Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search
 

bravenak

(34,648 posts)
Mon Jun 9, 2014, 06:29 AM Jun 2014

GOP’S BIGGEST 2016 PROBLEM: CLINTON’S NUMBERS AMONG WHITE VOTERS

By Lloyd Green
06/09/2014


Culture will likely shape the 2016 presidential elections, and this is bad news for the Republican Party. Recent polls show Hillary Clinton running well among white voters overall, showing real strength among white non-evangelical Protestants, and running competitively among white Catholics. Trailing only among evangelicals, Clinton is poised to move beyond the upstairs-downstairs coalition that brought Barack Obama to the White House, and that continues to characterize his policies and presidency to this day.

On multiple levels Clinton is not Obama, and GOP swipes at Clinton over her age and health appear to have gained less traction among voters than digs leveled at the President over his birth certificate and religion. Instead of faltering, Clinton is building upon her bid for the 2008 Democratic nomination, when she stitched together wins in industrial and large states by winning a majority of white voters.

http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2014/06/09/gop-s-biggest-2016-problem-clinton-s-numbers-among-white-voters.html

65 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
GOP’S BIGGEST 2016 PROBLEM: CLINTON’S NUMBERS AMONG WHITE VOTERS (Original Post) bravenak Jun 2014 OP
If Hillary runs, yeoman6987 Jun 2014 #1
I think so too. bravenak Jun 2014 #2
I won't go that far yeoman6987 Jun 2014 #3
I think it will be too difficult to pull the country rightward again. bravenak Jun 2014 #4
I don't think Socially they will win yeoman6987 Jun 2014 #5
Maybe. bravenak Jun 2014 #7
I could see a competitive T.Roosevelt/Lafollete type GOP Ex Lurker Jun 2014 #11
why? Trajan Jun 2014 #26
I'm not one for labels Ex Lurker Jun 2014 #63
Two words Va Lefty Jun 2014 #48
They are done with that soon. bravenak Jun 2014 #49
Castro 2020. L0oniX Jun 2014 #22
We should just cancel the elections and swear in Clinton. It would save a lot of time and money. morningfog Jun 2014 #6
LOL!! bravenak Jun 2014 #8
Fine with me. TheCowsCameHome Jun 2014 #15
Sounds good to me. Can you make it happen? nt. NCTraveler Jun 2014 #33
If Clinton runs NewJeffCT Jun 2014 #9
Texas?!? bravenak Jun 2014 #10
How's Hillary polling among wounded war veterans? MannyGoldstein Jun 2014 #12
What it do Manny! bravenak Jun 2014 #13
Do some research and get back to us. Thanks. nt. NCTraveler Jun 2014 #34
She polls pretty well with both groups. Beacool Jun 2014 #51
Do we really care what white people think? AngryAmish Jun 2014 #14
Maybe because 5 times more whites vote than any other race? pipoman Jun 2014 #16
All-caps, no less. WorseBeforeBetter Jun 2014 #21
We care because we keep losing them in every national election. Beacool Jun 2014 #52
Not sure where all of this certainty comes from. pipoman Jun 2014 #17
They looked at recent polls. bravenak Jun 2014 #18
Wonder why Thespian2 Jun 2014 #19
Agreed pipoman Jun 2014 #20
Amen.....n/t dotymed Jun 2014 #25
Because, other than the far Left, no one else is clamoring for Sanders. Beacool Jun 2014 #53
In a world on the right track... SomethingFishy Jun 2014 #65
Castro/Warren 2016 L0oniX Jun 2014 #23
Warren/Castro truebluegreen Jun 2014 #24
Either Warren Castro combo would be fine. Erich Bloodaxe BSN Jun 2014 #28
I'll swing with that. Castro would cinch the Hispanic vote and Warren would L0oniX Jun 2014 #30
Totally agree on Sanders--Senate Majority Leader? truebluegreen Jun 2014 #39
Of course Hillary will do better among white voters. Drunken Irishman Jun 2014 #27
Exactamundo. Erich Bloodaxe BSN Jun 2014 #29
There was a very telling map from 2008... Drunken Irishman Jun 2014 #31
and West Virignia 2012 Primary , 40 percent of Dems vote for Inmate over Obama JI7 Jun 2014 #61
That's almost like saying Dem racists will vote for her ain't it? L0oniX Jun 2014 #32
Look at the map in reply 31. Erich Bloodaxe BSN Jun 2014 #37
yeah, democratic Racists do vote for her and many other white Democrats JI7 Jun 2014 #58
I was thinking the same thing. bravenak Jun 2014 #36
Heh. Erich Bloodaxe BSN Jun 2014 #38
I sure don't. bravenak Jun 2014 #42
She didn't vote for Reagan in 1980 or 1984 JustAnotherGen Jun 2014 #35
I know he did. bravenak Jun 2014 #41
Me too JustAnotherGen Jun 2014 #43
They teamed up with the Kochs to open up College Republican groups on Black campuses. bravenak Jun 2014 #45
I agree brave JustAnotherGen Jun 2014 #46
You are scaring me. bravenak Jun 2014 #47
a lot of times these things are meant to appeal to moderate whites JI7 Jun 2014 #60
Good point. I don't trust former repubs to lead ecstatic Jun 2014 #62
How times have changed. I remember in 2008 when the Repubs muntrv Jun 2014 #40
and you will see why......those racists down South.....they hate women even more than Black men! VanillaRhapsody Jun 2014 #44
Wow, what a dilemma for the Left. Beacool Jun 2014 #50
I hope we can pull together behind her if she's the canidate. bravenak Jun 2014 #54
I'm just tired of the bashing 24/7. Beacool Jun 2014 #55
You are right. bravenak Jun 2014 #56
Particularly one that would probably have the best chance of winning in 2016. Beacool Jun 2014 #57
Hopefully, she'll stick to her corporate entertainment gig and forget running for chump change. Tierra_y_Libertad Jun 2014 #59
As a Clinton supporter, this pleases me; but there's a long way to go Algernon Moncrieff Jun 2014 #64
 

