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DCBob

(24,689 posts)
Sat Mar 19, 2016, 07:55 AM Mar 2016

WashPost: Hillary Clinton doesn’t need white men

The fading of white men as a Democratic bloc is hardly new: The last nominee to carry them was Lyndon Johnson in 1964, and many blue-collar “Reagan Democrats” now steadily vote Republican. But Democrats have won about 35 to 40 percent of white men in nearly every presidential election since 1988. And some Democratic leaders say the party needs white male voters to win the presidency, raise large sums of money and, like it or not, maintain credibility as a broad-based national coalition.

I’m not sure who the “Democratic leaders” are who think that, because the only one the article quotes is Bill Richardson, who’s been out of politics for a few years and frankly was never considered a strategic genius to begin with. But here’s the truth: Hillary Clinton doesn’t need white men.

Clinton will have the support of tens of millions of white men. But she doesn’t need to do any better among them than any Democrat has, and even if she does worse, she’ll probably be completely fine.

That’s because whites are declining as a proportion of the electorate as the country grows more diverse with each passing year. In 1992, just 24 years ago, whites made up 87 percent of the voters, according to exit polls. By 2012 the figure had declined to 72 percent. Since women vote at slightly higher rates than men, white men made up around 35 percent of the voters.

Those numbers will be lower this year, which means that even if nothing changes in how non-whites vote, Republicans will need to keep increasing their margins among whites to even stay where they are overall — in other words, to keep losing by the same amount.

By way of illustration, in 1988, George H.W. Bush won 60 percent of white voters on his way to beating Michael Dukakis by seven points. In 2012, Mitt Romney did just as well among whites, winning 59 percent of their votes. But he lost to Barack Obama by four points. The electorate is now even less white than it was four years ago, which means that Donald Trump (or whoever the GOP nominee is) will have to do not just better among whites than Romney did in order to win, but much better.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-line/wp/2016/03/18/hillary-clinton-doesnt-need-white-men/

