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WI_DEM

(33,497 posts)
Wed Mar 9, 2016, 12:43 PM Mar 2016

ABC News Washington-Post Poll HRC: 50% Trump: 41%

Clinton leads Trump 50 percent to 41 percent among registered voters and has made steady progress against her potential rival over the past six months. Her margin over Trump has increased from three points last September to six points in December to the current nine points.

Clinton is assembling a potentially winning coalition of minorities, women, young voters and voters with college degrees. Trump is chosen by barely one-fifth of nonwhite voters—about the same percentage as Republican Mitt Romney received when he ran against Obama four years ago.


Clinton garners about the same low percentage of white voters as did Obama, but Trump receives a smaller share than Romney did in 2012. Nearly 1 in 10 white voters currently say they favor neither candidate or would not vote in November.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/poll-clinton-leads-trump-aided-by-obama-coalition/2016/03/08/40dd6698-e575-11e5-b0fd-073d5930a7b7_story.html

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ABC News Washington-Post Poll HRC: 50% Trump: 41% (Original Post) WI_DEM Mar 2016 OP
Very good news, although not big on polls right now. Hoyt Mar 2016 #1
lol! Her Sister Mar 2016 #2
39% of the white vote should be enough for Hillary bluestateguy Mar 2016 #3
Music to my ears! pandr32 Mar 2016 #4

bluestateguy

(44,173 posts)
3. 39% of the white vote should be enough for Hillary
Wed Mar 9, 2016, 01:10 PM
Mar 2016

Or even the 43% white vote that Obama took in 2008. Or maybe somewhere in between.

Against Trump, I think 75% of the Latino vote, AND a higher turnout than 2012 is entirely realistic, but will still require a lot of hard campaign work.

As for Obama's 93% of the AA vote, and their record breaking turnout, I don't know if that can be duplicated again. I'm thinking more like an 88-90% black vote for Hillary with these voters turning out for her at 2004 levels.

Tell me I'm right or wrong.

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