2016 Postmortem

DCBob

(24,689 posts) Sat Mar 19, 2016, 09:36 PM Mar 2016

Vital statistic: Number of states where 20 or more delegates gained: HRC = 9 BS = 0

Hillary 20+ gain states
===============
South Carolina: 25
Alabama: 35
Georgia: 44
Tennessee: 21
Texas: 74
Virginia: 29
Louisiana: 23
Mississippi: 26
Florida: 68

Bernie 20+ gain states
===============
zilch (his best state was Vermont with a 16 delegate gain)

This clearly demonstrates the dilemma Bernie faces. He needs to replicate what Hillary did in those 9 states to catch up and he has not even accomplished that once so far.

24 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

Vital statistic: Number of states where 20 or more delegates gained: HRC = 9 BS = 0 (Original Post) DCBob Mar 2016 OP

Small caucus states just won't cut it. Trust Buster Mar 2016 #1

Yeah, that seems to be their grand plan to catch up. DCBob Mar 2016 #5

+1 I was banned from the Sanders forum for simply trying to explain simple math to them. NT aaaaaa5a Mar 2016 #21

Climate change and the sixth global mass-extinction event is happening now SoLeftIAmRight Mar 2016 #13

HILLYES riversedge Mar 2016 #2

Rec. nt LexVegas Mar 2016 #3

...just wait. Tiggeroshii Mar 2016 #4

..for?? DCBob Mar 2016 #6

The small numbers to add up and some big numbers too :) Tiggeroshii Mar 2016 #9

True but there are not enough small numbers left that add up to those big numbers. DCBob Mar 2016 #12

You mean, like lead on average by 25% in the states he wins? Tiggeroshii Mar 2016 #14

"looking pretty good"? DCBob Mar 2016 #16

Let's talk and see how things are going April 18. Tiggeroshii Mar 2016 #18

Ok, talk to you then. NT Adrahil Mar 2016 #19

NY will wipe out all the gains he makes. hrmjustin Mar 2016 #20

LOL, Vital? Wow, desperate for something to post about? nt Logical Mar 2016 #7

Essential, critical, crucial, key, indispensable, integral, all-important... DCBob Mar 2016 #10

It's that pesky math again, just can't logically get around it. Thinkingabout Mar 2016 #8

It makes it very clear the task facing Bernie. DCBob Mar 2016 #11

The path has lots of boulders and ones which can not be ignored. Thinkingabout Mar 2016 #23

there aren't that many large states left dsc Mar 2016 #15

Yep.. thats the other problem. DCBob Mar 2016 #17

Not sure if you have out in LA much, but we're feeling the bern out in California. Tiggeroshii Mar 2016 #22

If Bernie gets at least 85% in California, then yes, he can win this. DCBob Mar 2016 #24

Trust Buster

(7,299 posts)

1. Small caucus states just won't cut it.

Reply to DCBob (Original post)

Sat Mar 19, 2016, 09:39 PM

Mar 2016

DCBob

(24,689 posts)

5. Yeah, that seems to be their grand plan to catch up.

Reply to Trust Buster (Reply #1)

Sat Mar 19, 2016, 09:40 PM

Mar 2016

It makes you wonder if they have anyone who understands basic math on his campaign.

aaaaaa5a

(4,667 posts)

21. +1 I was banned from the Sanders forum for simply trying to explain simple math to them. NT

Reply to DCBob (Reply #5)

Sat Mar 19, 2016, 10:30 PM

Mar 2016

SoLeftIAmRight

(4,883 posts)

13. Climate change and the sixth global mass-extinction event is happening now

Reply to Trust Buster (Reply #1)

Sat Mar 19, 2016, 10:14 PM

Mar 2016

baby steps

enjoy

riversedge

(70,096 posts)

2. HILLYES

Reply to DCBob (Original post)

Sat Mar 19, 2016, 09:39 PM

Mar 2016

LexVegas

(6,031 posts)

3. Rec. nt

Reply to DCBob (Original post)

Sat Mar 19, 2016, 09:39 PM

Mar 2016

Tiggeroshii

(11,088 posts)

4. ...just wait.