I am sure the Hillary campaign wants to win all demographic groups but its clear from the math she doesnt need them all.
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WashPost: Hillary Clinton doesn’t need white men (Original Post) DCBob Mar 2016 OP
OK when I glanced at the title . . . my mind sorta ...... LOL Iliyah Mar 2016 #1
More corporate media conglomerate divisive propaganda based on race and gender in regards Uncle Joe Mar 2016 #2
Yes, because we should just ignore data and research. JaneyVee Mar 2016 #4
We're not supposed to ever identify white voters as white voters. That's racist and divisive EffieBlack Mar 2016 #15
Nailed it! Cali_Democrat Mar 2016 #25
Post removed Post removed Mar 2016 #27
I didn't care for that either, at the beginning of the race Bernie was just an afterthought and Uncle Joe Mar 2016 #42
No, the corporate media conglomerates should put their focus on data and research regarding Uncle Joe Mar 2016 #19
You should write to them and tell them how you think they should conduct their business. Squinch Mar 2016 #28
That's what I'm doing here and I'm not just writing a letter to WAPO that may or may not be Uncle Joe Mar 2016 #32
Gosh! And you don't even need to take off your slippers to change the world! That's awesome. Squinch Mar 2016 #35
Why are you being so obnoxious? Human101948 Mar 2016 #77
Why are you being so obnoxious? stonecutter357 May 2016 #103
Republicans really dug their own graves... JaneyVee Mar 2016 #3
Bwaaahaaaaaaa! Dog whistle morphes into bull horn! Surya Gayatri Mar 2016 #23
"The last nominee to carry them was Lyndon Johnson in 1964" sufrommich Mar 2016 #5
Same here.. that's eye opening. DCBob Mar 2016 #8
I saw Bob Beckel on CNN DemocratSinceBirth Mar 2016 #6
That's why "normal" Republicans are freaking out about Trump. DCBob Mar 2016 #10
Because Reagan was able to capture disaffected whites and "country club Republicans" DemocratSinceBirth Mar 2016 #11
And Reagan Democrats, ugh Iliyah Mar 2016 #75
They are ..totally workinclasszero Mar 2016 #18
Well, T-rump calling Latinos rapists and Blacks thugs Iliyah Mar 2016 #78
Yup workinclasszero Mar 2016 #83
Yep...more of the white vote than Romney got almost 4 years ago! pandr32 Mar 2016 #89
Dividing may be the party strategy but not the party's real problem. mmonk Mar 2016 #7
I guess this is some of the new found unity the Clinton campaign is talking about. EndElectoral Mar 2016 #9
I am sure Hillary wants everyone to vote for her. DCBob Mar 2016 #12
There's plenty of unity. We know because she keeps getting a majority of the popular vote. Squinch Mar 2016 #31
Don't feel put upon, but think posting an article that Hillary doesn't need White Men isn't unifying EndElectoral Mar 2016 #55
It is factual. Facts are OK to state. People can do with them what they will. Squinch Mar 2016 #59
Lol tazkcmo Mar 2016 #58
OK. Thanks for letting us know. Bye now. Squinch Mar 2016 #60
You're welcome. n/t tazkcmo Mar 2016 #61
I hope that when you say ... tonedevil Mar 2016 #90
No, that poster said he wasn't going to vote for the Democratic candidate. That means there Squinch Mar 2016 #91
White males haz a sad. nt LexVegas Mar 2016 #13
LOL! EffieBlack Mar 2016 #16
Or, to judge from Trump rallies: White males haz a MAD!!!! Surya Gayatri Mar 2016 #22
Very interesting bravenak Mar 2016 #14
The democrats have been making this point for years. sufrommich Mar 2016 #21
I plan on ignoring those type of ops bravenak Mar 2016 #24
I disagreed with this when it was posed by a Sanders guy: joshcryer Mar 2016 #45
Wow bravenak Mar 2016 #47
He needs 64% of the white vote, 30% of the minority vote. joshcryer Mar 2016 #43
I'd be surprised if any republican could ever get 64% of the sufrommich Mar 2016 #44
Especially when Trump has no youth support... joshcryer Mar 2016 #46
The base voters of the democratic party... workinclasszero Mar 2016 #48
This white guy will vote for her this year. onehandle Mar 2016 #17
Me too! DCBob Mar 2016 #30
This white male will too! workinclasszero Mar 2016 #49
This white guy, the son of a bartender with a 9th grade education, never voted (R) in his life. DemocratSinceBirth Mar 2016 #20
K&R!!! RKP5637 Mar 2016 #29
My office mate in Orlando was a really liberal guy... DemocratSinceBirth Mar 2016 #37
