Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

riversedge

(70,200 posts)
Sun Mar 20, 2016, 03:19 PM Mar 2016

New poll: most Bernie Sanders supporters will vote for Hillary Clinton if she’s the nominee

GOOD for them .

TWEET
Daily News Bin ?@DailyNewsBin 36s36 seconds ago

New poll: most Bernie Sanders supporters will vote for Hillary Clinton if she’s the nominee

http://www.dailynewsbin.com/news/new-poll-says-86-of-bernie-sanders-supporters-will-vote-for-hillary-clinton-if-shes-the-nominee/24192/



By Bill Palmer | March 20, 2016


......................Now that Hillary Clinton is firmly on track to be the 2016 democratic nominee, as her opponent Bernie Sanders has fallen millions of votes behind, it’s fair to ask how many or few Bernie fans will vote for Hillary in the general election. In headlines that were likely intended to scare people, various news outlets have pointed to data this month that says one-third of Bernie’s supporters will refuse to vote for Hillary Clinton. But when you do the actual math on this, it’s great news for Hillary.

Thus far in popular voting, Bernie Sanders has received about 41% of the total vote (source: RealClearPolitics). Of that 41%, just one-third of them say they’ll refuse to vote for Hillary if she’s the nominee. That means just 13.7% of all the people voting in the democratic primary are planning to shun Hillary in the general election. The other 86.3% of the combined Hillary-Bernie base will vote for her. Throw in the democrats who didn’t vote in this primary because they don’t have a preference and simply plan to vote for the democratic nominee no matter what, and the actual number is likely higher than 86%.....................




AND HAPPY FIRST DAY OF SPRING TO ALL......


63 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
New poll: most Bernie Sanders supporters will vote for Hillary Clinton if she’s the nominee (Original Post) riversedge Mar 2016 OP
Aren't those similar numbers to the previous polls? nt revbones Mar 2016 #1
Yeap these are the extact same numbers. Loudestlib Mar 2016 #26
I know plenty of Sanders supporters here in NY and none of them say the things I see on DU. hrmjustin Mar 2016 #2
Good to know, but in the Bernie group a Bernie or Bust movement from FB is being promoted Jackie Wilson Said Mar 2016 #51
And this counterpoint from our DU Bernie Group: yallerdawg Mar 2016 #59
This is very good news. SFnomad Mar 2016 #3
Or more probably rock Mar 2016 #31
+1 nt NCTraveler Mar 2016 #62
I suspect that these are folks okasha Mar 2016 #34
It just keeps getting better! yallerdawg Mar 2016 #4
Keep whistling past the graveyard. timmymoff Mar 2016 #5
This message was self-deleted by its author hrmjustin Mar 2016 #6
How many recent presidential elections PowerToThePeople Mar 2016 #7
Those are primary voters kcjohn1 Mar 2016 #8
Right, it doesn't capture the # of Indies that will not vote at all if HRC wins nom. kristopher Mar 2016 #16
Brock is that you????? UglyGreed Mar 2016 #9
Obviously they did not sample many of Bernie's supporters on DU. LonePirate Mar 2016 #10
The thing is Andy823 Mar 2016 #32
Many of those here on DU who make that claim are NOT going to voter for a Democrat anyway. DJ13 Mar 2016 #60
13.7% of Democratic primary voters is a huge number in some swing states aikoaiko Mar 2016 #11
That's 13.7% of 33% Renew Deal Mar 2016 #23
Nope Loudestlib Mar 2016 #27
13.7% of all Democratic Primary voters. HooptieWagon Mar 2016 #52
So I don't know why Hillary folks are bragging out this 4dsc Mar 2016 #56
LOL! Politicalboi Mar 2016 #12
Ah, so you are an outlier? LOLZ KittyWampus Mar 2016 #36
Keep telling yourselves that Lorien Mar 2016 #13
Hillary Will NEVER Be POTUS! She Has Done It To Herself! She Should Have Given More Thought To The CorporatistNation Mar 2016 #22
Yup. Agschmid Mar 2016 #14
Sorry. I don't trust anything from the Hillary blog. Fawke Em Mar 2016 #15
Hillary propaganda UglyGreed Mar 2016 #17
I hope that at least *some* of that 13.7% will gaze into the abyss of a Republcian appointing tblue37 Mar 2016 #18
Of course they will. Most of the people on this board saying they won't are bots, trolls, Pisces Mar 2016 #19
A good many are Ron Paul fans and Greens. KittyWampus Mar 2016 #37
Nope. Fawke Em Mar 2016 #39
This message was self-deleted by its author silvershadow Mar 2016 #20
In a couple of months we may be wondering how many HRC casperthegm Mar 2016 #24
K&R.....more people need to see this....nt AgadorSparticus Mar 2016 #21
Says pro Hillary blog whatchamacallit Mar 2016 #25
Good to know. Beacool Mar 2016 #28
13.7%... Is HOGWASH and Decidedly Overly Optimistic... WELL Beyond 35% Will NOT Cast Their Vote CorporatistNation Mar 2016 #35
Scream all you want, but it's not going to happen. Beacool Mar 2016 #38
Scream all you want. basselope Mar 2016 #41
Seriously???? Beacool Mar 2016 #44
Not joking. basselope Mar 2016 #46
For the umpteenth time, Bernie supporters aren't "sitting out." Fawke Em Mar 2016 #43
What a spiteful and selfish bunch of people!!!! Beacool Mar 2016 #47
This is a trend. NCTraveler Mar 2016 #63
Most of them must have been blindsided by a purity test... and answered reflexively. cherokeeprogressive Mar 2016 #29
IF she wins the nomination I will vote for her in the general, but man4allcats Mar 2016 #30
How about the flip side? matt819 Mar 2016 #33
That's been established very often here ... in both personal statements/posts and in ... NurseJackie Mar 2016 #42
It was a genuine question matt819 Mar 2016 #45
The vast majority of Hillary supporters have repeatedly said that they would vote for Sanders, Beacool Mar 2016 #49
More than enough to assure she can't win. basselope Mar 2016 #40
Dailynewsbin ... still? vintx Mar 2016 #48
Maybe LittleGreenFootballs site was down. HooptieWagon Mar 2016 #58
Honestly Solid Snake1 Mar 2016 #50
When... insta8er Mar 2016 #53
Hillary supporters seem awfully worried about this.... marions ghost Mar 2016 #54
Seems like a waste of money to commission that poll. NCTraveler Mar 2016 #55
That bus is going to need some bigger wheels Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin Mar 2016 #57
Voting is easy shawn703 Mar 2016 #61

