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Onlooker

(5,636 posts)
Tue Mar 22, 2016, 02:20 PM Mar 2016

Hillary leads among likely voters, Sanders among registered voters

Both candidates are strong, and one can cherrypick all they want. Sanders attracts the crowds, Hillary gets the votes. Sanders wins among independents, Hillary among Democrats; Sanders wins youth, Hillary wins people of color. Anyone can spin the info in their favor, but really it's all meaningless until the general election gets underway.

Among likely voters, Hillary would beat Trump, 41.3 to 38.2, Sanders would lose, 44.4 to 44.2

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/2016-general-election-trump-vs-sanders#!hiddensubpops=A,RV&estimate=custom

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/2016-general-election-trump-vs-clinton#!hiddensubpops=A,RV&estimate=custom

Among registered voters, Sanders would beat Trump 50.9 to 36.5, Hillary would beat Trump 46.6 to 38.2

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/2016-general-election-trump-vs-clinton#!hiddensubpops=A,LV&estimate=custom

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/2016-general-election-trump-vs-sanders#!hiddensubpops=A,LV&estimate=custom

12 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Kalidurga

(14,177 posts)
2. That isn't shocking at all. A whole lot of young people couldn't vote in the last election.
Tue Mar 22, 2016, 02:34 PM
Mar 2016

So, they have never in any poll ever been considered likely voters.

thesquanderer

(11,986 posts)
8. Good point. Also, Sanders has always said it's about turnout. Which means...
Tue Mar 22, 2016, 03:01 PM
Mar 2016

...turning more registered voters into likely voters.

 

Onlooker

(5,636 posts)
4. No, I'm relying on the aggregate of those polls that measure likely voters ...
Tue Mar 22, 2016, 02:44 PM
Mar 2016

... and the results of those are the most recent numbers. There are three or four polls that measure likely voters, including Zogby, Survey USA, and a couple others. Individually, the polls also show similar results.

-none

(1,884 posts)
9. Why don't you open that door and describe the contents?
Tue Mar 22, 2016, 03:41 PM
Mar 2016

I don't think there is nearly the skeletons and dead bodies that Hillary has collected.
Bernie may have a walk in closet, but you would need a golf cart to tour Hillary's closet.

-none

(1,884 posts)
11. So you have nothing.
Tue Mar 22, 2016, 06:50 PM
Mar 2016

BTY, not all Hillary's baggage has been unpacked yet. Wait a few more years for her SoS years to be better documented..

artyteacher

(598 posts)
12. the GOP has a lot indeed...
Wed Mar 23, 2016, 08:28 AM
Mar 2016

Honeymooning in Moscow, writing about woman wanting to be raped by multiple men, praising Fidel Castro, being a draft dodger.... And that's just a start.


They won't be fair attacks but there are huge percentages of Americans who will buy them.

PoliticAverse

(26,366 posts)
7. And this highlights the problem with polls and why it isn't just "math" - the necessity
Tue Mar 22, 2016, 03:00 PM
Mar 2016

of figuring out who will actually show up to vote.

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