same here.. DCBob Mar 2016 #33
There is anger in every group and as a white woman i see and hear the hate of POC Thinkingabout Mar 2016 #26
wow. I only hear it on DU. Are you saying you hear it in real life? Hiraeth Mar 2016 #52
I have heard this in real life and it is on the news media often, I find it strange you have only Thinkingabout Mar 2016 #74
you misunderstood my comment/question. never mind. I withdraw. Hiraeth Mar 2016 #80
She needed just one. Octafish Mar 2016 #34
Who knows? She was an exceptional individual even before she met Bill. DCBob Mar 2016 #36
She still would have been DemocratSinceBirth Mar 2016 #39
wow just wow. stonecutter357 Mar 2016 #41
misogynistic as hell... stonecutter357 May 2016 #104
Post removed Post removed May 2016 #106
your mother, wife and daughter are what they are because of you ? stonecutter357 May 2016 #107
More racial bigotry and division from weathervane JackInGreen Mar 2016 #38
Did you read the article?? DCBob Mar 2016 #40
But many white men need her. She is the only one speaking out on their behalf in areas of the Jitter65 Mar 2016 #50
Well said. DCBob Mar 2016 #51
She is the "only" one doing this? really? Bread and Circus Mar 2016 #67
She needs women, communities of color, ibegurpard Mar 2016 #53
They will show up.. DCBob Mar 2016 #54
I suggest you start paying attention ibegurpard Mar 2016 #95
It may be a shock to you but they do let us leave the "bubble" once in awhile. DCBob Mar 2016 #96
Maybe not in votes tazkcmo Mar 2016 #56
The OP and the article linked to is disguised antipathy toward white males and short sighted. Bread and Circus Mar 2016 #57
The OP and the article describe a factual situation. If the fact that white men Squinch Mar 2016 #62
First off, it's an opinion, not a fact. If 0 white males voted for clinton 100% of white males voted Bread and Circus Mar 2016 #65
You really think that all white men are so invested in their privilege that they won't vote for Squinch Mar 2016 #68
No, I like to think here on DU we care about the truth and we care about winning elections, not just Bread and Circus Mar 2016 #70
And what is untrue about an article that states the fact that Hillary doesn't need white men to be Squinch Mar 2016 #72
I just proved to you that she does. And the Democratic Party even moreso. Bread and Circus Mar 2016 #79
There is nothing in there that says that Hillary needs to win white men to win. The fact is that Squinch Mar 2016 #81
See, you just moved the goalpost. The OP says "doesn't need white men" in the title... Bread and Circus Mar 2016 #84
Well yes, and I do now see that your argument is based on what will occur if zero Squinch Mar 2016 #88
Ok, I think we are in agreement then. I just think the title of the article should be changed. Bread and Circus Mar 2016 #94
Who said anything about "writing off men"?? DCBob Mar 2016 #63
Good. I do suggest you go look at the numbers at the link I will provide here Bread and Circus Mar 2016 #66
I dont think anyone wants to write off any group. DCBob Mar 2016 #69
Agreed. It needs to be a big tent. Bread and Circus Mar 2016 #71
I listen to RW kook radio from time to time. DCBob Mar 2016 #76
I think most people just want a good paying job and a secure economic future. Bread and Circus Mar 2016 #82
Totally agree. DCBob Mar 2016 #85
Agreed. Bread and Circus Mar 2016 #86
Hubris ... GeorgeGist Mar 2016 #64
Fact... that some people have a really hard time accepting. Squinch Mar 2016 #73
Betcha didn't think this would pop up now! AgingAmerican May 2016 #99
The racial and gender establishment is resisting the true revolution in the DNC; sharing power with uponit7771 Mar 2016 #87
White male Clinton supporters are often the best out there. NCTraveler Mar 2016 #92
Well said. DCBob Mar 2016 #93
Hillary is determined to kick all of us working class white men out of the party. Odin2005 Mar 2016 #97
You didnt read the article. DCBob Mar 2016 #98
In the greatest electoral lancer78 May 2016 #100
Yeah, and Donald can't possibly win because, because, because. Just like they've said all year. highprincipleswork May 2016 #101
Still dividing along lines of sex, race, etc. when the clearest actual lines are young and old, merrily May 2016 #102
K&R! stonecutter357 May 2016 #105

