Economy
Related: About this forumSTOCK MARKET WATCH -- Wednesday, 28 October 2015
[font size=3]STOCK MARKET WATCH, Wednesday, 28 October 2015[font color=black][/font]
SMW for 27 October 2015
AT THE CLOSING BELL ON 27 October 2015
[center][font color=red]
Dow Jones 17,581.43 -41.62 (-0.24%)
S&P 500 2,065.89 -5.29 (-0.26%)
Nasdaq 5,030.15 -4.56 (-0.09%)
[font color=red]10 Year 2.04% +0.01 (0.49%)
30 Year 2.86% +0.01 (0.35% [font color=black]
[center][/font]
[HR width=85%]
[font size=2]Market Conditions During Trading Hours[/font]
[center]
(click on link for latest updates)
Market Updates
[/center]
[font size=2]Euro, Yen, Loonie, Silver and Gold[center]
[/center]
[/center]
[HR width=95%]
[font color=black][font size=2]Handy Links - Market Data and News:[/font][/font]
[center]
Economic Calendar
Marketwatch Data
Bloomberg Economic News
Yahoo Finance
Google Finance
Bank Tracker
Credit Union Tracker
Daily Job Cuts
[/center]
[font color=black][font size=2]Handy Links - Economic Blogs:[/font][/font]
[center]
The Big Picture
Financial Sense
Calculated Risk
Naked Capitalism
Credit Writedowns
Brad DeLong
Bonddad
Atrios
goldmansachs666
The Stand-Up Economist
The Automatic Earth
Wall Street on Parade
[/center]
[font color=black][font size=2]Handy Links - Essential Reading:[/font][/font]
[center]
Matt Taibi: Secret and Lies of the Bailout
[/center]
[font color=black][font size=2]Handy Links - Government Issues:[/font][/font]
[center]
LegitGov
Open Government
Earmark Database
USA spending.gov
[/center][font color=black][font size=2]Handy Links - Videos:[/font][/font]
[center]
Charlie Rose talks with Roubini
Charlie Rose talks with Krugman
William Black: This Economic Disaster
Bill Moyers with Kevin Drum and David Corn
[/center]
[div]
[font color=red]Partial List of Financial Sector Officials Convicted since 1/20/09 [/font][font color=red]
2/2/12 David Higgs and Salmaan Siddiqui, Credit Suisse, plead guilty to conspiracy involving valuation of MBS
3/6/12 Allen Stanford, former Caribbean billionaire and general schmuck, convicted on 13 of 14 counts in $2.2B Ponzi scheme, faces 20+ years in prison
6/4/12 Matthew Kluger, lawyer, sentenced to 12 years in prison, along with co-conspirator stock trader Garrett Bauer (9 years) and co-conspirator Kenneth Robinson (not yet sentenced) for 17 year insider trading scheme.
6/14/12 Allen Stanford sentenced to 110 years without parole.
6/15/12 Rajat Gupta, former Goldman Sachs director, found guilty of insider trading. Could face a decade in prison when sentenced later this year.
6/22/12 Timothy S. Durham, 49, former CEO of Fair Financial Company, convicted of one count conspiracy to commit wire and securities fraud, 10 counts of wire fraud, and one count of securities fraud.
6/22/12 James F. Cochran, 56, former chairman of the board of Fair, convicted of one count of conspiracy to commit wire and securities fraud, one count of securities fraud, and six counts of wire fraud.
6/22/12 Rick D. Snow, 48, former CFO of Fair, convicted of one count of conspiracy to commit wire and securities fraud, one count of securities fraud, and three counts of wire fraud.
7/13/12 Russell Wassendorf Sr., CEO of collapsed brokerage firm Peregrine Financial Group Inc. arrested and charged with lying to regulators after admitting to authorities he embezzled "millions of dollars" and forged bank statements for "nearly twenty years."
8/22/12 Doug Whitman, Whitman Capital LLC hedge fund founder, convicted of insider trading following a trial in which he spent more than two days on the stand telling jurors he was innocent
10/26/12 UPDATE: Former Goldman Sachs director Rajat Gupta sentenced to two years in federal prison. He will, of course, appeal. . .
11/20/12 Hedge fund manager Matthew Martoma charged with insider trading at SAC Capital Advisors, and prosecutors are looking at Martoma's boss, Steven Cohen, for possible involvement.
02/14/13 Gilbert Lopez, former chief accounting officer of Stanford Financial Group, and former controller Mark Kuhrt sentenced to 20 yrs in prison for their roles in Allen Sanford's $7.2 billion Ponzi scheme.
