The Cochran/McDaniel Mississppi Primary provides worrisome signs ...
regarding voter engagement and the 2014 voter turn-out numbers ... though it SHOULD be worrisome for the gop, not the Democratic Party.
In the Mississippi republican primary run-off, the African-American voter turn-out was 43% (this is higher than the 2012 primaries where there were Democratic contenders) ... and there wasn't even a Democratic candidate (which African-Americans typically support) to vote for!
I suspect pollsters are questioning, if not tossing, their mid-term models that have the African-American turn-out, (historically) low, as there is no question that the (Mississippi) Black vote is engaged, informed and acting
strategically.
If McDaniel mounts a 3rd-party challenge of Cochran in the General election, I predict a Democratic steal ... if the youth and woman vote turns out (and the older white male vote, wouldn't hurt). Unfortunately, I haven't seen any poll analysis of the youth vote or the woman vote.
Likewise, if this pattern holds nationally, particularly in "battle-ground" states, the gop will have real problems ... despite what the pundits say.
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