yeoman6987

(14,449 posts)
1. If Hillary runs,
Mon Jun 9, 2014, 06:43 AM
Jun 2014

the Republicans know they don't have a chance. They will just put up a sacrificial candidate and wait until 2020.

 

bravenak

(34,648 posts)
2. I think so too.
Mon Jun 9, 2014, 06:47 AM
Jun 2014

She has them running scared. They may never win another presidential if things keep going this way.

 

yeoman6987

(14,449 posts)
3. I won't go that far
Mon Jun 9, 2014, 06:49 AM
Jun 2014

However, I can see Democrats having three or four straight wins before switching to a Republican. Our country is still split about 50-50. One of the reasons that Romney lost is that conservatives stayed home in 2012 because they hated Romney. There are tons of other reasons why President Obama won too.

 

bravenak

(34,648 posts)
7. Maybe.
Mon Jun 9, 2014, 07:11 AM
Jun 2014

But their economic policies are geared towards the few, and even they are noticing that they are losing the middle class by fighting for corporations. I know i personally will never vote for one in my life. I like my reproductive freedom and voting.

Ex Lurker

(3,811 posts)
11. I could see a competitive T.Roosevelt/Lafollete type GOP
Mon Jun 9, 2014, 07:45 AM
Jun 2014

Hell, I might even consider voting for them if that happened.

Ex Lurker

(3,811 posts)
63. I'm not one for labels
Mon Jun 9, 2014, 06:38 PM
Jun 2014

and the Roosevelt wing of the early 20th century Republican Party was in several ways more progressive than the current Democratic establishment.

 

bravenak

(34,648 posts)
49. They are done with that soon.
Mon Jun 9, 2014, 12:03 PM
Jun 2014

They (Koch's) donated money to the United Negro College fund recently for historically black colleges. And the GOP just announced they are opening up college republican charters on..... historically black colleges. Those two things mean they are coming for educated middle and upper middle class black people who voted in the highest proportions in the last election. The voter suppression will end with the opening up and wealthier and higher educated black are sometimes susceptible to their views as it is financially beneficial to them. The indoctrination starts. 50 million from one place 60 million dollars from the GOP just to get started. By the time 2014 comes around they may have shut their racists down to steal our votes.

 

bravenak

(34,648 posts)
8. LOL!!
Mon Jun 9, 2014, 07:15 AM
Jun 2014

No. We should not do that. We should have a vigorous primary and see who the best candidate is. Her middle east views need to be discussed so that we can be sure she wont make the same mistake twice and i am worried about her hawkish views. We need to ask questions and get some solid policy from her and see who else wants to run. I suspect we will have a good selection to choose from and if someone can beat her, they deserve our vote as long as they are not a conservadem.

NewJeffCT

(56,828 posts)
9. If Clinton runs
Mon Jun 9, 2014, 07:21 AM
Jun 2014

Republicans will be hoping to hold on to states like Texas and Georgia and prevent a Johnson-Goldwater like landslide. Heck, if one of the Castro brothers is on the ticket as a VP candidate, she could take Texas...

 

bravenak

(34,648 posts)
10. Texas?!?
Mon Jun 9, 2014, 07:27 AM
Jun 2014

My heart. I love that idea. I would rub it in their face all day the next day, oh please let it happen!! I want to try trolling a conservative website. It would be fun that day . We at least we could go to discussionist and drink their sad conservative tears. I can't decide which Castro brother it should be.