Loudestlib

(980 posts)
26. Yeap these are the extact same numbers.
Sun Mar 20, 2016, 04:16 PM
Mar 2016

This is not new. These guys are here celebrating "only" 13.7%. Al Gore lost about 12% of democrats in Florida and it cost us the election.

Jackie Wilson Said

(4,176 posts)
51. Good to know, but in the Bernie group a Bernie or Bust movement from FB is being promoted
Sun Mar 20, 2016, 07:47 PM
Mar 2016

It is almost funny, Bernie Sanders himself will be outraged if he sees such fucking stupidity.

okasha

(11,573 posts)
34. I suspect that these are folks
Sun Mar 20, 2016, 04:57 PM
Mar 2016

who never lost their senses. They're Democrats whose priority is putting the best candidate we have on the ticket and then into the Oval Office.

No sane person wants to see the country fall to Trump, who clearly sees himself as a dictator answerable to no one.

yallerdawg

(16,104 posts)
4. It just keeps getting better!
Sun Mar 20, 2016, 03:23 PM
Mar 2016
And even that number is likely suppressed right now by the high emotions involved in this point in primary season. Many of Bernie’s supporters still believe he might somehow be able to make a comeback and win the nomination, and as part of that defiant mindset, they’re more inclined to tell pollsters that they’d never vote for Hillary. Once primary season passes and everyone is reminded of what the final two choices are, more of Bernie’s democratic fans will come around. Throw in the fact that one in four republicans now say they’ll vote for Hillary over Donald Trump, and her base is even broader.

Response to riversedge (Original post)

kcjohn1

(751 posts)
8. Those are primary voters
Sun Mar 20, 2016, 03:30 PM
Mar 2016

Only diehards vote in the primaries. As you know ~50% of the general population does not vote. Only 1/3 vote in primaries. So if this poll is to be believed Hillary will start with (keeping everything else constant) 2M less voters than Obama in 2012.

Now there is case to made maybe some of these 13% are people who don't usually vote or vote for Democratic candidate. No one knows that. But given Clinton unfavorablity this will be very low turnout election. I doubt people who usually don't vote will come out to vote for Hillary and what she represents. So losing people who vote in primaries is a huge lose.

kristopher

(29,798 posts)
16. Right, it doesn't capture the # of Indies that will not vote at all if HRC wins nom.
Sun Mar 20, 2016, 03:53 PM
Mar 2016

Bernie can turn out a lot of independents in the GE.

I think it's simple. He makes a lot of us want to be a better person and we've been waiting for someone to ask that of us. Being appealed to with FUD is wearing thin...

LonePirate

(13,417 posts)
10. Obviously they did not sample many of Bernie's supporters on DU.
Sun Mar 20, 2016, 03:33 PM
Mar 2016

I will gladly support the Dem nominee in November but many around here would rather throw their votes away on another candidate instead of the Dem nominee.

