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The Finn Al Analysis

(63 posts)
Wed Jun 3, 2020, 06:04 AM Jun 2020

Biden Outperforming Hillary in More Than a Dozen Key Swing States Critical to Trump's 2016 Victory

BY ALEXANDRA HUTZLER ON 6/2/20 AT 2:33 PM EDT

There may still be five months until Election Day but polling shows that former Vice President Joe Biden is already performing better in key swing states than Hillary Clinton did in 2016—a troubling sign for President Donald Trump's reelection effort.

An analysis by political scientist Alan Abramowitz for the election forecaster Sabato's Crystal Ball found Biden, the presumptive Democratic nominee, ahead in more than a dozen states critical to Trump's success and Clinton's downfall in 2016: Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Georgia, Maine, Michigan, Minnesota, North Carolina, New Hampshire, Nevada, Pennsylvania, Virginia, and Wisconsin.

Not only is Biden leading Trump in hypothetical head-to-head matchups in each of these areas, but he's also performing better than Clinton's vote margin from the 2016 contest. That means in November, Biden could be a stronger Democratic candidate than Trump has faced before. On average, Biden is running more than six points ahead of Clinton in these 13 states.

Not only is Biden leading Trump in hypothetical head-to-head matchups in each of these areas, but he's also performing better than Clinton's vote margin from the 2016 contest. That means in November, Biden could be a stronger Democratic candidate than Trump has faced before. On average, Biden is running more than six points ahead of Clinton in these 13 states.

https://www.newsweek.com/joe-biden-outperforming-hillary-clinton-more-dozen-key-swing-states-critical-trumps-2016-1508136?utm_source=pushnami&utm_medium=Push_Notifications&utm_campaign=automatic

There are, as one would expect, some caveats in the article, and, as mentioned at the top, there are practically five months left till Election Day. In no way, shape or form is this the time to be popping even one champaign cork. But, if you read this in its entirety, I do believe you will finish with a more upbeat, hopeful outlook than you had when you began!

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Biden Outperforming Hillary in More Than a Dozen Key Swing States Critical to Trump's 2016 Victory (Original Post) The Finn Al Analysis Jun 2020 OP
Amazing what happens when we all get behind our candidate early. Squinch Jun 2020 #1
not having to deal with sexism is a wonderful thing Skittles Jun 2020 #2
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