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Worst case scenario: Split in MI + Big Win in MS = Increased Delegate Lead with 2 less states (Original Post) Yavin4 Mar 2016 OP
Worst case scenario? yallerdawg Mar 2016 #1
CNN has Hillary at almost exactly 50% of delegates needed 6chars Mar 2016 #2
They now estimate 741 pledged for Hillary jmowreader Mar 2016 #4
it is all about the delegates. 6chars Mar 2016 #5
A win in Michigan is also about optics jmowreader Mar 2016 #7
She won in Mass. n/t Yavin4 Mar 2016 #9
I know, but it wasn't REALLY a win because she didn't beat him by fifty points jmowreader Mar 2016 #11
Mass is his neighboring state Yavin4 Mar 2016 #12
True, but your scenario is worse than it's really going to be. George II Mar 2016 #3
This is a bad NIGHT for us MSMITH33156 Mar 2016 #6
I agree romana Mar 2016 #8
I don't see it that way Kaleva Mar 2016 #10
One thing I appreciate about this group is the sanity. Lisa0825 Mar 2016 #13
I agree.. asuhornets Mar 2016 #14

6chars

(3,967 posts)
2. CNN has Hillary at almost exactly 50% of delegates needed
Tue Mar 8, 2016, 10:40 PM
Mar 2016
http://edition.cnn.com/election/primaries/parties/democrat

Clinton 1191 (719 pledged) out of 2383 needed to nominate. one more delegate and she is more than half way there.

Bernie 519 delegates.

jmowreader

(50,520 posts)
4. They now estimate 741 pledged for Hillary
Tue Mar 8, 2016, 10:54 PM
Mar 2016

At the start of the day, Hillary was 199 pledged delegates ahead. According to CNN's estimate, she'll be 223 ahead if this holds.

I'd prefer a win in Michigan - and we may still get one; Metro Detroit is still very early in its count - but a delegate gain works for me.

jmowreader

(50,520 posts)
7. A win in Michigan is also about optics
Tue Mar 8, 2016, 11:08 PM
Mar 2016

The Bernie camp claims Hillary can't win outside the South, which totally discounts Nevada. A fairly good-size victory for Hillary in Michigan would go a long way toward squelching that theory. Anything above five percent would be good, especially since the rural parts of Michigan seem to be breaking for Bernie just like they did in Nevada.

MSMITH33156

(879 posts)
6. This is a bad NIGHT for us
Tue Mar 8, 2016, 11:07 PM
Mar 2016

period. No way to sugar coat it.

Even if we squeak out a win, I certainly expected a comfortable, 10-pointish win. Bernie won this night, regardless of what happens.

If you want to play the math game, the race is over anyway, so we can take solace that in Philadelphia, Hillary will be giving a speech accepting the nomination. But in isolation, today was no good.

romana

(765 posts)
8. I agree
Tue Mar 8, 2016, 11:09 PM
Mar 2016

Not a good night for the Clinton campaign. She is vulnerable on trade.

Good night for the Sanders campaign, however it shakes out. Kudos to them.

Lisa0825

(14,487 posts)
13. One thing I appreciate about this group is the sanity.
Tue Mar 8, 2016, 11:50 PM
Mar 2016

As opposed to posts like "The Worm Has Turned."

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