Iliyah

(25,111 posts)
1. OK when I glanced at the title . . . my mind sorta ...... LOL
Sat Mar 19, 2016, 08:01 AM
Mar 2016

The Democratic Party encompasses everyone, which includes white men. We love white men, actually we love all men, actually we love everyone......

Uncle Joe

(58,342 posts)
2. More corporate media conglomerate divisive propaganda based on race and gender in regards
Sat Mar 19, 2016, 08:01 AM
Mar 2016

to the "horse race" this is how they operate, create all the fault lines or separate frames that you can and divide the people versus doing quality analysis on the critical issues of the day.

Turning the election in to a "reality T.V. show."

Thanks for the thread, DCBib.

 

EffieBlack

(14,249 posts)
15. We're not supposed to ever identify white voters as white voters. That's racist and divisive
Sat Mar 19, 2016, 08:30 AM
Mar 2016

Of course, we can talk about black voters and Hispanic voters and young voters and female voters. Just not white voters because white voters are just voters. And we definitely can't talk about white male voters because that's REALLY racist and divisive.

Response to EffieBlack (Reply #15)

Uncle Joe

(58,342 posts)
42. I didn't care for that either, at the beginning of the race Bernie was just an afterthought and
Sat Mar 19, 2016, 09:11 AM
Mar 2016

wouldn't stand a chance, as he started pulling close to Hillary in Iowa suddenly the corporate media conglomerates started continuously pushing the frame of Hillary's firewall in the South and how black voters wouldn't support Bernie.

That was psychological manipulation as well meant to do nothing but divide the people along racial lines, instead of reporting on the critical issues of the day it was all about the "horse race."

Uncle Joe

(58,342 posts)
19. No, the corporate media conglomerates should put their focus on data and research regarding
Sat Mar 19, 2016, 08:33 AM
Mar 2016

the critical issues and proposed policies of the day, poverty, institutional racism, wealth inequality, climate change, fracking, the human and treasure cost of war, our dismal standing in regards to health care and how much we pay for it, income disparity, the shrinking middle class, money's corruption of our campaign finance system (good luck with that one as they are direct beneficiaries from it) mass incarceration, our failed war on drugs, the consequences of unfettered free trade, our crumbling infrastructure and how we're falling behind the other advanced nations, our education system and how it should be improved etc. etc.

If they covered those issues in depth during campaign season with at least half the effort given to the "horse race" and what superficial externality divides us whether it be race, gender, religion, region, culture, liberal, progressive, moderate, conservative etc. etc. the rest will sort itself out and we would be a much stronger nation as result.

The only thing this type of story does is in giving a heads up to the candidates on how they should tailor their political speech not their heartfelt and studied stance on the issues.

This also only serves to create fault lines in the public by establishing or reinforcing frames, it's just psychological manipulation of the public.

But the corporate media conglomerates are compromised having an inherent conflict of interest via their advertisers, high wage salaried pundits, editors, owners or their corporate conglomerate parents having high financial stakes in issues that's aren't conducive to the public good.

So keeping the people divided is in their narrow minded interests.

Uncle Joe

(58,342 posts)
32. That's what I'm doing here and I'm not just writing a letter to WAPO that may or may not be
Sat Mar 19, 2016, 08:59 AM
Mar 2016

published, I'm writing it to everyone else that reads this including them.

sufrommich

(22,871 posts)
5. "The last nominee to carry them was Lyndon Johnson in 1964"
Sat Mar 19, 2016, 08:04 AM
Mar 2016

That's pretty shocking,I didn't know that.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
6. I saw Bob Beckel on CNN
Sat Mar 19, 2016, 08:06 AM
Mar 2016

He said Trump will need 70% of the white vote to win. For reference Ronald Reagan received 66% of the white vote in his 1984 landslide victory.


The GOP is so f---ed.

DCBob

(24,689 posts)
10. That's why "normal" Republicans are freaking out about Trump.
Sat Mar 19, 2016, 08:15 AM
Mar 2016

They do indeed have a monumental mess on their hands... and its their own fault.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
11. Because Reagan was able to capture disaffected whites and "country club Republicans"
Sat Mar 19, 2016, 08:17 AM
Mar 2016

Herr Trump scares the Hell out the latter.

 

workinclasszero

(28,270 posts)
18. They are ..totally
Sat Mar 19, 2016, 08:33 AM
Mar 2016

Last edited Sat Mar 19, 2016, 10:59 AM - Edit history (1)

Their base shrinks daily, and they try their damnedest to shut out all races and genders except white males, by and large.


Republicans Risk Repeating Mistake on Hispanic Vote
http://www.nytimes.com/2016/01/25/us/politics/republicans-risk-repeating-mistake-on-hispanic-vote.html

Three years ago, high-level Republicans declared that after losing the popular vote in five of the past six presidential elections, the party needed to appeal more to Latinos to win the White House. Immigration was a threshold issue.

Hispanics are the fastest-growing slice of the electorate.

Yet the white vote as a percentage of the total has been in steady decline, from 86 percent in 1984 to 72 percent in 2012. Mr. Romney won 59 percent of the white vote and still lost by four points.