03/29/13 Michael Sternberg, portfolio mgr at SAC Capital, arrested in NYC, charged with conspiracy and securities fraud. Pled not guilty and freed on $3m bail.
04/04/13 Matthew Marshall Taylor,fmr Goldman Sachs trader arrested, charged by CFTC w/defrauding his employer on $8BN futures bet "by intentionally concealing the true huge size, as well as the risk and potential profits or losses associated."
04/04/13 Matthew Taylor admits guilt, makes plea bargain. Sentencing set for 26 June; faces up to 20 years in prison but will likely only see 3-4 years. Says, "I am truly sorry."
04/11/13 Ex-KPMG LLP partner Scott London charged by federal prosecutors w/passing inside tips to a friend in exchange for cash, jewelry, and concert tickets; expected to plead guilty in May.
08/01/13 Fabrice Tourré convicted on six counts of security fraud, including "aiding and abetting" his former employer, Goldman Sachs
08/14/13 Javier Martin-Artajo and Julien Grout charged with wire fraud, falsifying records, and conspiracy in connection with JP Morgan's "London Whale" trade.
08/19/13 Phillip A. Falcone, manager of hedge fund Harbinger Capital Partners, agrees to admit to "wrongdoing" in market manipulation. Will banned from securities industry for 5 years and pay $18MM in disgorgement and fines.
09/16/13 Javier Martin-Artajo and Julien Grout officially indicted on charges associated with "London Whale" trade.
02/06/14 Matthew Martoma convicted of insider trading while at hedge fund SAC (Stephen A. Cohen) Capital Advisors. Expected sentence 7-10 years.
03/24/14 Annette Bongiorno, Bernard Madoff's secretary; Daniel Bonventre, director of operations for investments; JoAnn Crupi, an account manager; and Jerome O'Hara and George Perez, both computer programmers convicted of conspiracy to defraud clients, securities fraud, and falsifying the books and records.
05/19/14 Credit Suisse, which has an investment bank branch in NYC, agrees to plead guilty and pay appx. $2.6 billion penalties for helping wealthy Americans hide wealth and avoid taxes.
09/08/14 Matthew Martoma, convicted SAC trader, sentenced to 9 years in prison plus forfeiture of $9.3 million, including home and bank accounts
08/03/15 Former City (London) trader Tom Hayes found guilty of rigging global Libor interest rates. Each fo eight counts carries up to 10 yr. sentence.
08/21/15 Charles Antonucci Sr, former pres. Park Ave. Bank sentenced to 2.5 years in prison for bribery, fraud, embezzlement, and attempt to steal $11MM in TARP bailout funds, as well as $37.5MM fraud on OK insurance company. To pay $54MM in restitution and give up additional $11MM.
09/21/15 Volkswagen CEO Martin Winterkorn apologizes for VW cheating on air quality standards with emission testing avoidance device. Stock drops 20%, fines may total $18B.
09/22/15 Stewart Parnell, CEO Peanut Corp. of America, sentenced to 28 years in prison for selling salmonella-tainted peanut butter that killed nine.
[HR width=95%]
[center]
[font size=3][font color=red]This thread contains opinions and observations. Individuals may post their experiences, inferences and opinions on this thread. However, it should not be construed as advice. It is unethical (and probably illegal) for financial recommendations to be given here.[/font][/font][/font color=red][font color=black]
Tansy_Gold
(17,847 posts). . . . I hope they eat his sniveling little prissy ass for lunch.
I was once told that alligators have very little strength in their jaws for opening, which is why it's very east to hold their mouths shut. But they have enormous strength for closing those jaws quickly and keeping them closed. Hmmmmmm.......
Fuddnik
(8,846 posts)We have a retention pond next to the Irish Pub where we watch the Browns games. It's got a 4 foot concrete wall topped with a 6 foot steel fence. And inside resides a 10 ft gator. He's probably been in there since he was a puppy gator, and he has no way out. Since he's not in the wild, we feed him.
The other day after lunch I was tossing him french fries, one at a time and he was eating them. So, I ran over to Aldi's and bought him a couple of chickens.
Feeding him that asshole would be cruelty. Gotta cause heartburn and indigestion. We thought about tossing him a few Steelers fans, but that would be worse.
Fuddnik
(8,846 posts)Just saying. If assholes could fly, this place would be an airport.
Demeter
(85,373 posts)"Fly, my pretties, fly!"
