2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumThe inevitability lie: Why the media and party elites are rushing to nominate the weakest candidate
Hillarys inevitability lie: Why the media and party elites are rushing to nominate the weakest candidate
For two years, media has swallowed and peddled the Clinton inevitability line. She's the one Dem even Trump beats
(snip)
But things arent as they seem. Sanders is doing better and Trump worse than the media thinks. Each race will now shift; whether enough to stop Clinton or Trump depends on strategy, execution, luck and other things impossible to poll. Elites may hold on for one last round but these insurgencies threaten their long term survival. Since their survival threatens ours, thats great news.
Clinton owes some of her early success to the frontloading of Southern states. Super Tuesday is a scheme hatched in the 80s by a bunch of white, male, mostly Southern Democrats who thought a regional primary would help centrists like themselves get a leg up on liberals. But they forgot, not for the first or last time, about African-Americans, lots of whom live in the South and vote Democratic. In 88, Jessie Jackson and Al Gore split the region, thus allowing Northern social liberal Mike Dukakis to slip through the net.
This year Super Tuesday finally worked as planned; hindering a progressive, aiding an insider. There was a twist: African-Americans who now dominate the party in the South made it work. I doubt they prefer Clintons neoliberalism to Sanders democratic socialism. The win owed more to loyalty to Obama and other trusted leaders, and to Hillarys skills and connections. By Saturday, eight of the 11 states of the old Confederacy had voted. In them she won 68 percent of the vote. Ten of 39 states outside the South had voted. In those states Sanders took 57 percent of the vote. On March 15, the Confederacy will be all done voting. The race begins then.
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More: http://www.salon.com/2016/03/08/hillarys_inevitability_lie_why_the_media_and_party_elites_are_rushing_to_nominate_the_weakest_candidate/
Lorien
(31,935 posts)"On March 15, the Confederacy will be all done voting. The race begins then."
Cobalt Violet
(9,905 posts)MI win will give a lot of his supporter the hope they need to hang in.
dchill
(38,324 posts)Voters want political reform and economic justice. They know that without reform theyll never get justice. Bernie Sanders is the only candidate who shares that opinion. The election is part of a broader revolt against a failed status quo. Clinton is an architect of that status quo; Trump, a big beneficiary. So she hides her transcripts and he hides his tax returns. Bernie is an open book. Its why he has the highest favorability rating of any candidate in the race and Clinton has the lowest of any presidential candidate in the history of polling, except for Trump.
Wow.
Lorien
(31,935 posts)finally someone gets it, and can articulate it simply and clearly. Please try to understand this, Hillary supporters.
reformist2
(9,841 posts)The big question now is how does this happen? How do poll after poll show Hillary having a lead of 8,10,12, even 20 points that doesn't materialize in the caucus or primary??? The simple answer is that they're biased, and deliberately so.