Iliyah

(25,111 posts)
78. Well, T-rump calling Latinos rapists and Blacks thugs
Sat Mar 19, 2016, 10:54 AM
Mar 2016

Where both need to be sent back to Mexico and Africa.

 

workinclasszero

(28,270 posts)
83. Yup
Sat Mar 19, 2016, 11:02 AM
Mar 2016

The republican party is committing suicide by electing straight up proud racists like Herr Trump and Canadian Cruz.

pandr32

(11,574 posts)
89. Yep...more of the white vote than Romney got almost 4 years ago!
Sat Mar 19, 2016, 11:23 AM
Mar 2016

...and that will be interesting since so many in the GOP are looking for anyone to vote for other than Trump!

DCBob

(24,689 posts)
12. I am sure Hillary wants everyone to vote for her.
Sat Mar 19, 2016, 08:22 AM
Mar 2016

I think the problem is this particular group feels the GOP speaks to desires better.

Squinch

(50,935 posts)
31. There's plenty of unity. We know because she keeps getting a majority of the popular vote.
Sat Mar 19, 2016, 08:58 AM
Mar 2016

The difference is that white men don't have an advantage over everyone else now.

Because there is no reason why they should. There never was.

If that makes you feel put upon, you should consider why.

tazkcmo

(7,300 posts)
58. Lol
Sat Mar 19, 2016, 09:58 AM
Mar 2016

So, I, as a white man, am feeling put off that a rich, entitled, politically connected politician doesn't need or want me? Not hardly. Why not? Because she made not need my vote but she'll sure want me to fight her wars. She'll get neither.

 

tonedevil

(3,022 posts)
90. I hope that when you say ...
Sat Mar 19, 2016, 11:26 AM
Mar 2016

bye it means you are going to go away. That is the only way for you to improve a conversation.

Squinch

(50,935 posts)
91. No, that poster said he wasn't going to vote for the Democratic candidate. That means there
Sat Mar 19, 2016, 11:31 AM
Mar 2016

is no longer any reason to discuss Democratic issues with him.

I'll be with the Democrats through this election and for the foreseeable future. Sorry to disappoint.

 

bravenak

(34,648 posts)
14. Very interesting
Sat Mar 19, 2016, 08:27 AM
Mar 2016

That’s because whites are declining as a proportion of the electorate as the country grows more diverse with each passing year. In 1992, just 24 years ago, whites made up 87 percent of the voters, according to exit polls. By 2012 the figure had declined to 72 percent. Since women vote at slightly higher rates than men, white men made up around 35 percent of the voters.


This just proves the point of how important it is to build a broad and diverse coalition. We are at the point where it will be damn near impossible soon, to win the presidency if one does not have minorities as a large block of their voting base. And as important as it is to have minorities in the general election, it is even more important to win minorities over during the primary election.

sufrommich

(22,871 posts)
21. The democrats have been making this point for years.
Sat Mar 19, 2016, 08:46 AM
Mar 2016

The road to the White House literally has to include minorities and women. Groups that the GOP has lost for the next couple of decades at least. This is why I laugh at DUers who insist Trump will beat Hillary,without that combination,he's doomed.

 

bravenak

(34,648 posts)
24. I plan on ignoring those type of ops
Sat Mar 19, 2016, 08:50 AM
Mar 2016

So tired of the narrative that we are not important or that we are doomed to Donald if we vote for Hillary. I will start just laughing

joshcryer

(62,269 posts)
45. I disagreed with this when it was posed by a Sanders guy:
Sat Mar 19, 2016, 09:14 AM
Mar 2016
http://www.democraticunderground.com/12511400972

Hey, it's not racist when you make an appeal for the white vote, but it's totally racist when you say they're not needed (using demographics to show that a broad base is far more important than appealing to a certain group)!
 

bravenak

(34,648 posts)
47. Wow
Sat Mar 19, 2016, 09:21 AM
Mar 2016

That op is something special. I wonder why people never feel bad and try to stop themselves from compounding the problem.

sufrommich

(22,871 posts)
44. I'd be surprised if any republican could ever get 64% of the
Sat Mar 19, 2016, 09:13 AM
Mar 2016

white vote ever again. That's why they're tearing themselves to shreds right now.

joshcryer

(62,269 posts)
46. Especially when Trump has no youth support...
Sat Mar 19, 2016, 09:15 AM
Mar 2016

...and conservative women break from him 10%+.

