Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search
6 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Pew National Poll: Obama leads 51-43 among likely voters (Original Post) WI_DEM Sep 2012 OP
Here are some key stats: WI_DEM Sep 2012 #1
I'm still concerned about the possible rope-a-dope strategy. Does the Corporate Media Liberal_Stalwart71 Sep 2012 #2
the media keeps still keeps telling us its a toss up... WI_DEM Sep 2012 #3
Most people do not follow these polls or politics. JRLeft Sep 2012 #4
Yeah, sure. I agree, But that wasn't my question. I think we're being suckered by Liberal_Stalwart71 Sep 2012 #5
This is likely where it really is Thrill Sep 2012 #6

WI_DEM

(33,497 posts)
1. Here are some key stats:
Wed Sep 19, 2012, 02:34 PM
Sep 2012

Overall interest in the 2012 election is not as high as it was at this point in the 2008 campaign, with a similar decline among both Democrats and Republicans. But the dropoff in engagement is most noticeable among younger Americans. Just 48% of voters younger than 30 have given a lot of thought to the 2012 election, down from 65% at this point four years ago. The share of young people who say they are closely following election news is down by about half (from 35% to 18%).

By contrast, there has been no falloff in engagement among African American voters. Engagement among black voters, which was higher in September 2008 than in previous elections dating to 1992, remains just as high going into the final weeks of the 2012 campaign.

The survey finds that overall patterns of voter support for Obama and Romney have changed little over the course of the campaign. Obama holds a 56% to 37% lead among women registered voters, but only runs about even among men (47% Romney, 46% Obama). Voters younger than 30 continue to support Obama by a wide margin (59% to 33%). Voters 30 to 49 favor Obama by a 52% to 41% margin; older voters are more evenly divided.

Romney draws broad support from white evangelical Protestants. Race and ethnicity remain key correlates of candidate support: 92% of black voters support Obama, as do 69% of Latinos, compared with 43% of white non-Hispanics. Among whites, Romney runs better among white men and white working class voters than among women and white college graduates.

 

Liberal_Stalwart71

(20,450 posts)
2. I'm still concerned about the possible rope-a-dope strategy. Does the Corporate Media
Wed Sep 19, 2012, 02:35 PM
Sep 2012

and the Republicans want us to think the election is in the bag, then come out in the end with hordes of money and GOTV while we're standing mouths agape?

WI_DEM

(33,497 posts)
3. the media keeps still keeps telling us its a toss up...
Wed Sep 19, 2012, 02:42 PM
Sep 2012

In 2008, Most of the final polls had Obama up by 5-11 points and it didn't hurt turn-out.

 

Liberal_Stalwart71

(20,450 posts)
5. Yeah, sure. I agree, But that wasn't my question. I think we're being suckered by
Wed Sep 19, 2012, 03:17 PM
Sep 2012

the Republicans and Mitt Romney. At least, that's my conspiracy theory. I think this is feigned outrage against Romney on the right. Should he improve, or they steal the election, they can come back and use this period thwart claims of fraud: "We thought Romney was going to lose, but he's the Comeback Kid."

Latest Discussions»Retired Forums»2016 Postmortem»Pew National Poll: Obama...