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rsmith6621

(6,942 posts)
Tue Jun 24, 2014, 05:53 PM Jun 2014

Anyone REALLY Confident This November??



That the house will be given back to the Democrats and the Senate will be kept in the D column?


I Am! I think the republicans are showing themselves up as out of touch and in the same category as circus monkeys.


I have no doubt that the American voter is awake and will not sell this country down the river. I think we are smarter than that.
13 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Anyone REALLY Confident This November?? (Original Post) rsmith6621 Jun 2014 OP
Neither really confident nor really despairing. Erich Bloodaxe BSN Jun 2014 #1
It will be close to impossible to take the House edhopper Jun 2014 #2
2016 Senate battleground does not look very good for the Republicans at all. bradla Jun 2014 #3
i am not at all optimistic about getting the house back until the next census! unblock Jun 2014 #4
I hope it goes well for the Ds bigwillq Jun 2014 #5
Not at all. femmocrat Jun 2014 #6
Not REALLY confident gratuitous Jun 2014 #7
Hatch. Count. Chickens. &c&c struggle4progress Jun 2014 #8
HELL NO! wildbilln864 Jun 2014 #9
I am TransitJohn Jun 2014 #10
i see keeping the Senate as a strong possibility, but winning the house would be nearly impossible 0rganism Jun 2014 #11
I'm not confident. I'm working on making it happen. MineralMan Jun 2014 #12
Angry/Hateful America otohara Jun 2014 #13

Erich Bloodaxe BSN

(14,733 posts)
1. Neither really confident nor really despairing.
Tue Jun 24, 2014, 06:01 PM
Jun 2014

There's still plenty of time for Republicans to drive away support by opening their mouths and saying what they actually believe. I'll start getting worried as we get closer if it looks like they've learned to just keep their mouths closed.

edhopper

(33,074 posts)
2. It will be close to impossible to take the House
Tue Jun 24, 2014, 06:03 PM
Jun 2014

but inroads can be made for 2016.

The Senate has to be held.

 

bradla

(89 posts)
3. 2016 Senate battleground does not look very good for the Republicans at all.
Tue Jun 24, 2014, 06:03 PM
Jun 2014

Thus, the gains will likely be wiped away within two years.

 

bigwillq

(72,790 posts)
5. I hope it goes well for the Ds
Tue Jun 24, 2014, 06:23 PM
Jun 2014

but it really doesn't matter since the two parties will continue to fight among themselves and get little actually done to help the American people.

femmocrat

(28,394 posts)
6. Not at all.
Tue Jun 24, 2014, 06:31 PM
Jun 2014

Both the HR and the Senate could end up in repuke hands due to gerrymandering and the larger number of democrats running in the Senate. There are 21 democrat seats up for election, compared to only 15 republican this time.

I am hoping for more Cantors though, with democrats being able to defeat the crazies.

gratuitous

(82,849 posts)
7. Not REALLY confident
Tue Jun 24, 2014, 06:48 PM
Jun 2014

But I think the Republicans have put an awful lot of stock in their handiwork of creating "safe" districts for their members. Things can change in four years (since the census and redistricting), and the Republicans have been working very hard to alienate large segments of the electorate. Between population shifts and public disenchantment with Republican obstructionism, they might have finally gone too far for too many Americans.

Getting out the vote in November will produce salutary effects for the Democrats. Elizabeth Warren going to Kentucky and Arkansas to campaign for Democratic candidates is an indicator that forthright stands on Democratic party principles will play well with a populace sick and tired of Republican intransigence on everything.

0rganism

(23,818 posts)
11. i see keeping the Senate as a strong possibility, but winning the house would be nearly impossible
Tue Jun 24, 2014, 07:27 PM
Jun 2014

After the shitstorm that was 2010 i think we'll need 2 census cycles to make the house competitive again. 2030 at the earliest, and we need to do really well at the state level in that midterm election to make it happen.

There is a silver lining to the GOP's gerrymandering though -- a 10% marginal district is harder to hold onto than a 20% safe district. If we get a strong demographic shift in that district and a strong candidate, it can swing the other way. Meanwhile, by locking the house Democrats into safe districts, they've guaranteed a stable Democratic base on which to build a majority from swing districts.

 

otohara

(24,135 posts)
13. Angry/Hateful America
Tue Jun 24, 2014, 08:51 PM
Jun 2014

isn't done punishing Barack Obama.
Gun voters are fuming

The GOP votes in midterms, Dems do not.

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