Disaster in the making for the Republican party, and that's why they're pulling their hair out, they see the writing on the wall.

 

workinclasszero

(28,270 posts)
48. The base voters of the democratic party...
Sat Mar 19, 2016, 09:28 AM
Mar 2016

the Obama coalition, call it what you will...is the majority future in america!

This is the reason the republicans are doomed!

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
37. My office mate in Orlando was a really liberal guy...
Sat Mar 19, 2016, 09:03 AM
Mar 2016

He voted for a Republican for sheriff... I could have a friend who is a Republican but he or she is not getting my vote.

Thinkingabout

(30,058 posts)
26. There is anger in every group and as a white woman i see and hear the hate of POC
Sat Mar 19, 2016, 08:52 AM
Mar 2016

And their dislike on not being able to control how others vote. I suspect there are lots who wish none of the "others" would have been given the right to vote. Well, step aside, accept the fact we are here and we vote.

Thinkingabout

(30,058 posts)
74. I have heard this in real life and it is on the news media often, I find it strange you have only
Sat Mar 19, 2016, 10:42 AM
Mar 2016

heard this on DU when DU has only been active since 2001. Surely you heard about Travon Martin, it was a hate crime but was not the first. Research some of the white supremacy groups.

DCBob

(24,689 posts)
36. Who knows? She was an exceptional individual even before she met Bill.
Sat Mar 19, 2016, 09:01 AM
Mar 2016

I am sure she would have been very successful no matter what.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
39. She still would have been
Sat Mar 19, 2016, 09:06 AM
Mar 2016

-a National Honor Society member
-a Merit Scholar finalist
-a Wellesley grad
-a Yale Law School grad

It's not as if she would have been a maid at the Chicago Grand Hyatt. However, that isn't to suggest all work isn't ennobling.

Response to stonecutter357 (Reply #104)

JackInGreen

(2,975 posts)
38. More racial bigotry and division from weathervane
Sat Mar 19, 2016, 09:05 AM
Mar 2016

I don't mind that hill doesn't need me, what I do loathe is the pure racial division it sows "we don't need white males" ok, no issue. You don't need them, but you don't need those that couldn't give a squirt voting against you, this article seems hell bent on ensuring that.

DCBob

(24,689 posts)
40. Did you read the article??
Sat Mar 19, 2016, 09:10 AM
Mar 2016

It isn't an article on how the Hillary campaign feels... its the math and the history of the white male voting block. No Democrat has taken that demographic since Lyndon Johnson.

 

Jitter65

(3,089 posts)
50. But many white men need her. She is the only one speaking out on their behalf in areas of the
Sat Mar 19, 2016, 09:45 AM
Mar 2016

country where no one has Wall Street stock and no one is worried about a $15 minimum wage when they don't have a job. Hillary has been addressing the NEEDS of the rust belt, not the CONDITIONS of the rust belt.

ibegurpard

(16,685 posts)
53. She needs women, communities of color,
Sat Mar 19, 2016, 09:51 AM
Mar 2016

And young people. To turn out in droves. Her performance with 2 of those 3 is not paricularly stellar so far and the turnout has been abysmal across the board.

DCBob

(24,689 posts)
54. They will show up..
Sat Mar 19, 2016, 09:53 AM
Mar 2016

especially if Trump is the nominee. This could be the highest voter turnout in history.

Bread and Circus

(9,454 posts)
57. The OP and the article linked to is disguised antipathy toward white males and short sighted.
Sat Mar 19, 2016, 09:55 AM
Mar 2016

Hillary, this time, may not "need" white men but it's really fucking politically stupid to write off "men" and write off "white men" when nearly 50% of the country is male and 35% of the electorate is still "white men".