Reply to DCBob (Original post)

Sat Mar 19, 2016, 09:40 PM

Mar 2016

DCBob

(24,689 posts)

6. ..for??

Reply to Tiggeroshii (Reply #4)

Sat Mar 19, 2016, 09:42 PM

Mar 2016

Tiggeroshii

(11,088 posts)

9. The small numbers to add up and some big numbers too :)

Reply to DCBob (Reply #6)

Sat Mar 19, 2016, 09:49 PM

Mar 2016

DCBob

(24,689 posts)

12. True but there are not enough small numbers left that add up to those big numbers.

Reply to Tiggeroshii (Reply #9)

Sat Mar 19, 2016, 10:03 PM

Mar 2016

A gain of 4 here and 5 there wont cut it. He needs some big hauls like Hillary had.

Tiggeroshii

(11,088 posts)

14. You mean, like lead on average by 25% in the states he wins?

Reply to DCBob (Reply #12)

Sat Mar 19, 2016, 10:16 PM

Mar 2016

...kinda like he is doing now? Based on the evidence, it's looking pretty good.

DCBob

(24,689 posts)

16. "looking pretty good"?

Reply to Tiggeroshii (Reply #14)

Sat Mar 19, 2016, 10:20 PM

Mar 2016

Tiggeroshii

(11,088 posts)

18. Let's talk and see how things are going April 18.

Reply to DCBob (Reply #16)

Sat Mar 19, 2016, 10:26 PM

Mar 2016

After he's won 8 states in a row. =)

Adrahil

(13,340 posts)

19. Ok, talk to you then. NT

Reply to Tiggeroshii (Reply #18)

Sat Mar 19, 2016, 10:28 PM

Mar 2016

hrmjustin

(71,265 posts)

20. NY will wipe out all the gains he makes.

Reply to Tiggeroshii (Reply #18)

Sat Mar 19, 2016, 10:28 PM

Mar 2016

Logical

(22,457 posts)

7. LOL, Vital? Wow, desperate for something to post about? nt

Reply to DCBob (Original post)

Sat Mar 19, 2016, 09:43 PM

Mar 2016

DCBob

(24,689 posts)

10. Essential, critical, crucial, key, indispensable, integral, all-important...

Reply to Logical (Reply #7)

Sat Mar 19, 2016, 09:53 PM

Mar 2016

take your pick.

Thinkingabout

(30,058 posts)

8. It's that pesky math again, just can't logically get around it.

Reply to DCBob (Original post)

Sat Mar 19, 2016, 09:47 PM

Mar 2016

Had not looked the results like this, tells me she has had some good results, thanks for sharing.

DCBob

(24,689 posts)

11. It makes it very clear the task facing Bernie.

Reply to Thinkingabout (Reply #8)

Sat Mar 19, 2016, 09:57 PM

Mar 2016

Hard to imagine any plausible scenario where he pulls this off.

Thinkingabout

(30,058 posts)

23. The path has lots of boulders and ones which can not be ignored.

Reply to DCBob (Reply #11)

Sat Mar 19, 2016, 10:47 PM

Mar 2016

dsc

(52,152 posts)

15. there aren't that many large states left

Reply to DCBob (Original post)

Sat Mar 19, 2016, 10:18 PM

Mar 2016

CA, NY, NJ, MD, WA are about it. Other than WA, Hillary is likely to win or at least come very close to winning all of those.

DCBob

(24,689 posts)

17. Yep.. thats the other problem.

Reply to dsc (Reply #15)

Sat Mar 19, 2016, 10:21 PM

Mar 2016

He running out of real estate.

Tiggeroshii

(11,088 posts)

22. Not sure if you have out in LA much, but we're feeling the bern out in California.

Reply to dsc (Reply #15)

Sat Mar 19, 2016, 10:33 PM

Mar 2016

We've got this.

DCBob

(24,689 posts)

24. If Bernie gets at least 85% in California, then yes, he can win this.

Reply to Tiggeroshii (Reply #22)

Sun Mar 20, 2016, 08:19 AM

Mar 2016

He would get all 475 delegates due to the 15% threshold. Short of that it's pretty much hopeless.

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