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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsWhy An Oil Crash Is Exactly What Obama Needs
Why An Oil Crash Is Exactly What Obama Needsby Colin Campbell at Business Insider
http://www.businessinsider.com/why-an-oil-crash-is-exactly-what-obama-needs-2014-12
"SNIP........................
Earlier on Monday, the price of both Brent and WTI crude hit a five-year low. Prices have fallen more than 30% since peaking in June, and the decline has accelerated since OPEC declined to cut production at its November meeting. Declining global demand and rising US production have led to a glut in supply this year.
Seib argued this price drop has both domestic and international benefits for the Obama administration. High gasoline prices, which result from high oil prices, are widely detested among American consumers. And many of the countries hurt by low oil prices could be on a who's-who list of US geopolitical foes.
"It's hard to imagine a single development that carries so many upsides and so few downsides. The domestic economic benefits are obvious," Seib wrote. "It just happens that the countries hurt most by the oil-price decline are on the current U.S. naughty list, from Iran and Syria to Russia and Venezuela. Meanwhile, many obvious economic and strategic beneficiariesJordan, Egypt, Israel and Japan among themare on the nice list."
A senior administration official told the Journal the impact would be "very profound" in Russia, an oil exporter that has repeatedly clashed with the US over its recent annexation of Ukrainian territory.
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Jesus Malverde
(10,274 posts)Obviously a lot at play and not all win win.
yeoman6987
(14,449 posts)For poor and working class. We get to keep more of our hard earned money. I hope it goes below a buck. That is what it was during the Clinton economic boon.
Lugano
(52 posts)not sell it to China for profits.
It's way past time to nationalize the O&G industry since they can't handle their excessive profits and it goes to the pockets of CEO's which has not earned a damn dollar. It's time that we utilize the needs properly.
And we should close all the oil fields and convert them to wind/solar energy, which creates real paying jobs in the long term, while Oil/Gas can only be finite and short-term.
okaawhatever
(9,461 posts)Saudi Arabia is playing the long game on this one, but the average person will benefit worldwide in the meantime. Less money going into OPEC/BP pockets and more money in the American economy. Good thing for us.
applegrove
(118,622 posts)okaawhatever
(9,461 posts)fracking fields. It seems that the current technology has gotten competitive price-wise and there is a new technology in the works that would make a lot more fields viable. By driving down the price of oil, companies will stop spending the R & D dollars to develop it because it won't make sense fiscally. I don't think OPEC ever saw fracking as a threat because initially it was too expensive. As they have improved the methods it has become competitive price-wise and a threat to them. They didn't react to the initial fracking boom and maybe this time they don't want to repeat the same mistake.
That is what I read, I don't know how true it is but it makes sense.
applegrove
(118,622 posts)$60 a barrel I think.
GitRDun
(1,846 posts)The current oil price fall is largely speculator driven. The actual growth in inventories is fairly small.
And don't look now but rigs that had three year wait times are suddenly available in the Gulf Coast. Permits for new wells are way down in November as well.
While the speculators may have driven the price down, it may not be long before the physical drives inventories lower, then it's anybody's guess where the price goes.
The tide is flowing out today. You'll see some players with high marginal costs and crappy balance sheets get squeezed, maybe tank. Banks aren't too friendly when your revenue is squeezed by 40% and your borrowing base has collapsed.
The most important thing I've learned over the years is no matter who tells you they know what's going on with any commodity price, they don't know anything.