Why be so antagonistic to a large voting block. Sounds stupid to me.

Also, Hillary, being the first female nominee may not need white men "this time" but what about when electing a woman in 4 years isn't such a novelty? She may need them more then. Why piss off 30 to 35% of the electorate?

And here's the bigger point, Hillary may not need "white men" at any point but there are a lot of Governorships, Senate Races, and Congress races (not to mention all the state governments) that really, really need white voters, including white males to vote.

Does the Democratic Party really want to become the Anti White Male Party?

Squinch

(50,935 posts)
62. The OP and the article describe a factual situation. If the fact that white men
Sat Mar 19, 2016, 10:03 AM
Mar 2016

do not have undue influence in this election makes you feel that someone is displaying antipathy toward you, that is not something that anyone else can help you with.

PS: Plenty of white men are not pissed off by the statements of these facts.

Bread and Circus

(9,454 posts)
65. First off, it's an opinion, not a fact. If 0 white males voted for clinton 100% of white males voted
Sat Mar 19, 2016, 10:18 AM
Mar 2016

for Trump, I seriously fucking doubt Clinton would win.

That's would likely be 35,000,000 votes or more (judging from 2012 numbers alone)

You really think Hillary can make up a 70,000,000 vote swing?

I didn't think so.

So the real truth is Hillary Clinton does need a percentage of the white male vote. It may be a small percentage, but it exists. That's reality. Thus to say she "doesn't need white males" is a falsehood.

People like you, I think, really underestimate the white vote in the electorate, to your own peril.

Go look for yourself.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2015/08/26/demographics_and_the_2016_election_scenarios.html#!


Squinch

(50,935 posts)
68. You really think that all white men are so invested in their privilege that they won't vote for
Sat Mar 19, 2016, 10:24 AM
Mar 2016

Clinton because some article pointed out that she doesn't need white men to make her numbers?

You really think most white men find a personal insult in the statement of this fact like you do?

People like you, I think, really overestimate the numbers of people who have the same horrified reactions to these facts as you do.

I won't say "to your own peril" because it really doesn't matter. Don't vote for her if you feel you are being slighted by the fact that she isn't trying to woo white men simply because they are white men.

She'll still win. That's the point.

Bread and Circus

(9,454 posts)
70. No, I like to think here on DU we care about the truth and we care about winning elections, not just
Sat Mar 19, 2016, 10:25 AM
Mar 2016

one Presidency.

Squinch

(50,935 posts)
72. And what is untrue about an article that states the fact that Hillary doesn't need white men to be
Sat Mar 19, 2016, 10:28 AM
Mar 2016

elected?

This is a hard fact for the group that has always had the power. The fact is that you no longer do. The fact is that power is now much more widely shared. If you care about winning elections, you need to get used to that fact. Suggestions that white men need to be assuaged show a real disconnect from this reality.

Squinch

(50,935 posts)
81. There is nothing in there that says that Hillary needs to win white men to win. The fact is that
Sat Mar 19, 2016, 10:59 AM
Mar 2016

she won't win white men. And she will still win.

Bread and Circus

(9,454 posts)
84. See, you just moved the goalpost. The OP says "doesn't need white men" in the title...
Sat Mar 19, 2016, 11:02 AM
Mar 2016

now you are saying doesn't need to "win white men". That is a big difference.

You can't just all of a sudden change the words you use because I showed you that you were wrong.

I agree she doesn't need to "win" a majority of white men, however she does "need white men" to some extent.

And yes, the numbers at the link does prove that to you.

Squinch

(50,935 posts)
88. Well yes, and I do now see that your argument is based on what will occur if zero
Sat Mar 19, 2016, 11:18 AM
Mar 2016

white men vote for Hillary. I will concede, if you like, that Hillary will not win if you assume that zero white men vote for her. But that is a ridiculous assumption, so what is the point of that discussion?

The numbers at the link do not separate white men from white women. They are simply results from the 2012 election in a projection tool into which the user can plug any numbers they like. Those numbers do not give any information about how white men's voting patterns affect the election, so they don't prove your point.

