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xchrom

(108,903 posts)
Sun Jun 15, 2014, 06:56 AM Jun 2014

El Niņo is going to make your 2014 miserable

http://www.salon.com/2014/06/14/el_nino_is_going_to_make_your_2014_miserable_partner/



Unusual weather across the U.S. and other parts of the world just became more likely for this summer and autumn. That’s because the chances have gone up that El Niño—an atmospheric pattern driven by water temperature changes in the Pacific Ocean—will develop during that time, according to the nation’s leading climate experts. When El Niño settles in, it has major effects on weather conditions nationally and globally.

Scientists speaking at a press conference yesterday afternoon said the odds that El Niño will develop during the summer have risen from 65 to 70 percent. The prediction comes in a new monthly report from the U.S. National Weather Service and the International Research Institute for Climate and Society at Columbia University. The experts also said there is up to an 80% chance that El Niño will develop during the fall and winter.

Regions across the U.S. that are normally wet can dry out during El Niño conditions, while normally dry regions can flood. Worldwide expectations related to El Niño are not always accurate, however. “There is an expectation of drought, but not in every single El Niño event do we actually have drought,” Lisa Goddard, director of the International Research Institute for Climate and Society, said during the briefing.

In fact, the majority of the continental U.S. has a higher chance of experiencing above-average precipitation in both summer and fall of El Niño years, according to data from the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. In addition, data from Golden Gate Weather Services, a consultancy in California, show particularly increased amounts of precipitation for southern California in stronger El Niño years, which could potentially help drought-stricken areas there and in other parts of the U.S. Southwest.
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El Niņo is going to make your 2014 miserable (Original Post) xchrom Jun 2014 OP
After brutal heat waves and TM99 Jun 2014 #1
It should give us a milder winter Pharaoh Jun 2014 #2
We're already having another "summer that isn't" here in upstate NY DeadLetterOffice Jun 2014 #3
 

TM99

(8,352 posts)
1. After brutal heat waves and
Sun Jun 15, 2014, 09:01 AM
Jun 2014

serious drought conditions here in Arizona, I admittedly welcome an El Nino year.

We desperately need some wet and cooler weather patterns.

DeadLetterOffice

(1,352 posts)
3. We're already having another "summer that isn't" here in upstate NY
Sun Jun 15, 2014, 10:28 AM
Jun 2014

Our high peaked out at 60 yesterday. Wonder if an El Niño will make it even cooler and wetter here?
Although NOAA says that El Niño reduces hurricane activity in the Atlantic Basin, and that would be lovely -- could do without another Irene/Lee double whammy event...

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