Demeter
(85,373 posts)?uuid=4ef2c466-7c03-11e5-8f43-0015c588e0f6
Theres a mostly even split among the worlds richest, at least when broken down in each country by who made their own money and who had it handed down from mommy and daddy.
Thats the conclusion illustrated on this map posted by Raul Amoros on cost-estimating website HowMuch.net. Overall, the breakdown shows that 52% of the wealthiest people from each nation were born with a silver spoon. The rest had to create their own vast sums.
Of note, the self-made riches tend to have more, with an average wealth thats 58% greater than those who inherited their money. Three of the richest men in the world Bill Gates, Spains Amancio Ortega and Mexicos Carlos Slim all fall on the self-made side and are far wealthier than the biggest beneficiary of family riches LOréal heiress Liliane Bettencourt of France.
One might be forgiven for thinking that around the world, the richest of the rich were all born into their money," Amoros wrote. After all, a self-made person would have to accumulate wealth so quickly that within one generation they surpass a family thats been accumulating it for several.
DemReadingDU
(16,000 posts)1 minute video
It's different this time
A business doesn't need any revenue
It's not about how much you earn, it's what you are worth!
Demeter
(85,373 posts)City elections next week; only one ward has a contest, but we are doing it city-wide anyway. During the easy elections we poll workers practice up for the Big One next November 2016, trying out new equipment and procedures.
It makes for a long day, 6 AM until at least 9 PM. But it's nice to be appreciated.
Demeter
(85,373 posts)International Business Machines Corp. is nearing a deal to acquire the digital and data assets of Weather Co., owner of the Weather Channel, according to people familiar with the situation.
The deal, which would be valued at more than $2 billion, could be announced as early as Wednesday, one of the people said. The deal doesnt include the traditional TV channel business but does include such digital businesses as the website and app, intellectual property, infrastructure and data, the people said.
IBM IBM, -4.04% is particularly interested in Weather Co.s forecasting group, WSI. That division houses technology and weather data that the Weather Co. collects, manipulates and licenses to companies ranging from airlines to utility companies to insurance providers.
Weather Co. is owned by a consortium that includes private-equity firms Bain Capital LLC and Blackstone Group LP, and Comcast Corp.s CMCSA, -1.03% NBCUniversal. They bought the company in 2008 for roughly $3.5 billion. Weather Co. Chief Executive David Kenny is expected to join IBM after the deal closes, according to one of the people.
Weather Co. had courted various types of potential buyers. More than a year ago, Google Inc. GOOG, -0.60% GOOGL, +0.23% was offered the chance to bid on the Weather Channels digital assets but the company wasnt interested, according to a person familiar with the matter.
IS THIS WHY WEATHER UNDERGROUND IS OFFLINE THIS EVENING?
Demeter
(85,373 posts)Spring-like temperatures.
Demeter
(85,373 posts)The government is making it harder for financial institutions to market their products to one of the most captive and lucrative audiences: College students.
Under new rules announced by the Department of Education Tuesday, colleges that partner with financial institutions to disburse financial aid funds will be required to ensure that students have a choice in the way they receive those funds and have access to a way to receive them without onerous fees.
In the process of making the new rules, the Department identified some troubling practices in the college debt and prepaid card space, such as a scarcity of options available to students looking to access their financial aid dollars and a lack of transparency, Ted Mitchell, the Departments undersecretary said on a conference call with reporters. The goal of the new rules, which largely take effect on July 1, 2016, is to curb these practices and increase opportunities to make informed choices, he said.
Consumer advocates have argued that the financial aid process is rife with opportunities for companies to take advantage of students. Colleges often partner with outside companies to distribute a students leftover financial aid funds after the school takes what its owed from the pool of federal financial aid dollars it draws down from the federal government...
Demeter
(85,373 posts)Amazon.com Inc., which has quickly built a network of on-demand workers for its one-hour delivery service, now faces a lawsuit over how those workers are treated.
The suit, filed Tuesday in Los Angeles County, Calif., Superior Court on behalf of four couriers, seeks back wages and compensation for expenses like fuel and workers compensation insurance. The workers are contracted through Scoobeez, a unit of closely held ABT Holdings Inc.
The action potentially thrusts Amazon AMZN, +0.49% into the center of a debate roiling Silicon Valley over whether on-demand workers should be treated as employees or independent contractors. Companies such as Uber Technologies Inc. and Postmates Inc. have faced similar suits over their workforce.