 

bravenak

(34,648 posts)
13. What it do Manny!
Mon Jun 9, 2014, 07:49 AM
Jun 2014

I have no idea. Do you? I would find that information interesting to discuss. Let's see if we can find anything.

 

AngryAmish

(25,704 posts)
14. Do we really care what white people think?
Mon Jun 9, 2014, 07:50 AM
Jun 2014

Oh, yeah, if you are not white you don't count. I forgot my place.

 

pipoman

(16,038 posts)
16. Maybe because 5 times more whites vote than any other race?
Mon Jun 9, 2014, 08:22 AM
Jun 2014

And 3 times more than all other races combined?

Beacool

(30,247 posts)
52. We care because we keep losing them in every national election.
Mon Jun 9, 2014, 12:57 PM
Jun 2014

We would still probably lose them with Hillary, but by a much smaller margin. That margin may make all the difference in 2016.


 

pipoman

(16,038 posts)
17. Not sure where all of this certainty comes from.
Mon Jun 9, 2014, 08:34 AM
Jun 2014

She is not loved by most of the 'just right of center' crowd, a demographic as necessary to a Democratic candidate winning a presidential election as those just left of center are to a Republican winning. Has this type of early proclamation ever been accurate? I don't remember a time in my lifetime when it has...and the party would do well to look at that. ..

Thespian2

(2,741 posts)
19. Wonder why
Mon Jun 9, 2014, 08:43 AM
Jun 2014

so much time is spent writing about Clinton who has always been a corporate shill, and little space is given to a truly progressive candidate? I much prefer Bernie Sanders to any Clinton. I surely hope he runs and gets the nomination.

Beacool

(30,247 posts)
53. Because, other than the far Left, no one else is clamoring for Sanders.
Mon Jun 9, 2014, 12:59 PM
Jun 2014

In what world would Sanders win a Democratic nomination, let alone a general election?????



 

L0oniX

(31,493 posts)
30. I'll swing with that. Castro would cinch the Hispanic vote and Warren would
Mon Jun 9, 2014, 10:56 AM
Jun 2014

cinch the progressive and populist vote ...and with Grayson or Sanders for AG we would see a lot of righteous actions. I can't see not having Sanders in an effective position.

 

truebluegreen

(9,033 posts)
39. Totally agree on Sanders--Senate Majority Leader?
Mon Jun 9, 2014, 11:10 AM
Jun 2014

I know--he'd have to change his party affiliation...OTOH that's an elected position and the Senators are not that smart. Sanders at Treasury would shake things up.

 

Drunken Irishman

(34,857 posts)
27. Of course Hillary will do better among white voters.
Mon Jun 9, 2014, 10:53 AM
Jun 2014

It's clear a great segment of the population refused to vote Obama because he was black. That won't be a problem for Hillary.

Erich Bloodaxe BSN

(14,733 posts)
29. Exactamundo.
Mon Jun 9, 2014, 10:55 AM
Jun 2014

She'll pick up a lot more votes in areas Dems pre-Obama did a lot better in that supposedly 'swung red', when in reality, they simply 'swung white' in the last couple of elections.

 

Drunken Irishman

(34,857 posts)
31. There was a very telling map from 2008...
Mon Jun 9, 2014, 10:57 AM
Jun 2014

It showed each county and which degree they swung between the 2004 and 2008 elections. Of course, since Obama won by a sizable margin (and Kerry lost the popular vote in 2004), nearly the entire map showed an increase in county-level support for Obama. The lone exception? The deep south (specifically, Appalachia).

And I found the map:


JI7

(89,241 posts)
61. and West Virignia 2012 Primary , 40 percent of Dems vote for Inmate over Obama
Mon Jun 9, 2014, 05:04 PM
Jun 2014
http://www.businessweek.com/articles/2012-05-09/obama-loses-40-percent-of-west-virginia-vote-to-an-inmate

i'm sure someone will come along and claim it was a protest vote for him not being liberal enough .

Erich Bloodaxe BSN

(14,733 posts)
38. Heh.
Mon Jun 9, 2014, 11:05 AM
Jun 2014

You won't say it because we've seen that on DU, you'd likely get hidden for doing so. You just don't have that .... privilege.

 

bravenak

(34,648 posts)
42. I sure don't.
Mon Jun 9, 2014, 11:19 AM
Jun 2014

But with demographic changes coming on the horizon, maybe my kids will? Hope so.
Was that too much?

JustAnotherGen

(31,783 posts)
35. She didn't vote for Reagan in 1980 or 1984
Mon Jun 9, 2014, 11:01 AM
Jun 2014

So far as we know - she was a solid D by the time that s.o.b. got into office and destroyed America from within. That's good enough for me! I'm not gonna trust anyone who voted for Reagan. That man hated my guts brave - and he hated yours too!

