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highplainsdem

(48,970 posts)
Fri Sep 7, 2012, 05:06 PM Sep 2012

Obama takes slim post-convention lead over Romney: Reuters/Ipsos poll

Source: CNBC

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - President Barack Obama regained some footing and overtook his Republican rival Mitt Romney in a new Reuters/Ipsos poll released on Friday, a day after the end of the Democratic convention.

In what appears to be a convention-induced bounce, Obama jumped ahead in the latest daily tracking poll with 46 percent of 1,434 likely voters saying they would vote for him if the November 6 elections were held today, topping Romney's 44 percent.

The rolling four-day online poll was conducted through early Friday. The Democratic convention in Charlotte, North Carolina, where Obama accepted his party's nomination for a second term, wrapped up late on Thursday night with the president's nationally televised speech.

"The numbers only moved a little bit but they moved in the direction that suggests that we may be seeing the first inkling of a post-convention bump," Ipsos pollster Julia Clark said.

-snip-

Read more: http://www.cnbc.com/id/48946039



Romney was ahead 45-44 in yesterday's poll, and 46-44 on Wednesday.

21 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Obama takes slim post-convention lead over Romney: Reuters/Ipsos poll (Original Post) highplainsdem Sep 2012 OP
WTF? Politicalboi Sep 2012 #1
Or cause miners to lose a day's pay so Mittens Iliyah Sep 2012 #2
Not the sort of lead that can withstand $100m worth of SuperPac lies Bucky Sep 2012 #3
The last Reuters/Ipsos poll (Aug. 2-6th) had the President up 7, 49-42. what happened? nt kelly1mm Sep 2012 #4
I/R has been running tracking polls daily since then... regnaD kciN Sep 2012 #7
Thanks, I did not see them. Good that it is up then! I just looked on RCP and the early kelly1mm Sep 2012 #18
I was wondering that too. Chemisse Sep 2012 #14
Rasmussen is biased as hell for the Republicans We_Must_Organize Sep 2012 #5
Uh...this isn't Rasmussen... regnaD kciN Sep 2012 #6
Poll means little. Romney has huge lead Dannyteague Sep 2012 #8
right heaven05 Sep 2012 #10
Romney doesn't have a "huge lead" in the Plains States. progressivebydesign Sep 2012 #13
The Plains States? Sure you don't mean the Mountain West? Ken Burch Sep 2012 #21
the heaven05 Sep 2012 #9
Four day rolling? longship Sep 2012 #11
McCain was ahead by 5 at this point in 2008 joc46224 Sep 2012 #12
Two things killed McCain's 5pt lead... SkyDaddy7 Sep 2012 #19
According to the dude on Rachel's show tonight... VPStoltz Sep 2012 #15
Polls are no longer scientific daleo Sep 2012 #16
Having been part of their survey this spring, I have no faith in Ipsos. justice1 Sep 2012 #17
What point spread did we have at this point four years ago? Wasn't it only a 2-point difference meti57b Sep 2012 #20
 

Politicalboi

(15,189 posts)
1. WTF?
Fri Sep 7, 2012, 05:09 PM
Sep 2012

When Obama has to bus children in to his rallies I will believe the polls. Magoo did the same thing. Abusing children to show a bigger crowd. Pathetic.

Iliyah

(25,111 posts)
2. Or cause miners to lose a day's pay so Mittens
Fri Sep 7, 2012, 05:18 PM
Sep 2012

can have props - WTF

This poll is bullshit. At first, Mittens was up approx. 4-5 points and now O is up 2? Plus Mittens doesn't think our soliders are important, asswipe.

I can't wait for Ras. . . not.

