Hillary has 41 point lead over Sanders Iowa
Source: Bloomberg
Hillary Clinton has support of 65% of likely Iowa Democratic caucus-goers, while Bernie Sanders has 24% and Martin OMalley has 5%, according to first Monmouth University poll since Clintons House Benghazi panel appearance and Vice President Joe Bidens decision not to run.
Read more: http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/trackers/2015-10-27/clinton-has-41-point-lead-over-sanders-in-iowa-monmouth-poll
Skinner
(63,645 posts)I am getting a 404 error.
thearchive
(14 posts)Its a blowout right now, but the headline writers have a job to do.
riversedge
(70,186 posts)Iliyah
(25,111 posts)magical thyme
(14,881 posts)that was with Biden not included. I don't see Monmouth U. polls included in either of their lists, although maybe I didn't look far enough back...
Hard to believe that Bernie lost 15 points to Hillary based on the hearings, though. Until I see evidence of otherwise (i.e. multiple different pollsters showing similar, dramatic change), I'm considering this an outlier.
riversedge
(70,186 posts)http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/trackers/2015-10-27/clinton-has-41-point-lead-over-sanders-in-iowa-monmouth-poll
Clintons lead over Sanders is strong among both male voters (55% to 33%) and female voters (73% to 16%)
Clinton is second choice of 68% of Sanders supporters, while 19% say OMalley would be their second choice
We now have a two-person race, but one of those competitors has just pulled very far ahead, says Patrick Murray, director of Monmouth University Polling Institute in West Long Branch, N.J.
Clinton has 88% favorable rating and 8% unfavorable
Sanders has 77% favorable and 11% unfavorable, OMalley has 50% favorable and 14% unfavorable
Oct. 22-25 phone survey of 400 Iowa voters likely to attend Democratic caucuses has MOE of +/- 4.9 ppts
riversedge
(70,186 posts)http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/2016_democratic_presidential_nomination-3824.html
Polling Data
Poll Date Sample
Clinton
Sanders
Biden
Webb
O'Malley
Chafee
Spread
RCP Average 10/10 - 10/18 -- 48.2 25.4 17.0 1.0 0.6 0.0 Clinton +22.8
NBC/WSJ 10/15 - 10/18 400 RV 49 29 15 2 1 0 Clinton +20
ABC/Wash Post 10/15 - 10/18 444 RV 54 23 16 1 1 0 Clinton +31
Monmouth 10/15 - 10/18 340 RV 48 21 17 1 0 0 Clinton +27
CNN/ORC 10/14 - 10/17 291 RV 45 29 18 1 0 0 Clinton +16
FOX News 10/10 - 10/12 353 RV 45 25 19 0 1 0 Clinton +20
magical thyme
(14,881 posts)methodology instead.
Indeed, I'm finding some peculiar framing in their IOWA polling.
But nice try. I'd put you on ignore if I didn't feel the need to unskew your interpretations...
riversedge
(70,186 posts)probably know they have the Iowa summary also.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/ia/iowa_democratic_presidential_caucus-3195.html#polls
magical thyme
(14,881 posts)I forgot that Hillary supporters tend to be humor-challenged, although I honestly don't understand why given her lead and the leg up the Benghazi-nuts just gave her...
Thor_MN
(11,843 posts)Sorry that you were unaware that you were nasty...
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magical thyme
(14,881 posts)I do believe a flawed methodology gave poor results.
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Geronimoe
(1,539 posts)He is surging too!
George II
(67,782 posts)I believe this is the first comprehensive post-debate, post-hearing, post-JJ dinner poll to be released.
riversedge
(70,186 posts)Geronimoe
(1,539 posts)At least that is what Goldman Sachs gives her to speak.
Back in the 2008 campaign both Bill and Hillary had stump speeches and the only people who showed up where locally elected politicians and policemen. Both whine on but never say anything of significance.
George II
(67,782 posts)bluestateguy
(44,173 posts)he could shave that down to about a 35 point deficit.
George II
(67,782 posts)blackspade
(10,056 posts)Definitely helped, but I think the GOP deserves the most praise for these numbers.
Their masterful Benghazi hearing was a political coup that just keeps on giving.
George II
(67,782 posts)....that they no longer are.
I think this is a portent of things to come in other states, and the trend nationally.
blackspade
(10,056 posts)Her performance earned her every point.
corkhead
(6,119 posts)stillwaiting
(3,795 posts)He insults and condescends to Bernie supporters like few others can.
Of course, he is correct in this instance.
LanternWaste
(37,748 posts)Polls which do validate my opinions are flawed. Or mean nothing this late out. Or are skewed. Or have too small a sampling size. Only polls which do in fact, validate my opinions are valid. And righteous. And in accordance with the universe and all its beauty...
SunSeeker
(51,550 posts)DCBob
(24,689 posts)She really did have good week!
DCBob
(24,689 posts)I was expecting a nice bump but this is huge.
Nye Bevan
(25,406 posts)But it seems that we may well end up getting one anyway.
I have always thought and hoped that Hillary would win the nomination, but I'm not sure whether the primaries being too easy for her will be a good thing later on in the general.
Robbins
(5,066 posts)while I stay home on election day.
Adrahil
(13,340 posts)If you do that knowing what is at stake, you are a fool.
And NO, Hillary is not as bad as the GOP, and anyone who thinks she is being ridiculous.
Nye Bevan
(25,406 posts)Tarheel_Dem
(31,232 posts)Adrahil
(13,340 posts)But that's most likely an outlier. That's WAY out of line with other recent polls. Unless the Benghazi circus really DI have a huge effect.
brooklynite
(94,493 posts)Adrahil
(13,340 posts)To be clear, I am a Hillary supporter, but these numbers are pretty shocking....
Just based on the Loras poll... maybe it's just that almost ALL of the Biden supporters now support Hillary?
Could be....