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Michigan using alchemy tonight to transform Mr. 538 (Original Post) GoldenThunder Mar 2016 OP
hopefully he will be Nate Lead by the end of tonight awake Mar 2016 #1
lol Land of Enchantment Mar 2016 #2
he picked Hillary by 28 points. How are they gonna spin that? They cant so they talk about trump litlbilly Mar 2016 #3
I picked Mrs. Clinton by 10. bigwillq Mar 2016 #7
I like Nate, but... renate Mar 2016 #4
Nothing Nate because that's all hes got aspirant Mar 2016 #5
Nate-Gate! Wilms Mar 2016 #6
Nate...nate....nate' gonna call elections anymore. johnnyrocket Mar 2016 #8
I suspect massive voter fraud by Sanders. woolldog Mar 2016 #9
Ah....what? johnnyrocket Mar 2016 #10
im kidding woolldog Mar 2016 #12
Massive voter fraud by Sanders means that... TheProgressive Mar 2016 #13
Nate eats crow wilsonbooks Mar 2016 #11
Historical polling is WRONG. Likely voter models are wrong! onecaliberal Mar 2016 #14
He'll be Nate Lead pretty soon! n/t RoccoR5955 Mar 2016 #15
That is called reverse alchemy! n/t RoccoR5955 Mar 2016 #16
Shocking, he's not perfect mythology Mar 2016 #17
 

TheProgressive

(1,656 posts)
13. Massive voter fraud by Sanders means that...
Tue Mar 8, 2016, 10:59 PM
Mar 2016

Sanders voted in the Michigan primary... Which I don't think he did
and it would be only one vote.

Any exit polls coming out of Michigan?

wilsonbooks

(972 posts)
11. Nate eats crow
Tue Mar 8, 2016, 10:58 PM
Mar 2016

Nate Silver on MI ossible Biggest Polling Error in History

I said earlier today that I had an intuition Sanders could beat his polling in Michigan tonight, but I didn’t expect things to be quite so close. If Sanders winds up winning in Michigan, in fact, it will count as among the greatest polling errors in primary history. Clinton led by 21.3 percentage points in our final Michigan polling average. Previously, the candidate with the largest lead to lose a state in our database of well-polled primaries and caucuses was Walter Mondale, who led in New Hampshire by 17.1 percentage points but lost to Gary Hart in 1984.

onecaliberal

(32,777 posts)
14. Historical polling is WRONG. Likely voter models are wrong!
Tue Mar 8, 2016, 11:05 PM
Mar 2016

Bernie is attracting a lot of people who either haven't voted for years, are first time voters or Indies who don't normally vote dem.

 

mythology

(9,527 posts)
17. Shocking, he's not perfect
Tue Mar 8, 2016, 11:15 PM
Mar 2016

But he's still got a damn impressive batting average.

And the fact that he's already said that the polling estimate was off, shows a lot of character. More so than those denigrating him for getting one wrong for example.

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