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xchrom

(108,903 posts)
Tue Dec 9, 2014, 10:50 AM Dec 2014

The Great Wealth Meltdown: Middle-Class Families Are Worth Less Today Than in 1969

http://www.slate.com/blogs/moneybox/2014/12/08/collapse_of_middle_class_wealth_the_median_family_is_worth_less_today_than.html



How thoroughly did the Great Recession savage middle-class America's finances? Economist Edward Wolff will tell you. The New York University professor has updated his long-running analysis of wealth in America to include data from the Federal Reserve's 2013 Survey of Consumer Finances. The big takeaway: Thanks to the recession, the median U.S. household is now worth less than in 1969. (Back in July I guessed this might be the case based on a slightly different data set.)



A little context: Net worth equals a family's assets, such as a home or retirement account, minus its debts. Or to put it another way, it's what you own minus what you owe. In his analysis, Wolff doesn't count consumer goods like televisions or furniture as assets because they're not easy to sell off, and usually aren't worth a whole lot anyway. A tiny bit more controversially, he doesn't count vehicles either, because most people can't just choose to get rid of their car when they need money (you have to commute to work, after all). Meanwhile, setting aside arguments about inequality, there are lots of reasons to care about the net worth of the middle class. First, it gives families a financial cushion. Second, there's a documented "wealth effect" on spending—households are more willing to open their wallets when their home prices are rising and stock portfolio is flush. In other words, when the middle class feels wealthy, it's good for all of us.

The story of why middle-class wealth collapsed is familiar by now. Americans loaded up on debt—especially mortgage debt—in the lead-up to the recession. Then the housing market collapsed, and suddenly families were left with little home equity, and lots of financial obligations. Many found themselves underwater on their mortgages, meaning they owed more than their house was worth.
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The Great Wealth Meltdown: Middle-Class Families Are Worth Less Today Than in 1969 (Original Post) xchrom Dec 2014 OP
Quick! Elect some republicans! Turbineguy Dec 2014 #1
But we don't need tariffs to protect middle class abelenkpe Dec 2014 #2
Tariffs do not protect the middle class. Coolidge and Hoover enacted high tariffs, the middle class pampango Dec 2014 #5
O baloney they are exactly what labor groups are calling for abelenkpe Dec 2014 #16
Ask German workers or Swedish workers. High wages, strong unions and middle class. Low/no tariffs. pampango Dec 2014 #20
I'm sick of hearing about the "middle class". What about the working class? Odin2005 Dec 2014 #3
They used to be one and the same. jwirr Dec 2014 #13
They are one in the same. nt abelenkpe Dec 2014 #17
Correct just not middle class anymore. jwirr Dec 2014 #18
How are they PasadenaTrudy Dec 2014 #4
The study is behind a paywall, but it seems to be an analysis of the Federal Reserve's SCF Gormy Cuss Dec 2014 #7
Thanks! n/t PasadenaTrudy Dec 2014 #11
Retirement accounts generally are exempt from creditor seizure closeupready Dec 2014 #6
AND this is generally with two adults working vs. one 'breadwinner' in 1969 Matariki Dec 2014 #8
+1 xchrom Dec 2014 #9
Not as needed today as in 1969 The2ndWheel Dec 2014 #10
Homeowners were sold more than a house. Recursion Dec 2014 #12
I think it was the definition of retirement investment that was misunderstood. A house is a great jwirr Dec 2014 #14
Oh, true, it's use value is great for retirement Recursion Dec 2014 #15
I am not impressed with medians hfojvt Dec 2014 #19

Turbineguy

(37,313 posts)
1. Quick! Elect some republicans!
Tue Dec 9, 2014, 11:03 AM
Dec 2014

There's still over $63,000 per family to be fleeced.

Ah.... we did already.

abelenkpe

(9,933 posts)
2. But we don't need tariffs to protect middle class
Tue Dec 9, 2014, 12:22 PM
Dec 2014

Jobs from offshoring. Heard it right here on DU. A fine example of right wing revisionist history talking point repeated here. Let the fleecing continue. We'll blame lost jobs on failing education and use that excuse to finish handing over our public education system to private companies. Screw over those teachers in unions and blame our children for under achieving instead.

pampango

(24,692 posts)
5. Tariffs do not protect the middle class. Coolidge and Hoover enacted high tariffs, the middle class
Tue Dec 9, 2014, 12:29 PM
Dec 2014

suffered. FDR lowered tariffs, the middle class prospered. Obviously there was much more to it than that but FDR did not view tariffs as the friend of the middle class.

abelenkpe

(9,933 posts)
16. O baloney they are exactly what labor groups are calling for
Tue Dec 9, 2014, 04:00 PM
Dec 2014

We need countervailing tariffs to counter subsidies offered by other countries that lure good paying jobs away from the US. Or serious tax penalties for companies that offshore. Without them we will continue to lose jobs in today's economy. Ask steel workers. Ask VFX workers. Ask any other industry who has seen their work leave within the past twenty years. If it hasn't happened to your industry yet consider yourself fortunate.

pampango

(24,692 posts)
20. Ask German workers or Swedish workers. High wages, strong unions and middle class. Low/no tariffs.
Wed Dec 10, 2014, 08:35 AM
Dec 2014

FDR understood how this works. Germany and Sweden are just following FDR's prescription.

