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Purveyor

(29,876 posts)
Wed Oct 21, 2015, 06:18 PM Oct 2015

NASA Gives 99-Percent Probability Of 5.0 Earthquake In LA Within The Next Two-And-A-Half Years

PASADENA (CBSLA.com) — If scientists at NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory in Pasadena are correct, a moderately-sized earthquake is expected within the next two-and-a-half years.

JPL experts predict a possible 5.0 magnitude quake in Los Angeles, but say it very well could be stronger. JPL geophysicist Dr. Andrea Donnellan, along with seven other scientists, has been using radar and GPS to measure Southern California’s chances for a sizable earthquake, and has made a sobering hypothesis about another big one.

“When the La Habra earthquake happened, it was relieving some of that stress, and it actually shook some of the upper sediments in the LA basin and moved those a little bit more,” Dr. Donellan said.

However, according to Dr. Donnellan, those strains remain, with enough power to produce an even larger quake in the same epicenter in La Habra.

“There’s enough energy stored to produce about a magnitude 6.1 to 6.3 earthquake,” Dr. Donnellan described.

MORE...

http://losangeles.cbslocal.com/2015/10/20/nasa-gives-99-percent-probability-of-5-0-earthquake-in-la/

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NASA Gives 99-Percent Probability Of 5.0 Earthquake In LA Within The Next Two-And-A-Half Years (Original Post) Purveyor Oct 2015 OP
Marta and I have many friends in the LA area Omaha Steve Oct 2015 #1
Earth quakes, fires, mud slides, drought, tsunamis upaloopa Oct 2015 #2
Well, it's not like LA has a volcano. Wilms Oct 2015 #4
I LOVE LA, I do...5.0 aint no thang, actually. randys1 Oct 2015 #3
Exactly, lived here most of my adult life rufus dog Oct 2015 #5
I lived in SoCal from 1996 to 2001, and a 5.0 quake... Raster Oct 2015 #7
I love the west coast, what's not to love? mountain grammy Oct 2015 #6
The location of the earthquake is also crucial AZ Progressive Oct 2015 #8
5.0 shouldn't be a big deal Travis_0004 Oct 2015 #9

upaloopa

(11,417 posts)
2. Earth quakes, fires, mud slides, drought, tsunamis
Wed Oct 21, 2015, 06:31 PM
Oct 2015

We take a licking but keep on ticking
Last week we had mud slides at the grapevine on the 5 Freeway all lanes closed for 48 hrs
Traffic was bumper to bumper on the 101 from Santa Barbara to Los Angeles.
I just hope Diablo Canyon nuclear plant doesn't melt down.

 

Wilms

(26,795 posts)
4. Well, it's not like LA has a volcano.
Wed Oct 21, 2015, 06:37 PM
Oct 2015

I mean, what's a mudslide compared to a lava flow?

That said...stay safe.

 

rufus dog

(8,419 posts)
5. Exactly, lived here most of my adult life
Wed Oct 21, 2015, 06:41 PM
Oct 2015

And an earthquake is not going to make my top five worries

Raster

(20,998 posts)
7. I lived in SoCal from 1996 to 2001, and a 5.0 quake...
Wed Oct 21, 2015, 06:49 PM
Oct 2015

...meh, no big deal. It seemed as though we had those on a weekly basis.

mountain grammy

(26,619 posts)
6. I love the west coast, what's not to love?
Wed Oct 21, 2015, 06:47 PM
Oct 2015

answer: earthquakes. Scare me to death. Watched too many movies.

AZ Progressive

(3,411 posts)
8. The location of the earthquake is also crucial
Wed Oct 21, 2015, 06:55 PM
Oct 2015

A 6.0 earthquake in the San Francisco bay area just recently was located in a remote part of it (the Napa area) and the energy went away from the highly urbanized areas of it and thus the destruction was highly limited.

 

Travis_0004

(5,417 posts)
9. 5.0 shouldn't be a big deal
Wed Oct 21, 2015, 07:03 PM
Oct 2015

Probably breeak some dishes, and open some drawers. I would not expect heavy damage, especially in California where code is desinged with earthquakes in mind.

Even where I live, we have no earthquake codes and 5.0 shouldn't cause major damage.

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