Weather Watchers

yallerdawg

(16,104 posts) Wed Aug 24, 2016, 10:47 AM Aug 2016

Something brewing on the horizon?

Hurricane Hermine Doesn’t Exist Yet, But Experts Are Starting To Worry

It’s late August, which means it’s the peak of hurricane season. Not surprisingly, weather models have begun to key in on a particularly interesting area of disturbed weather near the Eastern Caribbean islands that shows potential for growing into a tropical storm or hurricane that may track toward the U.S. coast. If it gets a name, it’ll be called Hermine. (The National Hurricane Center has unfortunately turned down a request to rename it Harambe.)

But this area of disturbed weather — officially designated “invest 99L,” as in, “we should investigate it further” — is at the edge of predictability when it comes to forecasting what its location and strength will be in about six days, when some weather models show that it could be approaching Florida. (Errors for predicted five-day paths issued by the National Hurricane Center, which uses weather models as guidance, averaged 222 miles in 2011-15.)

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Something brewing on the horizon? (Original Post) yallerdawg Aug 2016 OP

Could be... Invest 99-L: Could become tropical depression this week; moving into Caribbean Baclava Aug 2016 #1

Still brewing - Brewing tropical storm may threaten Bahamas, Florida as a hurricane Baclava Aug 2016 #2

Invest 99L: A Credible Threat for the Gulf States Next Week yallerdawg Aug 2016 #3

Still watching. yallerdawg Aug 2016 #4

Baclava

(12,047 posts)

1. Could be... Invest 99-L: Could become tropical depression this week; moving into Caribbean

Reply to yallerdawg (Original post)

Wed Aug 24, 2016, 12:52 PM

Aug 2016

"The system still appears to lack a well-defined circulation," the center said.

Invest 99-L has an 80 percent chance of development over the next five days. The center said environmental conditions are marginally conducive for development, but the system could become a tropical depression this week.

http://www.wdsu.com/news/local-news/new-orleans/invest-99l-could-become-tropical-depression-this-week-moving-into-caribbean/41348460

Baclava

(12,047 posts)

2. Still brewing - Brewing tropical storm may threaten Bahamas, Florida as a hurricane

Reply to yallerdawg (Original post)

Wed Aug 24, 2016, 11:04 PM

Aug 2016

The disturbance, currently located about 1,000 miles southeast of Miami, is forecast to take a general west to west-northwest path near Puerto Rico on Wednesday night and near Hispaniola on Thursday.

"The exact track of 99L will have a big impact on when the system strengthens," according to AccuWeather Hurricane Expert Dan Kottlowski

http://www.accuweather.com/en/weathe...icane/59646780