Welcome to DU!
The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards.
Join the community:
Create a free account
Support DU (and get rid of ads!):
Become a Star Member
Latest Breaking News
General Discussion
The DU Lounge
All Forums
Issue Forums
Culture Forums
Alliance Forums
Region Forums
Support Forums
Help & Search
Science
Related: About this forumIs it true that there are more people alive today than have died in all of human history?
I had heard this stated any number of times as a scientific fact - I recall some years ago it being scientifically refuted. I was just curious what the accepted scientific opinion about this matter wasFact or Fiction?: Living People Outnumber the Dead
Booming population growth among the living, according to one rumor, outpaces the dead
The human population has swelled so much that people alive today outnumber all those who have ever lived, says a factoid whose roots stretch back to the 1970s. Some versions of this widely circulating rumor claim that 75 percent of all people ever born are currently alive. Yet, despite a quadrupling of the population in the past century, the number of people alive today is still dwarfed by the number of people who have ever lived.
In 2002 Carl Haub, a demographer at the Population Reference Bureau, a nongovernmental organization in Washington, D.C., updated his earlier estimate of the number of people that have ever existed. To calculate this, he studied the available population data to determine the human population growth rates during different historical periods, and used them to determine the number of people who have ever been born.
To calculate how many people have ever lived, Haub followed a minimalist approach, beginning with two people in 50000 B.C.his Adam and Eve. Then, using his historical growth rates and population benchmarks, he estimated that slightly over 106 billion people had ever been born. Of those, people alive today comprise only 6 percent, nowhere near 75 percent. " almost surely true people alive today are some small fraction of people," says Joel Cohen, a professor of populations at the Rockefeller and Columbia Universities in New York City.
For this myth ever to be valid there would have to be more than 100 billion people living on Earth. "How cozy," Cohen says. "It just doesn't seem plausible," he adds.
Today there are more than 6.5 billion people walking on Earth, according to United Nations estimates.
http://www.scientificamerican.com/article/fact-or-fiction-living-outnumber-dead/
InfoView thread info, including edit history
TrashPut this thread in your Trash Can (My DU » Trash Can)
BookmarkAdd this thread to your Bookmarks (My DU » Bookmarks)
8 replies, 1276 views
ShareGet links to this post and/or share on social media
AlertAlert this post for a rule violation
PowersThere are no powers you can use on this post
EditCannot edit other people's posts
ReplyReply to this post
EditCannot edit other people's posts
Rec (6)
ReplyReply to this post
8 replies
= new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight:
NoneDon't highlight anything
5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Is it true that there are more people alive today than have died in all of human history? (Original Post)
Douglas Carpenter
Jun 2014
OP
DarthDem
(5,255 posts)1. Well . . . .
"Some versions of this widely circulating rumor claim that 75 percent of all people ever born are currently alive."
Oops? I'm actually pretty sure that no such rumor is in wide circulation, unless this article came from ReincarnationAmerican.
But hey, who knows? Something to hope for, maybe?
Xipe Totec
(43,888 posts)3. Studies show that 40% of all statistics are made up on the spot
Including this one.
Wounded Bear
(58,598 posts)5. Wrong!
Everybody knows it's really 75%. Or maybe that's just 75% of statistics quoted on the Internets.
Xipe Totec
(43,888 posts)6. Studies show you may be right
Or, you may be wrong.
Some high percentage of the time.
Wounded Bear
(58,598 posts)7. Well, people have said that it was so...
so it must be true. Besides, I read it on the Internet.
Xipe Totec
(43,888 posts)8. Studies show that studies show. nt
Laelth
(32,017 posts)2. k&r for exposure. n/t
-Laelth
byronius
(7,391 posts)4. I wrote a screenplay recently that dealt with this.
The idea was that the universe was collapsing, and that everything that had ever lived was being slowly pushed into our time.
Everything. People, creatures, bacteria -- everything.
It was fun to imagine. Not a lot of hard numbers out there to research, but the general scale of the concept was staggering.