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alp227

(32,006 posts)
Sun Sep 16, 2012, 05:23 PM Sep 2012

Iran confirms it has forces in Syria and will take military action if pushed

Source: The Guardian

Iran has confirmed for the first time that forces from its revolutionary guards corps are in Syria helping Bashar al-Assad's government crush rebels, and warned that it would get involved militarily if its Arab ally came under attack.

In a clear public signal of Tehran's continuing support for Assad, the commander of the Islamic republic's elite military formation said that "a number" of members of the IRGC's Qods force were in Syria, though General Mohammad Ali Jafari gave no further details and claimed this did not constitute "a military presence".

It was a surprisingly candid response to persistent claims by western countries, the Syrian opposition and Israel that Iran is actively helping the regime fight its enemies in the 18th month of a bloody war. Lakhdar Brahimi, the veteran Algerian diplomat who replaced Kofi Annan as UN envoy to Syria earlier this month, met Assad in Damascus on Saturday but warned afterwards that any progress would be slow and halting given the yawning gap between government and opposition. "The crisis is dangerous and getting worse, and it is a threat to the Syrian people, the region and the world," said Brahimi.

Read more: http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2012/sep/16/iran-middleeast

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Iran confirms it has forces in Syria and will take military action if pushed (Original Post) alp227 Sep 2012 OP
Time to deescalate this messy regime change operation before it turns into a regional war. leveymg Sep 2012 #1
Pre-mature At Best DallasNE Sep 2012 #10
My point is, the Libyan regime change model can't be replicated in Syria, and it won't work there leveymg Sep 2012 #15
The peaceful protests that started 18 months ago are "a bunch of native Jihadi terrorists"? pampango Sep 2012 #16
That phase is long past. Once this became a religious civil war involving foreign Jihadi leveymg Sep 2012 #17
Yes we're all scared. zellie Sep 2012 #2
We're pretty ok with medieval treatment JoeyT Sep 2012 #5
YAwn. L0oniX Sep 2012 #3
Endless daily threats zellie Sep 2012 #4
yes especially depending on the outcome of the US elections azurnoir Sep 2012 #6
does not matter who wins Israel is an ally and the US will support her. loli phabay Sep 2012 #7
so your saying the US will go to war if Israel does? azurnoir Sep 2012 #11
i am saying we will support israel politically, materially, with intelligence and assets loli phabay Sep 2012 #12
so in other words yes? because you just said Israel would need supporting units azurnoir Sep 2012 #13
i think its was pretty obvious i was saying yes, no other words about it loli phabay Sep 2012 #14
Revolutionary Guards support Assad. Al Qaeda supports the opposition... iandhr Sep 2012 #8
One can only hope. nt zellie Sep 2012 #9
More likely, we'll end up fighting both. Regime change using Jihadis - great strategy. leveymg Sep 2012 #19
Obama Shows great wisdom oldsarge54 Sep 2012 #18

leveymg

(36,418 posts)
1. Time to deescalate this messy regime change operation before it turns into a regional war.
Sun Sep 16, 2012, 05:26 PM
Sep 2012

The Libya "humanitarian war" model won't work in Syria, and it hasn't really worked in Libya.

DallasNE

(7,402 posts)
10. Pre-mature At Best
Sun Sep 16, 2012, 07:35 PM
Sep 2012

It is way too early to tell how things will turn out in Libya. The latest attack was by an extremist group with help from foreign fighters. Granted, security is not where it needs to be but that is a different argument. Plus, you fail to provide any documentation to support your "won't work" assessment. Lastly, you did not provide anything as a replacement for current policy.

leveymg

(36,418 posts)
15. My point is, the Libyan regime change model can't be replicated in Syria, and it won't work there
Sun Sep 16, 2012, 10:26 PM
Sep 2012

or in Iran.

I hope things work out for the Libyans, but this changing regimes in one country with a bunch of native Jihadi terrorists and using them to overthrow other regimes is a humanitarian disaster about to become a major regional war. Any policy but that policy.

pampango

(24,692 posts)
16. The peaceful protests that started 18 months ago are "a bunch of native Jihadi terrorists"?
Mon Sep 17, 2012, 06:26 AM
Sep 2012

You are right that what happened in Libya can't be replicated in Syria. The death of over 20,000 people killed in Syria in the last year and a half, many of them a little too young or a "little too female" to be your typical Jihadi terrorist, would confirm the 'difference'.