Amazons Prime Now service, available in more than a dozen U.S. metropolitan areas, promises delivery of thousands of goods within one hour for $7.99 or two hours or more free. The Seattle retailer recently introduced the service in San Francisco and San Antonio. Amazon recently began a separate delivery program that relies on couriers not under contract with third-party companies. The Flex service allows regular people to sign up for shifts using their smartphones and make package delivery for Amazon in Seattle.
In the suit, the couriers allege Amazon pays less than minimum wage and treats them like employees, including requiring they wear uniforms and work at set times.
Demeter
(85,373 posts)In a crushing blow to the tech industry and privacy advocates, the Senate today passed the controversial Cybersecurity Information Sharing Act (CISA). The bill, which passed the Senate on a 74-21 bipartisan vote, is intended to allow companies to share information about cybersecurity threats with the government. However, critics, particularly those in the tech industry, say the bill will extend the surveillance capabilities of government intelligence agencies while doing little to prevent hacks.
The bill has already passed the House of Representatives. The White House backs CISA, and it will likely sign the bill into law.
Prior to the bills passage on Tuesday, senators fought for amendments that would reign in CISA and offer more privacy protections. However, all amendments intended to increase the removal of personal information from threats failed. Senators adopted a 10-year sunset clause for the bill, though privacy advocates like Senator Al Franken hoped the bill would expire in six.
Though the bill was expected to pass, todays vote was a huge setback for techs lobbying efforts on surveillance issues. In the wake of the revelations of former government contractor Edward Snowden, large tech companies have pushed the government to curtail surveillance practices, most recently with the passage of the USA FREEDOM Act.
Demeter
(85,373 posts)AND I THOUGHT IT WAS THE CENTRAL BANKING QE PONZI SCHEME....
http://www.forbes.com/sites/timworstall/2015/10/28/ben-bernanke-identifies-the-global-economys-largest-problem-bankers-short-term-memories/
Tim Worstall: Im not sure that I actually agree with this identification of the global economys largest problem by Ben Bernanke. The pointing to it as a problem in the short to medium term, yes, that Ill go along with. But Im afraid that I have a rather different problem in mind for the largest one we face. Still, Bernankes the economist, not me, so perhaps we should take his idea as being correct. And what hes really saying here is that our major problem is that the collective memory of the banking industry just seems to be too short:
Emerging markets enjoyed huge capital inflows after central banks in advanced economies such as the Fed slashed rates and investors sought higher returns.
However, the International Monetary Fund has warned that tighter US monetary policy could trigger a wave of emerging market corporate defaults and a fresh credit crunch as the dollar strengthens.
Mr Bernanke said: Its probably the most meaningful financial risk right now, the emerging market situation.
I can certainly see that as being a large problem. The Fed did indeed slash interest rates, as they should have done, and investors did indeed go off searching for yield. That was rather the point of QE in fact, to get investors going off searching for yield by moving out along the risk curve. So, in the short term, mission accomplished because investors did exactly what the central bank wanted them to do. However, theres been rather a lot of leakage of this into those emerging markets. And thats not so comfortable. For the problem is that the borrowings are generally in US dollars while the earnings to repay them, even if not the denomination of the loans themselves, are in the local currencies. And in many of those emerging economies the earnings were between somewhat and largely dependent upon the commodity boom as China developed. So far, nothing wrong with this. However, now weve got a combination of Chinas growth slowing and also various commodity production schemes coming on line, increasing supply. Increasing supply just as demand growth starts to falter. The result has been what weve seen, collapsing commodity prices.
That means in turn lower earnings from said commodities: and as this is happening the currencies of many of those emerging economies are falling against the US dollar, as they would. So, we get a double whammy: lower earnings in currencies that are worth less, against which the value of the debt isnt going down at all. And that could indeed be a serious problem. But this is just an example of, a symptom of, what might be a larger problem for us free market types. For we generally think that people learn from past mistakes and dont do them again. Thus we dont, say, have to worry about people over stoking the US housing market as the memories of how that played out are still fresh. On the other hand theres the financial markets meme that banking mistakes arent repeated until all the people who remember the last one have retired. At which point someone rediscovers the perpetuum mobile and off we all go into another bubble and crash.
