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bigtree

(85,977 posts)
Wed Jun 25, 2014, 10:29 PM Jun 2014

The Message from Mississippi: Democrats are Not Sitting it Out This Year

Last edited Thu Jun 26, 2014, 12:17 AM - Edit history (1)

TheObamaDiary.com ?@TheObamaDiary 13m
'Message from Mississippi: Democrats are Not Sitting it Out This Year' by @thepeoplesview -> http://www.thepeoplesview.net/main/2014/6/25/message-from-mississippi-dems-not-sitting-out-2014


____ Last night marked the second high-stakes GOP primary where Democrats have screwed up the pollsters' math. In Virginia's 7th district, where knocking off an entrenched Republican incumbent in the primary would actually give the Democrat in the race a shot against a nutjob Teabagger, they knocked off Eric Cantor. Now in Mississippi, where a Democrat has a smaller chance of winning the Senate seat than a hailstorm in hell, Democrats - black Democrats - mowed down the Tea Party scourge like it's nobody's business . . .

It's no accident that McDaniel and the Tea Party are furious at Cochran and the Republican establishment for going to reliably Democratic African American voters hat in hand, and that McDaniel is refusing to concede the race.

But while McDaniel pouts, it's time for our national pollsters to realize that there is something seriously wrong with their predictive models for the 2014 midterms. It's time they woke up and realized that their assumption of minority and Democratic voters sitting home in November is just not measuring up to the reality on the ground. If Democrats can be this organized and make this much difference in blood red areas of the country, its time for pollsters to think twice about where Democratic voters are all over America.

Last week's WSJ/NBC poll revealed that overall enthusiasm is actually down in 2014 - by a net 15 points - from 2010. However, given the fact that 2010's midterm wave turnout was almost entirely made up of revved up right wing voters (combined with Democrats staying home), the rachet down in enthusiasm this time around is likely coming from them as well. Already, Tea Party members are passing the note to their followers not to vote as a protest against Thad Cochran conspiring with the enemy, I mean, black people.

If there is a voter enthusiasm gap to account for in November, all indications are that it will count against the Republicans as Tea Party followers seek to punish the GOP. But twice in one month now, we have seen that Democrats are in no mood to sit out this election. In fact, Democrats can't wait to vote - so much so that when there is no Democratic primary, they are wrecking havoc on the GOP ones.


read: http://www.thepeoplesview.net/main/2014/6/25/message-from-mississippi-dems-not-sitting-out-2014

related:

Blacks Regain Sway at Polls in Mississippi
http://www.nytimes.com/2014/06/26/us/politics/blacks-regain-sway-at-polls-in-mississippi.html?partner=rss&emc=rss&smid=tw-nytimes&_r=0
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The Message from Mississippi: Democrats are Not Sitting it Out This Year (Original Post) bigtree Jun 2014 OP
hopefully, but we'll see. book_worm Jun 2014 #1
mississippi dems have made it harder to capture that senate seat...is that "not sitting it out"? nt msongs Jun 2014 #2
How so? They voted, but can vote again in November, babylonsister Jun 2014 #3
either way, republicans were favored for that seat bigtree Jun 2014 #4
Spoken like someone who doesn't live there localroger Jun 2014 #14
Who knew? I'm kinda surprised at these developements! Now, if Cochran wins Cha Jun 2014 #5
Hope so. progressoid Jun 2014 #6
Kicked and recommended. Uncle Joe Jun 2014 #7
» bigtree Jun 2014 #8
What part did Democratic voters play in Cantors race? Egnever Jun 2014 #9
Hopefully the frustration of those who have been out of work for a long time, or making lower wages C Moon Jun 2014 #10
Oh please, God, make it so! emsimon33 Jun 2014 #11
I am so pleased that the media is finally recognizing the power of cross-over voting in primaries emsimon33 Jun 2014 #12
Now ya'see why GOPers want to oppress minority voters huh Iliyah Jun 2014 #13
I like the sound of this madokie Jun 2014 #15
I've never voted for a republican in my life, madokie bigtree Jun 2014 #16
I voted for one republicon years ago madokie Jun 2014 #18
what if mcdaniel spilits the vote warrior1 Jun 2014 #17
I had the same thought - he's so fired up over Cochran, he just might bigtree Jun 2014 #20
Let's see if Texas Democrats get the message. Paladin Jun 2014 #19

msongs

(67,361 posts)
2. mississippi dems have made it harder to capture that senate seat...is that "not sitting it out"? nt
Wed Jun 25, 2014, 10:52 PM
Jun 2014

babylonsister

(171,035 posts)
3. How so? They voted, but can vote again in November,
Wed Jun 25, 2014, 11:04 PM
Jun 2014

for whomever they want.

Yes, bigtree, hopefully they're aware now more than ever, and how powerful their vote is!

bigtree

(85,977 posts)
4. either way, republicans were favored for that seat
Wed Jun 25, 2014, 11:10 PM
Jun 2014

. . . but you're free to pretend otherwise. The last Democrat to represent Mississippi in the Senate was John Stennis who retired in 1988. Then, there's Childers . . . I mean, c'mon.

