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I Believe That We Will Win (Original Post) Capt. Obvious Jun 2014 OP
Very unfavorable situation JonLP24 Jun 2014 #1
Kicking for Game Day charlie and algernon Jun 2014 #2
And we fucking won Capt. Obvious Jun 2014 #3

JonLP24

(29,322 posts)
1. Very unfavorable situation
Thu Jun 12, 2014, 01:31 PM
Jun 2014

I think Nate Silver (or someone else) gives the US a 16% to advance out of group. Drops down to either .04% or 4%(can't remember) if they lose to Ghana. If they win, it boosts their odds at 21%. Tough when defeating Ghana is a requirement (can't afford to lose, draw, win here or there). They probably need to win the first 2 to make it out, then the World Cup gets easier (that is until you run into Brazil, Spain, or Argentina)

It had to be someone else. Silver's stats gives US a 32.1

http://fivethirtyeight.com/interactives/world-cup/

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