So what Bernanke is really pointing to is that in the 90s we really did learn that currency mismatches in lending can be rather dangerous. But only 20 years later we seem to have the same mistake looming. And thats not comforting for the free market types like me. Because it means that finance is a whole lot dumber than we thought it was: if the institutional memory is that short then it must be. So, not a comforting thought. And one that leads to the conclusion that perhaps more risk oversight is needed. Not, by the way, on Wall Street or in the City. They can take care of themselves and the amounts outstanding arent of systemic importance to them. But in those developing countries, perhaps more of an eye should be kept on hard currency borrowing than has been so far.
As to what I do think is our largest problem its that, despite the stunning success in poverty reduction, at the end of this year still a little under 10% of humanity will be stuck in the peasant destitution of absolute poverty. That strikes me as the worlds greatest problem for moral if no other reasons. Policy should be devoted, as far as it can be, to dealing with this and all other issues come behind it in the queue.
My latest book is "The No Breakfast Fallacy, why the Club of Rome was wrong about us running out of resources." Amazon and Amazon.co.uk. $6.99 and relevant prices in other currencies.
Demeter
(85,373 posts)Mariana Mazzucato is Professor in the Economics of Innovation at the Science Policy Research Unit of the University of Sussex. Her widely-acclaimed book, The Entrepreneurial State: debunking public vs. private sector myths, reveals the critical role that we, the taxpayers, play in the creation of the most exciting innovations of our time through publicly-funded investment. (The new U.S. edition hits the shelves October 27th). Mazzucato debunks common myths about how innovation works and shapes a new narrative on how to grow a robust and inclusive economy. Think that iPhone in your pocket is simply a product of Silicon Valley magic? Think again! (Join Mazzucato in New York for a talk and conversation with Time Magazines Rana Foroohar and The New Schools Mark Setterfield on October 28).
Lynn Parramore: We constantly hear that anything to do with government is incompetent and inefficient. Yet as you show, many of the industries and products that make our lives better wouldnt exist without government-funded research. The whole process of economic growth is hugely interdependent with governmental action. What about something like the iPhone? Is it a product Silicon Valley magic and the genius of Steve Jobs? Or is there more to the story?
Mariana Mazzucato: Economists have recognized that government has a role to play in markets, but only to fix failures, like monopolies, for example. Yet if we look at what governments have done around the world, they have not just stepped in to address failures. They have actually actively shaped and created markets. This is the case in IT, biotech, nanotech and in todays emerging green economy. Public sector funds have not only supported basic research, but also applied research and even early-stage, high-risk company finance. This is important because most venture capital funds are too short-termist and exit-driven to deal with the highly uncertain and lengthy innovation process.
I often use the iPhone as an example of how governments shape markets, because what makes the iPhone smart and not stupid is what you can do with it. And yes, everything you can do with an iPhone was government-funded. From the Internet that allows you to surf the Web, to GPS that lets you use Google Maps, to touch screen display and even the SIRI voice activated system all of these things were funded by Uncle Sam through the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA), NASA, the Navy, and even the CIA!
These agencies are all mission driven, which matters to their success, including who they are able to hire. The Department of Energy (DoE) was recently run by Steve Chu, a Nobel Prize-winning physicist, who wanted the Advanced Research Projects Agency-Energy (ARPA-E) to do for energy what DARPA did for the Internet. Would he have bothered leaving academia to join the civil service just to fix markets? Surely not. Thats boring.
LP: So what Steve Jobs and his team did was not central to the greatness of Apple?
MM: Its not that Steve Jobs was not a geniusof course he was! But the problem is that the narrative we tell around entrepreneurs like him, Bill Gates or Elon Musk is so unbalanced. We pretend that government at best was important for some infrastructure and basic science behind their empires. We see the new Steve Jobs film, which is based on a 600-page book where not one word mentions any of the public funding behind Apples empire. But the real iPhone story or the story behind biotechnology reveals a very different narrative in which government-funded research made the most exciting innovations possible. The same could be said of Elon Musk today Tesla and Space X not only benefit from government-funded basic research through agencies like the DoE and NASA, but they have also, as companies, received high-risk investments by the public sector. Just one example is the $465 million guaranteed loan received by Tesla by the DoE. As recently shown by an LA Times article, the entire Musk empire has received close to $5 billion in direct and indirect support.
Do we hear about that? No. Is that story helpful for future innovation? No.
AND DOES APPLE PAY FEDERAL INCOME TAXES? NO!
Demeter
(85,373 posts)http://wolfstreet.com/2015/10/27/ibm-plunges-to-lowest-level-since-2010-on-sec-investigation-even-share-buybacks-arent-helping-anymore/
Financial Engineering bites back.