Bucky

(53,998 posts)
3. Not the sort of lead that can withstand $100m worth of SuperPac lies
Fri Sep 7, 2012, 05:26 PM
Sep 2012

Buckle in, kids. It's gonna get ugly.

regnaD kciN

(26,044 posts)
7. I/R has been running tracking polls daily since then...
Fri Sep 7, 2012, 05:50 PM
Sep 2012

...even if you haven't seen them. The O +7 was short-lived, and the results gave pretty much had one candidate or the other up by a point or two since then.

kelly1mm

(4,732 posts)
18. Thanks, I did not see them. Good that it is up then! I just looked on RCP and the early
Fri Sep 7, 2012, 11:32 PM
Sep 2012

August poll was the last they had up.

regnaD kciN

(26,044 posts)
6. Uh...this isn't Rasmussen...
Fri Sep 7, 2012, 05:43 PM
Sep 2012

Ipsos is a completely different polling outfit. I notice they run a four-day, overnight tracker. That means 50% of their current sample came from before Clinton's speech. We won't know the full extent of any convention bounce in their poll until all of their data is post-DNC...which will be the results released this coming Tuesday afternoon.

 

Dannyteague

(51 posts)
8. Poll means little. Romney has huge lead
Fri Sep 7, 2012, 05:51 PM
Sep 2012

In most of the south and in the plains states which make it close in the popular vote. Obama is in good shape with the EV.

progressivebydesign

(19,458 posts)
13. Romney doesn't have a "huge lead" in the Plains States.
Fri Sep 7, 2012, 08:13 PM
Sep 2012

Do you have a link to credible polls for that? Thanks.

 

heaven05

(18,124 posts)
9. the
Fri Sep 7, 2012, 06:11 PM
Sep 2012

only thing I can figure with these voodoo polls is they don't want mitt-twit too embarrassed. This dips... cannot have this type of popularity. I just can't believe americans are that STUPID!!!!

longship

(40,416 posts)
11. Four day rolling?
Fri Sep 7, 2012, 07:03 PM
Sep 2012

In other words a fourth of the data is before the convention began. A fourth was taken before the second day. A fourth was taken before the third day. A fourth was taken after.

Indeed, if this is showing a bump, 3/4 of the data was taken before the end of the convention.

The telling data will be Monday at the earliest.

joc46224

(62 posts)
12. McCain was ahead by 5 at this point in 2008
Fri Sep 7, 2012, 07:29 PM
Sep 2012

I was curious as to how McCain was doing around this time in 2008. Gallup had him ahead by 5 points (48-43) and we know how that turned out! I'm a bit frustrated (and concerned) about how this race can be as close as it is. In my opinion Romney is one of the worst candidates to come along in a very long time so how can it be this close?? See how McCain was actually ahead in September of 2008 makes me feel a bit better. (Yes, I guess you could say the same for Obama being ahead--that he could also go the way of McCain--but I feel that the debates are only going to help Obama).

http://www.gallup.com/poll/110110/gallup-daily-mccains-bounce-gives-him-5point-lead.aspx

SkyDaddy7

(6,045 posts)
19. Two things killed McCain's 5pt lead...
Sat Sep 8, 2012, 07:28 AM
Sep 2012

McCain saying the economy was fine & probably the most points lost came from his VP Pick The one & only Sarah Palin's news interviews!!! LOL!

And Obama won the debates which did not allow McCain to ever recover.

Romney's chances are win the debates (Which I do not see happening) & hope like hell the BILLION DOLLAR BLITZ all the wealthy Super PACs supporting him can scare enough folks away from Obama!

VPStoltz

(1,295 posts)
15. According to the dude on Rachel's show tonight...
Fri Sep 7, 2012, 10:51 PM
Sep 2012

the Prez has been LEADING the entire time - in ALL the swing states.
These polls are scientific - none of them really are - and don't reflect overall trends just snippets.

daleo

(21,317 posts)
16. Polls are no longer scientific
Fri Sep 7, 2012, 11:20 PM
Sep 2012

There is far too much response bias these days for polls to be considered scientific. That requires a random sample, which is no longer a reasonable expectation for telephone polls and never was a reasonable expectation for on-line polls or surveys.

Plus, most pollsters are biased towards their paymasters anyway.

justice1

(795 posts)
17. Having been part of their survey this spring, I have no faith in Ipsos.
Fri Sep 7, 2012, 11:31 PM
Sep 2012

The poll was blatantly biased in favor of Mitt Romney.

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