2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumFOX: Obama has edge over Romney in 3 battleground states
September 19, 2012
Obama tops Romney by seven percentage points among likely voters in both Ohio (49-42 percent) and Virginia (50-43 percent). In Florida, the president holds a five-point edge (49-44 percent).
Obamas lead is just outside the polls margin of sampling error in Ohio and Virginia, and within the margin of sampling error in Florida.
The good news for Romney is that among voters who are extremely interested in this years election, the races are much tighter. Obama is up by just two points with this group in Virginia (49-47 percent), Florida is tied (48-48 percent), and Romney is up by one point in Ohio (48-47 percent).
Independents are nearly evenly divided in each of the states, as well.
Majorities of voters are unhappy with how things are going in the country, yet in all three states more say they trust Obama than Romney to improve the economy.
http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2012/09/19/obama-has-edge-over-romney-in-three-battleground-states/
Thrill
(19,178 posts)aaaaaa5a
(4,667 posts)This election is starting to look just like 2008.
I posted the other day that even in Indiana, there was an internal poll with the Donnelly Senate campaign showing the President only down 6. Romney-47, Obama-41. In 2004 Bush carried Indiana by almost 20 points. (Donnelly is actually leading in his Senate race 48-45.) I don't know why this isn't getting more National play. We have a very close Senate race here.
Currently Obama leads in every state he won in 2008 except Indiana and North Carolina. In Indiana he is only down 6. North Carolina is within the margin of error. Obama is winning everywhere else. His margins are even starting to look like 2008. One poll today had him up 14 in Wisconsin.
Look at this way. Tonight, Obama is as close to Romney in Indiana, as Romney is to Obama in Florida, Virginia and Ohio.
TroyD
(4,551 posts)There are so many of them hitting us every hour.
WI_DEM
(33,497 posts)what a load of crap just to make it look tighter than it is.
Its getting to be downright comical isn't it?
TroyD
(4,551 posts)OHIO (Obama +7)
FOX News
Obama - 49
Romney - 42
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VIRGINIA (Obama +7)
FOX News
Obama - 50
Romney - 43
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FLORIDA (Obama +5)
FOX News
Obama - 49
Romney - 44
Jennicut
(25,415 posts)"Obamas job approval rating and his personal favorability are 50 percent or higher in these three states. In Ohio and Virginia, the presidents favorable rating is 10 percentage points higher than Romneys, and its 6 points higher in Florida."
Awesome!
TroyD
(4,551 posts)Here are the results from the same FOX poll for the SENATE :
~~~~~
VIRGINIA - Kaine +4
Kaine 47
Allen 43
~~~~~
OHIO - Brown +7
Brown 47
Mandel 40
~~~~~
FLORIDA - Nelson +14
Nelson 49
Mack 35