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SecularMotion

(7,981 posts)
Thu Jun 12, 2014, 10:48 AM Jun 2014

Concealed Carry Laws Don't Decrease Gun Violence -- But the NRA Continues to Say the Opposite

The NRA and its academic acolytes like John Lott have been tirelessly promoting the idea that guns protect us from crime, which is another way of saying that everyone should carry a gun, which is another way of saying that we should all buy more guns. And the proof that more guns equals less crime comes in the form of a report from the Bureau of Justice Statistics, which shows that over the past twenty years, violent crime, particularly gun crimes, have fallen by more than 50 percent. Since it's over the same two decades that every state has adopted some form of concealed carry weapons (CCW) law, the gun lobby argues that the reason we are a much safer country is because everyone's walking around with a gun. Now if we could get rid of those unhealthy gun-free zones, right?

Another, much more troublesome report was issued in January with data and conclusions that the NRA chooses to ignore. The report was based on a study of 6,300 patients admitted to a Level 1 trauma center in Newark suffering from gunshot wounds between 2000 and 2011, a time when, according to the FBI-UCR data, overall violent crime in Newark dropped by 22%. Actually, the murder rate during that period increased by nearly 60%, but since we're only talking about less than 60 dead bodies lying around, we'll leave that one alone.

Getting back to the gunshot wounds, the physicians who conducted the research found that the number of patients didn't significantly change, notwithstanding the alleged drop in gun violence everywhere else, and the severity of the wounds substantially increased. Despite the fact that Level 1 trauma centers utilize the most advanced life-saving skills imaginable, the mortality rate from gunshot wounds climbed from 9% to 14%, the number of spinal cord and brain injuries nearly doubled, and the incidence of multiple bullet wounds increased from 10% to nearly 25%.

The gun lobby could (and will) ignore these numbers were it not for the fact that the national picture for the trend gunshot wounds is roughly the same as what happened in Newark. According to the CDC, the rate of intentional gun injuries per 100,000 was 17.25 in 2000 and 17.83 in 2011, holding steady nationally just like the researchers in the case of Newark's University Hospital found over the same eleven years. That being the case, how does one reconcile those numbers with the BJS report that the NRA uses to bolster its claim of such a dramatic decrease in the criminal use of guns? The BJS report shows a decline in the gun homicide rate from 7 per 100,000 to less than 4 from 1993 to 2011, and a decline in nonfatal gun victimizations from above 7 per 1,000 persons to less than 2. So who's right?

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/mike-weisser/concealed-carry-laws_b_5479055.html
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hack89

(39,171 posts)
2. The FBI would disagree with you about that.
Thu Jun 12, 2014, 11:00 AM
Jun 2014

how do you explain the drastic decrease in gun violence since the early 1990's? Are you saying that there are fewer guns now then 20 years ago.

http://www.fbi.gov/about-us/cjis/ucr/crime-in-the-u.s/2010/crime-in-the-u.s.-2010/tables/10tbl01.xls

hack89

(39,171 posts)
5. Yes. It says several times that there has not been an increase in shootings or gun deaths
Thu Jun 12, 2014, 12:11 PM
Jun 2014
the physicians who conducted the research found that the number of patients didn't significantly change,


According to the CDC, the rate of intentional gun injuries per 100,000 was 17.25 in 2000 and 17.83 in 2011, holding steady nationally


Response to SecularMotion (Original post)

hack89

(39,171 posts)
6. Because we know that Newark is crawling with legal CCW holders shooting people left and right.
Thu Jun 12, 2014, 12:13 PM
Jun 2014

CCW could disappear tomorrow and it would not have any impact on urban gun violence.

hack89

(39,171 posts)
7. Considering New Jersey did not liberalize their CCW laws and permits are nearly impossible to get
Thu Jun 12, 2014, 12:51 PM
Jun 2014

Last edited Thu Jun 12, 2014, 11:08 PM - Edit history (1)

Using a study from a Newark hospital to undercut CCW laws may not have been a wise choice. It certainly does not answer the question of what would have happened if legally concealed guns were in fact common in NJ.


New Jersey calls its permit a "permit to carry a handgun" and is a "may-issue" state for firearm carry, either openly or concealed. Permit applicants must "specify in detail the urgent necessity for self-protection, as evidenced by specific threats or previous attacks which demonstrate a special danger to the applicant's life that cannot be avoided by means other than by issuance of a permit to carry a handgun." As a result of this tough standard, New Jersey is effectively a "no issue" state unless one is a retired law enforcement officer. Armed security officers and armored car drivers typically get restricted permits limited to carry while on duty only. A letter of need from the security company is required.


http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gun_laws_in_New_Jersey
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