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NMDemDist2

(49,313 posts)
Fri Sep 7, 2012, 01:06 PM Sep 2012

Obama Bounces Up to 52% Approval, 48% to 45% Over Romney

Source: Gallup.com

President Barack Obama and the Democratic Party look as if they are getting at least a preliminary bounce from their convention. Today's (Friday, Sept. 7) Gallup Daily tracking update puts Obama's job approval rating at 52%, the highest it has been since May 2011, after the killing of Osama bin Laden. Obama has also moved to a 48% to 45% lead over Mitt Romney among registered voters in the election tracking, up from Obama's 47% to 46% margin over the last nine days.

Gallup averages the job approval rating on a three-day rolling average, meaning that today's report encompasses interviewing conducted over the three days of the Democratic Convention in Charlotte -- Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday. Gallup's report of presidential election preferences are, on the other hand, based on a seven-day rolling average stretching from last Friday, the day after the GOP Convention ended, through last night.

This uptick in these two indicators stands in contrast to tracking during the Republican Convention, during which there was no discernible bounce on the ballot tracking. Gallup does not track other measures on Romney that would be comparable to the job approval figure for Obama.

The current data are quite preliminary and for the most part don't reflect the influence of Obama's late Thursday night speech, if any.

Read more: http://pollingmatters.gallup.com/

34 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Obama Bounces Up to 52% Approval, 48% to 45% Over Romney (Original Post) NMDemDist2 Sep 2012 OP
Bump! nt aaaaaa5a Sep 2012 #1
I'll take it! fugop Sep 2012 #2
Woo Hoo skeewee08 Sep 2012 #3
That bump is actually HUGE! Think about this. aaaaaa5a Sep 2012 #4
yup mac56 Sep 2012 #7
2 points (+1 to +3)... gcomeau Sep 2012 #11
Fired up! savalez Sep 2012 #5
Ready To Go! nt Javaman Sep 2012 #20
Fired Up! goclark Sep 2012 #27
Ready to go! greyl Sep 2012 #32
This is what happens when you have a convention of hope, diversity, and inclusiveness... sa2968 Sep 2012 #6
Obama Boogies Down and Does the Bump! DonViejo Sep 2012 #8
I want this SO bad! cilla4progress Sep 2012 #9
+100 demosincebirth Sep 2012 #14
This doesn't even reflect his or Biden's speech. However, the jobs numbers may Liberal_Stalwart71 Sep 2012 #10
But the numbers do reflect xxqqqzme Sep 2012 #12
I know that. What I'm saying is that these numbers don't reflect the JOBS REPORT Liberal_Stalwart71 Sep 2012 #19
I don't think it really includes Clinton either since leftynyc Sep 2012 #15
K&R CountAllVotes Sep 2012 #13
Awesome & let's keep it going!!! hue Sep 2012 #16
Forward and Upward liberal N proud Sep 2012 #17
It is going to be a much larger bounce in a few days cosmicone Sep 2012 #18
Romney is Incitatus Sep 2012 #21
45% would vote for Romney. tabasco Sep 2012 #33
I think they are lying but I'll take it. I am sure that it O's lead is more than 3 points. nt nanabugg Sep 2012 #22
I want to see him break 50% against Romney andym Sep 2012 #23
I wanna see him open up about 25 lengths! lonestarnot Sep 2012 #26
That would be great! And carry the rest of the congressional candidates to victory! nt. andym Sep 2012 #31
Does This Mean the rePIGs Will Give Up on Stealing the Election? triplepoint Sep 2012 #24
Wooooooodamnwho! lonestarnot Sep 2012 #25
Barring bad debate performances... budkin Sep 2012 #28
Debate skills li-get BrainMann1 Sep 2012 #30
You did it PREZ BrainMann1 Sep 2012 #29
1 million voters RonTiger Sep 2012 #34

aaaaaa5a

(4,667 posts)
4. That bump is actually HUGE! Think about this.
Fri Sep 7, 2012, 01:12 PM
Sep 2012

Gallup does its tracker over a 7 day period.

Yesterday it was Obama 47/Romney 46 or Obama +1. Then the VERY NEXT DAY with only 1 additional day on the 7 day tracker Obama jumps 3 points!

Folks, thats all Clinton from Wednesday night. (Remember Obama's post tracking numbers won't be included until Saturday.)

To move a 7 day tracking number 3 points with just one extra day means that Obama must have been up HUGE NUMBERS in Thursday's tracking poll. Its the only way 1 day could move a 7 day tracking number that much so quickly.


Thanks BIG DAWG!



When Obama's speech is added..... look out!

sa2968

(38 posts)
6. This is what happens when you have a convention of hope, diversity, and inclusiveness...
Fri Sep 7, 2012, 01:19 PM
Sep 2012

...versus a convention of hate, anger, and bitterness.

 

Liberal_Stalwart71

(20,450 posts)
10. This doesn't even reflect his or Biden's speech. However, the jobs numbers may
Fri Sep 7, 2012, 01:28 PM
Sep 2012

or may not deflate any bounce.

I'm hoping, however, the the less than desired jobs report won't have too much of a factor here, and people focus on the fact that jobs were created, even if the number is lower than anticipated.

 

Liberal_Stalwart71

(20,450 posts)
19. I know that. What I'm saying is that these numbers don't reflect the JOBS REPORT
Fri Sep 7, 2012, 03:26 PM
Sep 2012

This polls is coming out BEFORE the jobs report was released.

People may therefore be upset that the numbers are lower than expected and then blame the president for it.

That's all I'm saying.

 

leftynyc

(26,060 posts)
15. I don't think it really includes Clinton either since
Fri Sep 7, 2012, 02:32 PM
Sep 2012

he didn't stop speaking until 11:25ish - do they poll that late?

 

cosmicone

(11,014 posts)
18. It is going to be a much larger bounce in a few days
Fri Sep 7, 2012, 03:03 PM
Sep 2012

when the average is not dragged down by the previous numbers.

andym

(5,443 posts)
23. I want to see him break 50% against Romney
Sat Sep 8, 2012, 10:54 AM
Sep 2012

that's the key number. 48 to 45 is an improvement, but getting over 50% indicates that he's persuaded the majority he needs to win. If greater than 50% want a candidate within some reasonable proximity of the election, it means there's a good chance to get their vote on election day.

 

triplepoint

(431 posts)
24. Does This Mean the rePIGs Will Give Up on Stealing the Election?
Sat Sep 8, 2012, 01:16 PM
Sep 2012

...or just make us feel like we've got immunity from "being voted off the island?"

BrainMann1

(460 posts)
30. Debate skills li-get
Sat Sep 8, 2012, 02:25 PM
Sep 2012

he has nothing to worry about with Mitt. AlphaCat 99 problems but Mitt ain't one.

 

RonTiger

(14 posts)
34. 1 million voters
Mon Sep 10, 2012, 01:09 AM
Sep 2012

Usually polls on big medias are samples of 1000 or 10,000 voters only. We need atleast opinions from 1 million voters to get the true picture.

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