one which is less than 2 but more than 0

Looks like Bernie looking at pretty decent-sized win in Michigan. He also had a lead in the exit polls.

Bernie 51.9 Clinton 47.2

upset could happen in michigan.regardless it won't be huge clinton win.

I'm seeing only 2% in so far. If you have a site that is more up-to-date, could you please post link?

http://www.cnn.com/election/primaries/states/mi/Dem

bernie is holding on 51.1 to 47.6 with 18% in.

Fuckin' A!!

Go, Bernie, Go!!

I kept hearing in the afternoon that Clinton's internal polling showed a Bernie surge.

On MTP reported a very tight MI race on Sunday morning.

wondered whether she did a Hail Mary pass because her internal polling showed a Sanders surge. Well we'll soon see.


Go Bernie GO

quotes this week, in various interviews.

I kept trying to discuss this, in the 4,590 posts on DU that claimed Hillary had a 20+ point lead in Michigan.

No one was listening, really.

I think we can all chuck Real Clear Politics and their aggregated polls. The best indicators of how a race stands in a state, is the most recent RELIABLE polls. RCP averages polls that are a month old--and when you have a state that votes within a week--those numbers shift so quickly with both campaigns going full tilt with their rallies, ground game, ads and other campaign activities.

I think we have to be cautious about Michigan!!! We still have a long way to go, and Detroit has most likely not come in yet.

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BREAKING NEWS
Clinton picks up first Super Tuesday 2 state
COMPLETE SUPER TUESDAY 2 RESULTS
Polls: Voters angry, dissatisfied
Poll: Is Trump losing steam?
michigan
R
trump 35.6%
kasich 35.3%
cruz 18.8%
est % in: 3%
D
sanders 51.9%
clinton 47.2%
est % in: 12%
updated 5:18 pm et, mar. 8, 2016

http://www.cnn.com/

I just saw Bernie 51.9% to Hillary 47.2% in Michigan on a CNN sidebar, 12% reporting

Statewide results
102/4,830 precincts (2.1%) reporting
Sanders
50,420
51.9%
Clinton
45,770
47.1%
97,110 total votes

IS this normal?

t’s a bit unsettling to go against the grain with this forecast. As far as I know, every outlet is projecting a Clinton win tomorrow in both Michigan and Mississippi.

The Sanders campaign must be doing something remarkable in Michigan right now, because the upswing in Sanders popularity among my data sources is undeniable. I am seeing levels of interest in Bernie Sanders in Michigan similar to that of Colorado, Oklahoma, Kansas, and Nebraska. This, along with Michigan’s relatively normal demographic makeup, leads me to personally believe that he does have a chance. It leads my model to estimate that he will win there. Hillary leads every conventional poll, however, which makes me skeptical of these numbers.

Bernie Sanders will be lucky to get above 20% in Mississippi, but I do believe that if he doesn’t win Michigan, the final results will be very close. Here are the numbers:

(screen shot at link)

My official prediction is that Bernie will win Michigan and Hillary will win Mississippi, but in reality Michigan is too close to call with a mathematical model. Elections culminate in a single number after the movement of hundreds or thousands of variables, and as statisticians we can only select a few of those and hope that we account for as much variance as possible. Given the outcome of all the other elections so far this season, the positions of those variables right now in Michigan seem to indicate that a massive upset will happen tomorrow night.

https://tylerpedigo.com/2016/03/08/michigan-mississippi-democratic-primary-projections/