LONG EXPOSE ON HOW HIGH TECH DABBLED IN HIGH FINANCE AND TOOK A LOW BLOW...
Demeter
(85,373 posts)This post, with its somewhat alarmist headline I mean, lets hope its alarmist(1) was prompted by alert reader Jason, who mailed us flagging some important information on Blue Cross/Blue Shield in his home state of North Carolina...But before we get to Jasons mail, lets define the term adverse selection. Adverse selection is a form of information asymmetry, where sellers and buyers dont have the same information; for example, a health insurance buyer who knows they need health care, and a health insurance seller who does not know which sellers need health care and which do not. Economics professor Robert Frank explains how an unregulated health insurance market with such asymmetries would play out in the New York Times (2013):
In other words, a death spiral. ObamaCares mandate was supposed to keep enough healthy people in the pool so that the adverse selection problem did not arise(2). (According to the articles cited in the notes to this Wikipedia article on adverse selection, the evidence for adverse selection in the health insurance market is mixed at best(3); ironically, therefore, ObamaCare might end up providing that evidence!) So hows that working out? Lets now turn to Jasons mail (lightly edited):
Jasons interest was piqued by a link that showed Blue Cross/Blue Shield (BCBS) in Illlinois eliminating its most popular individual plan. He goes on:
And Blue Cross themselves explain:
(Notice right here how ObamaCare is random with respect to jurisdiction. If you live in the Charlotte and Triangle areas, you go to Pain City; otherwise, you go to Happyville. Yay!) Jason explains how BCBS affects him:
(NC readers will remember a post from Dromaius in 2013 on how insurance companies design narrow networks to make sure consumers needing specialists dont sign up for their policies.) Jasons solution:
(Wait, I thought Obama said we were able to deliver on universal health care? To be fair, if you parse the words, he did just that. To take delivery, you need only leave your home and move somewhere else. Such a deal.) North Carolinas BCBS has a blog, where they explain their thought process for re-inserting their sucking mandibles revising their individual product offerings:
Early on, industry and government officials counted on two assumptions: A healthier mix of customers in the second year (2015), and a leveling-out of medical spending this year following a surge in demand for the initial year. We now have enough data to know that both of these assumptions have not proven true.
Earlier this summer, my colleague Brian Tajlili wrote in a blog post that our ACA customers are reporting even more chronic health conditions than last year, and theyre using a lot of expensive health care services. And he noted that we may need to adjust our filing to reflect a higher increase in order to cover these costs.
Unfortunately, we now know that to be the case. Our claims and expenses are higher than the premiums we are collecting. As we reported last month, the operating losses on our ACA business in 2014 were $123 million a number that cant be sustained over time.
And its not just BCBS in North Carolina:
Jason translates how BCBS is adjusting its rate filing:
(Again, does this sound like Obamas universal health care to you?)
BUT WAIT! THERE'S MORE! IT'S THE GIFT THAT NEVER STOPS GIVING! SEE LINK
NOTES:
1) Because Im not a worse is better kind of guy.
2) Obamas demogoguery on the mandate in 2008 was too much even for Krugman. Clinton supported the mandate; and Obama ran Harry and Louise-style ads (the background) against Clinton, opposing it. Naturally, when in office, Obama supported it.
3) Asymmetric Information in Health Insurance: Evidence from the National Medical Expenditure Survey, The RAND Journal of Economics, 2001. A robust prediction of adverse-selection models is that riskier types by more coverage and, on average, end up using more care. We test for unobservables linking health insurance status and health care consumption. We find no evidence of informational asymmetries.
4) If you squeeze the profit balloon on the policy side, by insisting that those with pre-existing conditions be covered, as ObamaCare does, then the profit balloon expands on the crapification side, and you get narrow networks without specialists and/or limited by geography, high co-pays and deductibles, narrow formularies, and other forms of obfuscation (or, to put it less politely, fraud). We should be seeking to pop the profit balloon in health care, not squeeze it.
[5) Or anythings possible the Tea Party, et al., might actually grow some stones and start doing serious tax resistance, now that the screws are beginning to tighten; interestingly, the ObamaCare statute forbids the IRS from garnishing your wages or putting a lien on you if you dont pay the tax penalty for not fulfilling the mandate, which sure looks like a set-up to me. (Yes, the IRS can take your refund, but surely that can be gamed.) Another reason 2016 might be more interesting even than the usual Presidential year.
Demeter
(85,373 posts)(also running out of easily accessible material...down to the gleaning old emails again)