Obama Bounces Up to 52% Approval, 48% to 45% Over Romney
Source: Gallup.com
President Barack Obama and the Democratic Party look as if they are getting at least a preliminary bounce from their convention. Today's (Friday, Sept. 7) Gallup Daily tracking update puts Obama's job approval rating at 52%, the highest it has been since May 2011, after the killing of Osama bin Laden. Obama has also moved to a 48% to 45% lead over Mitt Romney among registered voters in the election tracking, up from Obama's 47% to 46% margin over the last nine days.
Gallup averages the job approval rating on a three-day rolling average, meaning that today's report encompasses interviewing conducted over the three days of the Democratic Convention in Charlotte -- Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday. Gallup's report of presidential election preferences are, on the other hand, based on a seven-day rolling average stretching from last Friday, the day after the GOP Convention ended, through last night.
This uptick in these two indicators stands in contrast to tracking during the Republican Convention, during which there was no discernible bounce on the ballot tracking. Gallup does not track other measures on Romney that would be comparable to the job approval figure for Obama.
The current data are quite preliminary and for the most part don't reflect the influence of Obama's late Thursday night speech, if any.
Read more: http://pollingmatters.gallup.com/
aaaaaa5a
(4,667 posts)fugop
(1,828 posts)Fired up and ready to go!
skeewee08
(1,983 posts)aaaaaa5a
(4,667 posts)Gallup does its tracker over a 7 day period.
Yesterday it was Obama 47/Romney 46 or Obama +1. Then the VERY NEXT DAY with only 1 additional day on the 7 day tracker Obama jumps 3 points!
Folks, thats all Clinton from Wednesday night. (Remember Obama's post tracking numbers won't be included until Saturday.)
To move a 7 day tracking number 3 points with just one extra day means that Obama must have been up HUGE NUMBERS in Thursday's tracking poll. Its the only way 1 day could move a 7 day tracking number that much so quickly.
Thanks BIG DAWG!
When Obama's speech is added..... look out!
gcomeau
(5,764 posts)...but still a valid, if slightly less high magnitude, observation.
savalez
(3,517 posts)Javaman
(62,504 posts)goclark
(30,404 posts)greyl
(22,990 posts)sa2968
(38 posts)...versus a convention of hate, anger, and bitterness.
DonViejo
(60,536 posts)cilla4progress
(24,718 posts)Tearing up!
demosincebirth
(12,530 posts)Liberal_Stalwart71
(20,450 posts)or may not deflate any bounce.
I'm hoping, however, the the less than desired jobs report won't have too much of a factor here, and people focus on the fact that jobs were created, even if the number is lower than anticipated.
xxqqqzme
(14,887 posts)and re-enforce the 'we're getting there' theme of the last 2 nights.
Liberal_Stalwart71
(20,450 posts)This polls is coming out BEFORE the jobs report was released.
People may therefore be upset that the numbers are lower than expected and then blame the president for it.
That's all I'm saying.
leftynyc
(26,060 posts)he didn't stop speaking until 11:25ish - do they poll that late?
CountAllVotes
(20,867 posts)hue
(4,949 posts)liberal N proud
(60,332 posts)Not backward and downward.
cosmicone
(11,014 posts)when the average is not dragged down by the previous numbers.
Incitatus
(5,317 posts)tabasco
(22,974 posts)This country is toast.
nanabugg
(2,198 posts)andym
(5,443 posts)that's the key number. 48 to 45 is an improvement, but getting over 50% indicates that he's persuaded the majority he needs to win. If greater than 50% want a candidate within some reasonable proximity of the election, it means there's a good chance to get their vote on election day.
lonestarnot
(77,097 posts)andym
(5,443 posts)triplepoint
(431 posts)...or just make us feel like we've got immunity from "being voted off the island?"
lonestarnot
(77,097 posts)budkin
(6,699 posts)He's got this!
BrainMann1
(460 posts)he has nothing to worry about with Mitt. AlphaCat 99 problems but Mitt ain't one.
BrainMann1
(460 posts)RonTiger
(14 posts)Usually polls on big medias are samples of 1000 or 10,000 voters only. We need atleast opinions from 1 million voters to get the true picture.