Blaming black voters for losing a race which hasn't even happened just because they had enough backbone to stand up and reject McDaniels is a slap in the face to the black community in Mississippi. McDaniel was an open and flagrant racist. Black voters in Mississippi responded to his candidacy (and his race-baiting) by showing up at the polls and voting him out.

Now it falls to the Democratic party to find a way to tap into that voter enthusiasm - and I believe that vote is there for Democratic candidates nationwide.

localroger

(3,622 posts)
14. Spoken like someone who doesn't live there
Thu Jun 26, 2014, 08:27 AM
Jun 2014

My father is one of those lifelong Democrats who helped push Cochran over the edge. The reason he did it is that, given the likelihood of a Republican victory in November, he had a choice between a sane career Republican and a lunatic greenhorn who wants to dismantle the government. The lesser of the evils may still be evil, but it's also still lesser.

Meanwhile the McDaniel nutballs have reacted so badly to this that they may seriously stage a rebellion or write-in campaign, which could split the Republican vote badly enough to give Childers another chance. This has already been pointed out to them but being infants with no impulse control they've made it clear that THEY DON'T CARE. Which is another good reason to make sure nobody like McDaniel ever gets anywhere near elected office by any means possible.

Cha

(296,848 posts)
5. Who knew? I'm kinda surprised at these developements! Now, if Cochran wins
Wed Jun 25, 2014, 11:11 PM
Jun 2014

the general is he going to turn is back on Dems on Mississippi? Could there be a chance for Rep Travis Childers?

thank you, bigree

progressoid

(49,947 posts)
6. Hope so.
Wed Jun 25, 2014, 11:14 PM
Jun 2014

But seems like it could be a tough one. Didn't Romney win Mississippi pretty easily?

Hope this Dem enthusiasm continues.

 

Egnever

(21,506 posts)
9. What part did Democratic voters play in Cantors race?
Thu Jun 26, 2014, 12:33 AM
Jun 2014

I was unaware of their influence. Was there an open primary there as well?

C Moon

(12,209 posts)
10. Hopefully the frustration of those who have been out of work for a long time, or making lower wages
Thu Jun 26, 2014, 01:03 AM
Jun 2014

and are tired of the arrogance of the self-proclaimed "party of no," and will get more Democratic voters to the polls.
I hope these mid-terms are a surprise to everyone—especially fivethirtyeight.

Iliyah

(25,111 posts)
13. Now ya'see why GOPers want to oppress minority voters huh
Thu Jun 26, 2014, 01:47 AM
Jun 2014

Read that tea nuts baggers spouting how it was foul play, illegal, voter fraud, a fellow so called "conservative" crossed the line and courted them "liberal" Dems (N***ers) who certainly have no right over true "conservative registered white voters.

madokie

(51,076 posts)
15. I like the sound of this
Thu Jun 26, 2014, 08:32 AM
Jun 2014

I'm a down and dirty cut to the bone democrat and would vote for a yellow dog rather than a puke any day.

bigtree

(85,977 posts)
16. I've never voted for a republican in my life, madokie
Thu Jun 26, 2014, 10:40 AM
Jun 2014

. . . but I can understand what motivated these folks to vote the way they did.

This doesn't mean that they've solved their problem for November; might have even hurt their chances, but this is the type of mobilization that Democrats should have been organizing already. One bright spot for Democrats is that they managed to increase black voter registration in the state during this period and also made progress on absentee votes, as well.

The black community comprises about 37% in Mississippi. That's a formidable voting bloc if motivated, as we've just witnessed. Imagine that motivated voter base rising up, this fall, around the nation.

madokie

(51,076 posts)
18. I voted for one republicon years ago
Thu Jun 26, 2014, 10:53 AM
Jun 2014

he was a friend and a good guy otherwise I wouldn't have voted for him.
I'm hoping a lot of Democratic voters get motivated this election. I think this is one of, if not the most, important election in my 66 years. We have a lot riding on this one.
We have a lot of fox noise stupid ass people out there and that worries me to no end

bigtree

(85,977 posts)
20. I had the same thought - he's so fired up over Cochran, he just might
Thu Jun 26, 2014, 11:44 AM
Jun 2014

. . . that would advantage the Democratic choice, if Mississippi Democrats come home.

One thing . . . the Dem choice right now is anti-gay marriage, anti-Obamacare, anti-gun regulation. It's not a banner race there, by any standards.

Paladin

(28,243 posts)
19. Let's see if Texas Democrats get the message.
Thu Jun 26, 2014, 10:55 AM
Jun 2014

Given all the negativity that's been spewed, from the national party leadership kicking the state off it's "to-do" list, to self-satisfied Blue State Dems assuring everyone that Texas is nothing more than a Third World sump hole, it won't be easy. But then, we Texans never expected it to be. Go Wendy!

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