Poll shows Clinton with commanding lead among Florida Democrats
Source: Politico Florida
Hillary Clinton dominates the Democratic field in Florida, where she receives more than half the likely primary vote and has more than triple the support of second-place challenger Bernie Sanders, according to a new poll.
The University of North Florida survey shows Vice President Joe Biden who is flirting with a potential presidential bid a distant third with just 11.2 percent of the likely Democratic vote. Clinton, the former secretary of state, gets 54.6 percent of the primary vote compared to 15.9 percent for Sanders, the Vermont senator.
The Democratic primary in Florida is Clinton Country, said Michael Binder, a UNF political science professor who oversaw the survey of 632 likely Democratic voters in Florida. The margin of error is plus or minus 3.87 percentage points.
The first Democratic debate showed the race is Hillary Clinton and everyone else, Binder said. Sure, Bernie Sanders is nice and good for the very liberal wing of the party but in our poll, even among very liberal voters, shes winning handily.
Read more: http://www.capitalnewyork.com/article/florida/2015/10/8580306/poll-shows-clinton-commanding-lead-among-florida-democrats
Thinkingabout
(30,058 posts)BlueCaliDem
(15,438 posts)Florida: a must win State.
Tarheel_Dem
(31,207 posts)marble falls
(56,353 posts)Freddie Stubbs
(29,853 posts)And Hillary did very well (49%, compared to Obama's 33%) in the 2008 primary.
FLPanhandle
(7,107 posts)Hillary will do well in this state.
I like Bernie, but I expect Hillary to win.
DhhD
(4,695 posts)IMO the focus will move.
riversedge
(69,708 posts)retrowire
(10,345 posts)yep.
riversedge
(69,708 posts)Oct 21 N. Florida Univ Poll: Clinton 54.6 Sanders 15.9 Biden 11.2 Likely Dem voters
Hillary Clinton dominates the Democratic field in Florida, where she receives more than half the likely primary vote and has more than triple the support of second-place challenger Bernie Sanders, according to a new poll.
The University of North Florida survey shows Vice President Joe Biden who is flirting with a potential presidential bid a distant third with just 11.2 percent of the likely Democratic vote. Clinton, the former secretary of state, gets 54.6 percent of the primary vote compared to 15.9 percent for Sanders, the Vermont senator.
The Democratic primary in Florida is Clinton Country, said Michael Binder, a UNF political science professor who oversaw the survey of 632 likely Democratic voters in Florida. The margin of error is plus or minus 3.87 percentage points.
The first Democratic debate showed the race is Hillary Clinton and everyone else, Binder said. Sure, Bernie Sanders is nice and good for the very liberal wing of the party but in our poll, even among very liberal voters, shes winning handily.
http://www.capitalnewyork.com/article/florida/2015/10/8580306/poll-shows-clinton-commanding-lead-among-florida-democrats
MineralMan
(146,189 posts)the 60+% range in the next polls.
Walk away
(9,494 posts)New Jersey is Clinton Country too!
wolfie001
(2,131 posts)Well, mainly because.....it's West Virginia!!!
hay rick
(7,520 posts)The missing context: Clinton has gone from >+50% to <+30% in the last 3-4 months. Polls summary here: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/fl/florida_democratic_presidential_primary-3556.html
The article describes the Florida presidential primary as winner-take-all, which would be great for Hillary if she could hold on to even a 1% lead. According to the Florida Democratic Party however (http://www.floridadems.org/2016-florida-delegate-selection-plan), the delegate selection plan is: "1. The results of Florida's March 15, 2016 presidential primary election will be used to apportion delegates to the national convention."
My personal experience is that Sanders activists are highly visible in my red part of Florida while Hillary has zero events and no local visibility outside of coverage in the national media.
Fuddnik
(8,846 posts)Republicans about 32% And No Party Affiliation at 30%.
Many of the NPA's are disaffected R's and D's, who got fed up with this whole corrupt system, and didn't want to associate with either side.
The job for the Sanders campaign is to get those NPA's re-registered as Dems, and get them out to vote in the Primary.
hay rick
(7,520 posts)The deadline for eligibility is February 15 for the March 15 primary. My county is very red with a current registration ratio of about 2:1:1 (Republican, Democratic, and other). Registrations in the last year are 45.2% other, 35.9% Republican, and 18.9% Democrats. The R/D ratio is actually improving. The upsurge in NPA and "Independent" registrations bodes ill for voter turnout.
Tarheel_Dem
(31,207 posts)Fuddnik
(8,846 posts)Tarheel_Dem
(31,207 posts)Gamecock Lefty
(698 posts)And Hillary will be the treat for us!!!
Make America Even Greater - Elect Hillary!