Andy823

(11,495 posts)
32. The thing is
Sun Mar 20, 2016, 04:49 PM
Mar 2016

Many of those here on DU who make that claim are NOT going to voter for a Democrat anyway. They are here to make trouble, spew right wing talking points, encourage as many here as possible to NOT vote if Bernie doesn't win, and to just plain stir shit as much as they can to divide the board.

I think there may be some Democrats that bought into the right wing BS who might not vote for Hillary, but I think it's a lot less than than 13%. Anyone in their right mind would know that not getting out and voting in November helps only the republican nominee, most likely Trump, and no sane person would ever want to see that jerk in the WH.

DJ13

(23,671 posts)
60. Many of those here on DU who make that claim are NOT going to voter for a Democrat anyway.
Sun Mar 20, 2016, 08:06 PM
Mar 2016

....or they really believe Sanders is the last hope to salvage our political system, and see Hillary as a bad choice that only perpetuates the corporate takeover of our country.

They are just as likely to be telling the truth as to have the nefarious intent you want to ascribe

aikoaiko

(34,169 posts)
11. 13.7% of Democratic primary voters is a huge number in some swing states
Sun Mar 20, 2016, 03:35 PM
Mar 2016

Last edited Sun Mar 20, 2016, 06:42 PM - Edit history (1)


HRV is going to have to work hard to reduce that number even while she moves to the center.

She can't count on the anti-trump vote because he is already moving to the center.


eta: fixed title

Loudestlib

(980 posts)
27. Nope
Sun Mar 20, 2016, 04:19 PM
Mar 2016

That's 13.7% of all democratic voters. Both voters for Clinton and Sanders. Gore lost Florida because about 12% of democrats didn't vote for him.

 

HooptieWagon

(17,064 posts)
52. 13.7% of all Democratic Primary voters.
Sun Mar 20, 2016, 07:47 PM
Mar 2016

IMO it may be higher, since a large number of Indy voters for Sanders simply will not vote for Clinton. Regardless, since RW Dems are still blaming the 1% Dems who voted for Nader 16 years ago for costing Gore the election, 13.7% or more is a number to be very concerned about. It's the difference between Obama numbers and Kerry numbers.

 

4dsc

(5,787 posts)
56. So I don't know why Hillary folks are bragging out this
Sun Mar 20, 2016, 07:54 PM
Mar 2016

13.7% of the democratic party not voting for Hillary is HUGE!

 

Politicalboi

(15,189 posts)
12. LOL!
Sun Mar 20, 2016, 03:46 PM
Mar 2016

It ain't gonna work. You can come up with all this bullshit, but we have principles. I won't vote for those who cheat against us. We'd be fools.

Lorien

(31,935 posts)
13. Keep telling yourselves that
Sun Mar 20, 2016, 03:48 PM
Mar 2016

It's not going to happen. We already have our backup candidate, and it ain't the Wall street coddling, child rapist defending, fracking pushing, GMO loving warmongering tool of the Establishment.

CorporatistNation

(2,546 posts)
22. Hillary Will NEVER Be POTUS! She Has Done It To Herself! She Should Have Given More Thought To The
Sun Mar 20, 2016, 04:08 PM
Mar 2016

CONSEQUENCES of her actions and decisions... dare I mention (judgements) throughout her tenure in public life.



and...



Still those stinking ... TRANSCRIPTS...



Ridiculous! Release the transcripts if there is nothing to worry about!

Fawke Em

(11,366 posts)
15. Sorry. I don't trust anything from the Hillary blog.
Sun Mar 20, 2016, 03:50 PM
Mar 2016

Independent (and more trustworthy) sources say the number is at about 37 percent.

I believe that.

tblue37

(65,340 posts)
18. I hope that at least *some* of that 13.7% will gaze into the abyss of a Republcian appointing
Sun Mar 20, 2016, 03:55 PM
Mar 2016

as many as 3 or 4 SCOTUS justices over the next 4-8 years and run screaming from what they see there.

Pisces

(5,599 posts)
19. Of course they will. Most of the people on this board saying they won't are bots, trolls,
Sun Mar 20, 2016, 03:55 PM
Mar 2016

or Republicans. Very few true democrats will not vote for the nominee. The alternative is ridiculous.

Fawke Em

(11,366 posts)
39. Nope.
Sun Mar 20, 2016, 07:23 PM
Mar 2016

Here's some real people, interviewed today, that say they will not be voting for her. Start at the 5:22 mark.



I tried posting it at the started time (5:22) but it won't let me. Just go there.

Response to riversedge (Original post)

casperthegm

(643 posts)
24. In a couple of months we may be wondering how many HRC
Sun Mar 20, 2016, 04:11 PM
Mar 2016

supporters will Back Sanders. This is far from over, as much as the HRC supporters would like to convince us otherwise. Heck, even if she gets the nomination I won't stop fighting. The Democratic party has lost its soul to corporate America and Wall Street. Time to reclaim it.