JustAnotherGen

(31,783 posts)
43. Me too
Mon Jun 9, 2014, 11:27 AM
Jun 2014

But everyone is walking around here with their heads in the clouds trying to say - awww shucks girls! There's nothing to see here. Take the money and run.


The truth is bravenak - if I ever decided "I'm going to vote on my economic interests" - this party would lose me.

And in some circles of black folks I get picked on for NOT being a Republican that worships at the altar of that idiot Allen West. *smh* I think it's true - that 6% one of the articles is touting. It's very true. Take it to 12% by getting them young and early and you skew the election.

 

bravenak

(34,648 posts)
45. They teamed up with the Kochs to open up College Republican groups on Black campuses.
Mon Jun 9, 2014, 11:36 AM
Jun 2014

I have been afraid that they would start stealing disaffected black voters once Obama is not running again and I think it might work for some. If they stop the racism and steal some of our platform it will definitely split the Black vote. I figured you were one of the people who they would love to steal the most. I grew up with a republican father and never knew they were racist because he was white and he wasn't. I think we need to shore up our base and reach out to our voters before it's too late.

JustAnotherGen

(31,783 posts)
46. I agree brave
Mon Jun 9, 2014, 11:40 AM
Jun 2014

And those 'kids' on campus - the legacy kids ALL come from folks who made their money as staunch Republicans. That message/history is handed down - the glory days when they were on our side.

And if they are reaching for something to believe in - they just might reach for this.

 

bravenak

(34,648 posts)
47. You are scaring me.
Mon Jun 9, 2014, 11:46 AM
Jun 2014

I had such hope yesterday.... We have our own 'problems' to work out on race and they are infecting the whole country. I hope they don't beat us to the punch. I keep trying to warn that blacks people are becoming a bit disillusioned by the party not the president. Nobody believes me and they think i am trying to divide. I am trying to call attention to the issues people like me have with the party so that we prevent losing loyal Obama Voters. I think i will stop for a while until after midterms and then revisit the issue.

JI7

(89,241 posts)
60. a lot of times these things are meant to appeal to moderate whites
Mon Jun 9, 2014, 04:49 PM
Jun 2014

just like all the stupid republican outreaches to minorities. it's to make the party seem like they are not as bigoted as democrats and other try to make them out to be.

ecstatic

(32,653 posts)
62. Good point. I don't trust former repubs to lead
Mon Jun 9, 2014, 05:08 PM
Jun 2014

Not surprisingly, they tend to be the loudest ones shouting about everything democrats are doing wrong.

muntrv

(14,505 posts)
40. How times have changed. I remember in 2008 when the Repubs
Mon Jun 9, 2014, 11:15 AM
Jun 2014

were hoping for a Hillary nomination, thinking it would be an easy win for John McCain and the Repubs nationwide.

Beacool

(30,247 posts)
50. Wow, what a dilemma for the Left.
Mon Jun 9, 2014, 12:53 PM
Jun 2014

Support Hillary or keep trashing her and risk the WH going to a Republican in 2016. Where are the folks that keep repeating that they won't vote for her no matter what? Stay home then, and watch her steamroll through the competition. This is not 2008.

 

bravenak

(34,648 posts)
54. I hope we can pull together behind her if she's the canidate.
Mon Jun 9, 2014, 01:08 PM
Jun 2014

Otherwise, i have no idea what kinda tricks the GOP will come up with. They're already going into black colleges and starting clubs and funding them and the Koch's just gave millions to the United Negro College fund a couple of days before they announced this, so i think they have a plan. It may work to some extent. Alot of these kids come from much wealthier families than i do.

Beacool

(30,247 posts)
55. I'm just tired of the bashing 24/7.
Mon Jun 9, 2014, 01:25 PM
Jun 2014

Sometimes this place feels like being on a RW site. There's nothing the Clintons could do to please some and a negative motivation is given to their every utterance. I'm beyond tired of fighting the same battles over and over, particularly in a Democratic site.

I have no issue with anyone supporting a different candidate, that's fair. What I object to is the rampant hate fest that is brought on by any article on either Clinton.

Algernon Moncrieff

(5,781 posts)
64. As a Clinton supporter, this pleases me; but there's a long way to go
Mon Jun 9, 2014, 06:55 PM
Jun 2014

First, she has to make it through the Democratic primaries. That's not a given.

The Republican strategy so far has been to keep screaming Benghazi at the top of their lungs to those who will listen. Their problem is that those who are listening weren't voting for Hillary anyway.

The Republicans will do their best to counter by trying to put a member of some non-white group on their ticket. Rafael Cruz one obvious choice, although I would not bet against Susanna Martinez winning the Veepstakes over there no matter who they nominate for the top spot.

Latest Discussions»General Discussion»GOP’S BIGGEST 2016 PROBLE...