level support for Obama. The lone exception? The deep south (specifically, Appalachia).
And I found the map:
JI7
(89,241 posts)i'm sure someone will come along and claim it was a protest vote for him not being liberal enough .
L0oniX
(31,493 posts)Erich Bloodaxe BSN
(14,733 posts)I think it basically backstops what you just said.
JI7
(89,241 posts)bravenak
(34,648 posts)I will NOT say it today, but when you are right you're right.
Erich Bloodaxe BSN
(14,733 posts)You won't say it because we've seen that on DU, you'd likely get hidden for doing so. You just don't have that .... privilege.
bravenak
(34,648 posts)But with demographic changes coming on the horizon, maybe my kids will? Hope so.
Was that too much?
JustAnotherGen
(31,783 posts)So far as we know - she was a solid D by the time that s.o.b. got into office and destroyed America from within. That's good enough for me! I'm not gonna trust anyone who voted for Reagan. That man hated my guts brave - and he hated yours too!
bravenak
(34,648 posts)I figured out why the Koch Brothers donated that money to UNCF.
JustAnotherGen
(31,783 posts)But everyone is walking around here with their heads in the clouds trying to say - awww shucks girls! There's nothing to see here. Take the money and run.
The truth is bravenak - if I ever decided "I'm going to vote on my economic interests" - this party would lose me.
And in some circles of black folks I get picked on for NOT being a Republican that worships at the altar of that idiot Allen West. *smh* I think it's true - that 6% one of the articles is touting. It's very true. Take it to 12% by getting them young and early and you skew the election.
bravenak
(34,648 posts)I have been afraid that they would start stealing disaffected black voters once Obama is not running again and I think it might work for some. If they stop the racism and steal some of our platform it will definitely split the Black vote. I figured you were one of the people who they would love to steal the most. I grew up with a republican father and never knew they were racist because he was white and he wasn't. I think we need to shore up our base and reach out to our voters before it's too late.
JustAnotherGen
(31,783 posts)And those 'kids' on campus - the legacy kids ALL come from folks who made their money as staunch Republicans. That message/history is handed down - the glory days when they were on our side.
And if they are reaching for something to believe in - they just might reach for this.
bravenak
(34,648 posts)I had such hope yesterday.... We have our own 'problems' to work out on race and they are infecting the whole country. I hope they don't beat us to the punch. I keep trying to warn that blacks people are becoming a bit disillusioned by the party not the president. Nobody believes me and they think i am trying to divide. I am trying to call attention to the issues people like me have with the party so that we prevent losing loyal Obama Voters. I think i will stop for a while until after midterms and then revisit the issue.
JI7
(89,241 posts)just like all the stupid republican outreaches to minorities. it's to make the party seem like they are not as bigoted as democrats and other try to make them out to be.
ecstatic
(32,653 posts)Not surprisingly, they tend to be the loudest ones shouting about everything democrats are doing wrong.
muntrv
(14,505 posts)were hoping for a Hillary nomination, thinking it would be an easy win for John McCain and the Repubs nationwide.
VanillaRhapsody
(21,115 posts)Beacool
(30,247 posts)Support Hillary or keep trashing her and risk the WH going to a Republican in 2016. Where are the folks that keep repeating that they won't vote for her no matter what? Stay home then, and watch her steamroll through the competition. This is not 2008.
bravenak
(34,648 posts)Otherwise, i have no idea what kinda tricks the GOP will come up with. They're already going into black colleges and starting clubs and funding them and the Koch's just gave millions to the United Negro College fund a couple of days before they announced this, so i think they have a plan. It may work to some extent. Alot of these kids come from much wealthier families than i do.
Beacool
(30,247 posts)Sometimes this place feels like being on a RW site. There's nothing the Clintons could do to please some and a negative motivation is given to their every utterance. I'm beyond tired of fighting the same battles over and over, particularly in a Democratic site.
I have no issue with anyone supporting a different candidate, that's fair. What I object to is the rampant hate fest that is brought on by any article on either Clinton.
bravenak
(34,648 posts)We should not eat our own politicians for breakfast,lunch, and dinner.
Beacool
(30,247 posts)Tierra_y_Libertad
(50,414 posts)Algernon Moncrieff
(5,781 posts)First, she has to make it through the Democratic primaries. That's not a given.
The Republican strategy so far has been to keep screaming Benghazi at the top of their lungs to those who will listen. Their problem is that those who are listening weren't voting for Hillary anyway.
The Republicans will do their best to counter by trying to put a member of some non-white group on their ticket. Rafael Cruz one obvious choice, although I would not bet against Susanna Martinez winning the Veepstakes over there no matter who they nominate for the top spot.