It is indeed a "humanitarian disaster" but blaming it on the opposition to a dictator seems a little illiberal. Did Assad have no choice back in the spring of 2011 other than to respond to the massive peaceful protests with force? Dictators in Tunisia and Egypt did not respond to similar demonstrations with massive force. (They used force and demonstrators died, but not 'massive' force.)

Was Assad right to oppose those peaceful protesters with force back then? I suppose if the use of force had been successful, as it was for his father who bequeathed the dictatorship to him, we would not be having this discussion. Perhaps Assad figured that, if force didn't scare people enough to make them go home and be quiet then, he could win the eventual civil war since he has the artillery, tanks and planes to go with an organized army.

It is a shame when hereditary dictators see their right to rule threatened.

leveymg

(36,418 posts)
17. That phase is long past. Once this became a religious civil war involving foreign Jihadi
Mon Sep 17, 2012, 07:38 AM
Sep 2012

it's character changed to a religious war of extermination, and the possibility of reform and compromise ended. The minority Alawite have a well-founded fear of genocidal outcomes, and have been given no reason to believe there is any alternative other than to fight for their lives.

 

zellie

(437 posts)
2. Yes we're all scared.
Sun Sep 16, 2012, 05:28 PM
Sep 2012

Threat number 2,563,436.

I guess we're all supposed to ignore the FU to the IAEA and the medieval treatment of women and gays .

JoeyT

(6,785 posts)
5. We're pretty ok with medieval treatment
Sun Sep 16, 2012, 06:19 PM
Sep 2012

of women and gays, as long as we like the people that are treating them poorly.

 

zellie

(437 posts)
4. Endless daily threats
Sun Sep 16, 2012, 06:18 PM
Sep 2012

from the most illegal reactionary regime on earth.

They may play that hand once too often..and it may come sooner than they think.

azurnoir

(45,850 posts)
6. yes especially depending on the outcome of the US elections
Sun Sep 16, 2012, 06:35 PM
Sep 2012

where one of the candidates has PROMISED to put US lives on the line to assist Israel

 

loli phabay

(5,580 posts)
12. i am saying we will support israel politically, materially, with intelligence and assets
Sun Sep 16, 2012, 07:59 PM
Sep 2012

and if needs be with boots on the ground, though militarily they shouldnt need anything other than some supporting units and political cover if they decide to go after the iranian nuclear facilities.

azurnoir

(45,850 posts)
13. so in other words yes? because you just said Israel would need supporting units
Sun Sep 16, 2012, 08:03 PM
Sep 2012

if not military what kind of units are you talking about?

 

loli phabay

(5,580 posts)
14. i think its was pretty obvious i was saying yes, no other words about it
Sun Sep 16, 2012, 08:10 PM
Sep 2012

but we will give them intel as you would expect, probuably counter missile defenses if needed. Its pretty much a given that we dont want Iran to get nukes and if Israel is prepared to do the heavy lifting then we should give them the cover they will need.

iandhr

(6,852 posts)
8. Revolutionary Guards support Assad. Al Qaeda supports the opposition...
Sun Sep 16, 2012, 07:28 PM
Sep 2012

... I guess its too much to hope for that they would finish each other off.

leveymg

(36,418 posts)
19. More likely, we'll end up fighting both. Regime change using Jihadis - great strategy.
Mon Sep 17, 2012, 09:52 AM
Sep 2012

More blowback.

oldsarge54

(582 posts)
18. Obama Shows great wisdom
Mon Sep 17, 2012, 08:28 AM
Sep 2012

Obama is showing some real smarts, doing everything he can with our allies and saving war as a LAST resort. I hope he is successful.

However, I feel he has a philosophical difficulty. America is, was, should be, against all form of tyranny. Forgive our past where we supported tyrants, mostly because "those bastards were our bastards." Should we have to intervene, I hope we use the Libya/Balkans model of intervention by air only. I can see supporting a local insurgents by providing the air cover they do not have and no more unilateral actions.

One thing that does worry me. What do we do if the Iranian army does play the part of the NVA?

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