The EPA carbon plan: Coal loses, but nuclear doesn't win - by Mark Cooper
http://thebulletin.org/epa-carbon-plan-coal-loses-nuclear-doesnt-win7253
The EPA carbon plan: Coal loses, but nuclear doesn't win
Mark Cooper
06/19/2014
The claims and counterclaims about EPAs proposed carbon pollution standards have filled the air: It will boost nuclear. It will expand renewables. It promotes energy efficiency. It will kill coal. It changes everything. It accomplishes almost nothing.
Evaluating the impact of the so-called Clean Power Plan requires a clear view of how the new rule will work. The plan centers on performance standards, which have yielded effective outcomes in other energy areassuch as appliance efficiency standards and fuel economy standards for light-duty vehicles. It sets a moderate, mid-term target for carbon reductions, but allows for flexibility because it does not dictate the use of specific technologies or products. States are allowed to design programs in response to local conditions.
The EPA plan picks a loser: coal. It does not, however, pick winners among the low-carbon options available. It does not offer much in the way of sweeteners for any specific technology. Assuming that states generally adhere to the prime directive of public utility resource acquisitionchoosing the lowest-cost approachthe proposed rule will not alter the dismal prospects of nuclear power, which will therefore play no role in the reduction of carbon emissions from power plants.
EPAs analysis of the proposed carbon pollution guidelines reflects this reality. EPA forecasts for nuclear power are flat-lined, which means that other resourcesincluding energy efficiency, natural gas, wind, and solarwill carry the full weight of carbon reductions.
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