Closer to the nomination .

One had her up 7 points. One was 17. Many others were 20+ and even 30+. Nate Silver projected 22 points and a greater than 99% chance of winning. One of the Clinton people here said the 7 point poll seemed to be an outlier. No way to spin blowing a 20+ point lead.

Thank you.

What a great night!

For far too long in this country, we've been conditioned to vote based on what we're afraid of or what we're against instead of what we aspire to and what we are for.

I want to aspire to a more just, equitable, and compassionate America.

And I'm for Bernie.

Well Done.

If Bernie gets New York there is a very very narrow path for Hillary.

HRC is still building a delegate lead so that part, at least, is still moving in the direction she needs them to.

However, dropping a 20-point lead virtually overnight in a state where the blue-collar Democratic voter is a cultural icon, the optics on this one are terrible for her.

Now an assessment of the rest of the states to vote has to take into account that the polls are net 40 points off in her favor. The gap that got erased, whether it was through last-minute change of sentiment, or because of a bad poll (by an industry-leading pollster), has to make a lot of her partisans very nervous.

Her relatively strongest areas having already voted, the rest of the calendar may not go in her favor. Michigan could be a tipping point.

Across the rest of the country Bernie will keep chipping away at her lead.

The significance of his upset win in Michigan cannot be understated. Hillary lost it narrowly, but the biggest collective loser were the pollsters whose methodology and indeed credibility crashed and burned. The most disappointing aspect of Bernie's campaign has been his inability to break through in southern states where black voters loyal to Hillary are providing her with huge margins. So bombshell or not in Michigan, Hillary ends the day with a wider delegate lead than the day before.