CorporatistNation

(2,546 posts)
35. 13.7%... Is HOGWASH and Decidedly Overly Optimistic... WELL Beyond 35% Will NOT Cast Their Vote
Sun Mar 20, 2016, 07:04 PM
Mar 2016

FOR HRC for MANY reasons including...

the TOTAL SHAFTING of Bernie by the DNC and the Corporatist MSM! Again as othrs here have stated... THIS ain't over yet and likely as not the progressive WEST will come out in force to SLAP the perpetrators of this ESTABLISHMENT CONTROLLED Democratic Party and its apparatchiks and apparatus. Lil Debbie deserves a good comeuppance as well. In the end Hillary voters may have to support Bernie. When EVERYONE has had the opportunity to cast their vote and have THEIR voices heard... then and ONLY then will the primary conclude.

Beacool

(30,247 posts)
38. Scream all you want, but it's not going to happen.
Sun Mar 20, 2016, 07:23 PM
Mar 2016

35% of Sanders' supporters will not sit out an election that could make Trump president.

You can rail at the DNC and Wasserman all you like, but the fact remains that more people are voting for Hillary than Sanders.

BTW, I expect Sanders to stay until the last state has voted. It still won't make much of a difference in the final result.

Beacool

(30,247 posts)
44. Seriously????
Sun Mar 20, 2016, 07:33 PM
Mar 2016

You must be joking.



BTW, I used the word "scream" because that poster wrote part of his message in caps.

Fawke Em

(11,366 posts)
43. For the umpteenth time, Bernie supporters aren't "sitting out."
Sun Mar 20, 2016, 07:30 PM
Mar 2016

They will write in his name, vote for Jill, and, at least the independent anti-establishment types might go to Trump, but they will NOT be sitting this election out.

And, with that, she will never be president.

Beacool

(30,247 posts)
47. What a spiteful and selfish bunch of people!!!!
Sun Mar 20, 2016, 07:34 PM
Mar 2016

Sanders is losing the nomination fair and square, but you would rather see Trump as president than vote for the Democratic nominee if it's not Sanders????

That makes me sick!!!



 

NCTraveler

(30,481 posts)
63. This is a trend.
Sun Mar 20, 2016, 08:13 PM
Mar 2016

A small percentage of people speaking for a group that is really embarrassed by them in general. You don't speak for Sanders supporters as you think you do. You are an outlier, not a part of the group. Knowing that is a part of the anger.

man4allcats

(4,026 posts)
30. IF she wins the nomination I will vote for her in the general, but
Sun Mar 20, 2016, 04:36 PM
Mar 2016

I will be holding my nose while doing so.

matt819

(10,749 posts)
33. How about the flip side?
Sun Mar 20, 2016, 04:53 PM
Mar 2016

I support Bernie, and I think he has a chance. But there is no question I will vote for Hillary if she is the nomine. I may hold my nose when I do it, but I will vote for the Democrat. Here's a question, though. What about all the Hillary supporters? Will they commit to voting for Bernie if he is the nominee?

NurseJackie

(42,862 posts)
42. That's been established very often here ... in both personal statements/posts and in ...
Sun Mar 20, 2016, 07:25 PM
Mar 2016

... various DU polls asking similar questions.

matt819

(10,749 posts)
45. It was a genuine question
Sun Mar 20, 2016, 07:33 PM
Mar 2016

Which I wouldn't have asked if I knew the answer. Your post still leaves me without this information.

Beacool

(30,247 posts)
49. The vast majority of Hillary supporters have repeatedly said that they would vote for Sanders,
Sun Mar 20, 2016, 07:39 PM
Mar 2016

if he won the nomination. It's a group of spiteful Sanders' supporters who keep saying that they refuse to vote for Hillary if she's the nominee. People like that make me sick, not because of Hillary, but because they are so selfish that they will rather see Trump as president than vote for Hillary. In all my years, I have yet to see someone who is more unqualified than Trump to govern. He would be a veritable disaster for the nation. I would vote for anyone with a "D" after their name to prevent a Trump presidency.

 

Solid Snake1

(95 posts)
50. Honestly
Sun Mar 20, 2016, 07:42 PM
Mar 2016

The small minority of those who say they won't vote for Hillary are nothing more than Bernie's Babies.

 

NCTraveler

(30,481 posts)
55. Seems like a waste of money to commission that poll.
Sun Mar 20, 2016, 07:54 PM
Mar 2016

Most will, some won't.

They can take their ball, go home, and start their shitty threats again in eight years.

shawn703

(2,702 posts)
61. Voting is easy
Sun Mar 20, 2016, 08:07 PM
Mar 2016

Putting in the volunteers hours for GOTV for a subpar candidate is something else. I didn't think getting their votes was going to be the issue, rather their enthusiasm in helping to get out other people's votes.

Latest Discussions»Retired Forums»2016 Postmortem»New poll: most Bernie San...