Hillary Clinton

Kaleva

(36,248 posts) Wed Mar 9, 2016, 03:00 PM Mar 2016

The pollsters and MSM pundits who follow the polls have a much bigger problem then HRC

Michigan may be an example of polls about elections in open primary states are about as accurate as divining the future by looking at chicken guts. Some of the pollsters are talking about Michigan being a major upset. But there ought not be any upsets if the polling is accurate. The outcome should be known beforehand. At least within the margin of error. The pollsters don't do what they are doing for free. They have a product to sell and if that product is garbage, then they have a serious problem.

HRC, on the other hand, widened her pledged delegate lead and the math for Bernie got much harder.

4 replies

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The pollsters and MSM pundits who follow the polls have a much bigger problem then HRC (Original Post) Kaleva Mar 2016 OP

Then HRC what? Mika Mar 2016 #1

You are correct. William769 Mar 2016 #2

The electorate just looked different than wildeyed Mar 2016 #3

I think Chi's post explains what happened pretty wewll Lucinda Mar 2016 #4

Mika

(17,751 posts)

1. Then HRC what?

Reply to Kaleva (Original post)

Wed Mar 9, 2016, 03:09 PM

Mar 2016

William769

(55,144 posts)

2. You are correct.

Reply to Kaleva (Original post)

Wed Mar 9, 2016, 03:34 PM

Mar 2016

If I say any more, well you know...

wildeyed

(11,243 posts)

3. The electorate just looked different than

Reply to Kaleva (Original post)

Wed Mar 9, 2016, 04:51 PM

Mar 2016

the pollsters expected. Historically, it was an anomaly. The big question is how much of an anomaly? Are they ALSO off in other states with open primaries? Because if that is true, this race is tighter than pollsters are saying. And primaries are always harder to poll. If a small group gets energized, then they can take control of the process because so few voters participate in the first place. Look at the Tea Party for lessons. And who could have guessed that Trump would still be in the race now, much less leading the pack? I didn't.

I am a strong Clinton supporter, but I like to be smart about this stuff. If this is coming down the pike, better to see it. Also a wake up for those who might be inclined to donate more or volunteer a few hours for phone banking.

Lucinda

(31,170 posts)

4. I think Chi's post explains what happened pretty wewll

Reply to Kaleva (Original post)

Wed Mar 9, 2016, 05:31 PM

Mar 2016

http://www.democraticunderground.com/110768524

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