Gormy Cuss

(30,884 posts)
7. The study is behind a paywall, but it seems to be an analysis of the Federal Reserve's SCF
Tue Dec 9, 2014, 01:40 PM
Dec 2014

(Survey of Consumer Finances) data. That survey uses a specific definition of a household as the unit of measure -- IOW, it's not a family definition, it's a household definition where one person may be a household or a family grouping.. Wolff may have normalized the data to a specific household size, but I can't tell.

 

closeupready

(29,503 posts)
6. Retirement accounts generally are exempt from creditor seizure
Tue Dec 9, 2014, 12:30 PM
Dec 2014

or garnishment - which was a rider attached to the 2005 bankruptcy reform bill (not sure if Roth IRA's or exempt, but I think 401(k) are). So unlike a house, a retirement account is kind of a super-asset. The average balance, on the other hand, is really low. Not sure where that would leave us in the chart, but just wanted to throw that out there.

Matariki

(18,775 posts)
8. AND this is generally with two adults working vs. one 'breadwinner' in 1969
Tue Dec 9, 2014, 01:48 PM
Dec 2014

In other words 80 or more hours of labor is providing for less than what 40 hours did for our parents or grandparents.

Way to go America.

Recursion

(56,582 posts)
12. Homeowners were sold more than a house.
Tue Dec 9, 2014, 03:30 PM
Dec 2014

They were sold a myth that a house could be a retirement investment.

jwirr

(39,215 posts)
14. I think it was the definition of retirement investment that was misunderstood. A house is a great
Tue Dec 9, 2014, 03:42 PM
Dec 2014

investment IF you are planning on living in it the rest of your life. It is when you think that it is going to rise in value and you are going to be able to sell it for a fortune so you can live in luxury that the problem exists.

I was born in 1941 and that is the definition that was used back then. My grandmother sold the farm after her husband died and lived the next 40 years in the little house she bought with the money. There was enough money left over for her and my aunt to live on. A farm was a good investment to be sold. A house was better used for what it was meant for.

I would be much better off if I had remembered that.

Recursion

(56,582 posts)
15. Oh, true, it's use value is great for retirement
Tue Dec 9, 2014, 03:44 PM
Dec 2014

But as a cash-out proposition, well, supply, demand, demographics...

hfojvt

(37,573 posts)
19. I am not impressed with medians
Tue Dec 9, 2014, 04:54 PM
Dec 2014

People always seem to use the median like it is a measure that shows EVERYTHING.

Like if the median goes up, we ALL are better off, or, in this case, if the median goes down, we are ALL worse off.

I don't buy it.

Thanks to the census, I have some detailed information about 2002 and 2011. According to this graph, median was $30,000 higher in 2002 than it was in 2011. That's what the graph says. What do the censuses say, with much greater detail?

2002
zero or negative - 16.9%
less than $5,000 - 9.3
less than $10,000 - 4.8
less than $25,000 - 7.6
less than $50,000 - 8.5
less than $100,000 - 12.9
less than $250,000 - 20.3
less than $500,000 - 11.1
more than $500,000 - 8.5

2011

zero or negative - 18.1%
less than $5,000 - 9.1
less than $10,000 - 4.8
less than $25,000 - 6.6
less than $50,000 - 6.9
less than $100,000 - 10.4
less than $250,000 - 17.9
less than $500,000 - 12.6
more than $500,000 - 13.5

then add inflation $100 in 2002 = $125.04 in 2011

Just looking at the nominal figures, in 2002 39.8% had more than $100,000 in net worth versus 44% having that much in 2011. On the other side, for both years 38.6% had less than $25,000 in net worth.

Just for fun, because it looks interesting, let me include 1993

zero or negative - 12.6%
less than $5,000 - 14.2
less than $10,000 - 6.5
less than $25,000 - 11.2
less than $50,000 - 12.2
less than $100,000 - 15.1
less than $250,000 - 17.6
less than $500,000 - 7.0
more than $500,000 - 3.5

Of course inflation becomes more of a problem, because $100 in 1993 = $155.67 in 2011. So $250,000 in 1993 becomes $389,175 in 2011 and $50,000 becomes $77,835.

The interesting part is that the middle is being vacated. In 1993, 38.5% of all households were in the $10,000 to $100,000 range. In 2011 than number had dropped to 23.9%. Some of that may be inflation since $64,238 in 2002 translates to $100,000 in 2011.

Some of that would seem to be - good as the percentage over $250,000 has grown from 10.5% to 19.6% to 26.1%.

But that prosperity is not shared with those at the bottom. In fact, those underwater has steadily grown from 12.6% to 16.9% to 18.1%. And those under $10,000 has held pretty steady at 33.3 to 31 to 32% (even while the value of $10,000 has gone down to $6,424.

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