Bread and Circus

(9,454 posts)
94. Ok, I think we are in agreement then. I just think the title of the article should be changed.
Sat Mar 19, 2016, 11:44 AM
Mar 2016

As it stands now, the article title (and what it implies) is a falsehood.

DCBob

(24,689 posts)
63. Who said anything about "writing off men"??
Sat Mar 19, 2016, 10:10 AM
Mar 2016

The article describes how white men have been moving more to the Republican party ever since Lyndon Johnson and the fact Democrats can still win regardless. We definitely do no want to write off anyone.

Bread and Circus

(9,454 posts)
66. Good. I do suggest you go look at the numbers at the link I will provide here
Sat Mar 19, 2016, 10:21 AM
Mar 2016
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2015/08/26/demographics_and_the_2016_election_scenarios.html#!

Now tell me, of those 70,000,000 white voters, how many do you want to start saying "you don't need" and how wise will the strategy of "we don't need you" be for down ticket votes as well as district by district as well as state by state votes?

DCBob

(24,689 posts)
69. I dont think anyone wants to write off any group.
Sat Mar 19, 2016, 10:25 AM
Mar 2016

I believe it is an issue that needs to be taken seriously. If any demographic group feels like the Dem party is not speaking to their needs, then we need to do something about it.

DCBob

(24,689 posts)
76. I listen to RW kook radio from time to time.
Sat Mar 19, 2016, 10:53 AM
Mar 2016

I took off early yesterday and heard Limbaugh for a few moments during my drive home. He actually made some "partial" sense explaining why white men are angry. His point is that they feel they are neglected and blamed at the same time. Benefits are taken from them and given to people who they feel dont deserve them (immigrants, POC, "lazy" poor, etc..) and when they complain that its not fair they are called racists and sexists and haters.

Of course their concept of fair is off target but I do get how they could they could come to that conclusion given what is fed to them by RW media. I think we do need to do a better of job of explaining the benefits of the programs we as Democrats value and know the tremendous good they do. But also try to make these programs more fair if they are indeed leaving some groups out.

Bread and Circus

(9,454 posts)
82. I think most people just want a good paying job and a secure economic future.
Sat Mar 19, 2016, 10:59 AM
Mar 2016

I think if there is any unifying theme why people are angr is that they are working harder for less or can't get a good job in the same way they used to. It makes people angry, resentful, and hopeless.

The RW exploits this by exploiting POC and immigrants, which is dangerous and immoral.

DCBob

(24,689 posts)
85. Totally agree.
Sat Mar 19, 2016, 11:03 AM
Mar 2016

I dont know the solution to that but we definitely need to do something or this issue is going to simply get worse and worse.

uponit7771

(90,335 posts)
87. The racial and gender establishment is resisting the true revolution in the DNC; sharing power with
Sat Mar 19, 2016, 11:13 AM
Mar 2016

... the others.

 

NCTraveler

(30,481 posts)
92. White male Clinton supporters are often the best out there.
Sat Mar 19, 2016, 11:33 AM
Mar 2016

They don't feel like they are holding on for a last gasp. They feel a sense of community over that of individualism.

 

lancer78

(1,495 posts)
100. In the greatest electoral
Mon May 9, 2016, 03:24 AM
May 2016

demographic change by race in the history of America, the coalition of the ascendant prepares to rescue America. And to America's rescue, the coalition of the ascendant marches.

 

highprincipleswork

(3,111 posts)
101. Yeah, and Donald can't possibly win because, because, because. Just like they've said all year.
Mon May 9, 2016, 03:37 AM
May 2016

If you'll notice, a lot of the people who support Bernie Sanders voted for Obama too. And if Hillary goes Rightward, and loses a significant portion of Economic Progressives and Young People you are definitely going to feel it.

Despite the number crunching you guys like to do so much.

merrily

(45,251 posts)
102. Still dividing along lines of sex, race, etc. when the clearest actual lines are young and old,
Mon May 9, 2016, 04:59 AM
May 2016

left and right. More needlessly divisive bullshut.

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