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JDPriestly

(57,936 posts)
Wed Mar 23, 2016, 02:39 AM Mar 2016

If my understanding of the rules and my math are correct, Bernie won 55 delegates tonight

to Hillary's 51. Hurrah for Bernie.

And not one state on the West Coast has voted yet.

The states that seceded from the Union have voted, but not one West Coast state has voted.

Bernie is gaining delegates slowly but surely.

24 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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If my understanding of the rules and my math are correct, Bernie won 55 delegates tonight (Original Post) JDPriestly Mar 2016 OP
Ok Solid Snake1 Mar 2016 #1
California will roll right in CountAllVotes Mar 2016 #2
Yup Solid Snake1 Mar 2016 #5
I'm in California. Bernie should do well here. JDPriestly Mar 2016 #9
Doubtful Solid Snake1 Mar 2016 #12
Arizona is full of older people. I lived there at one time -- lots of retirees. JDPriestly Mar 2016 #15
California is a very large, diverse, non-caucus state. We've seen BS doesn't do well in those. brush Mar 2016 #22
And guess what! pantsonfire Mar 2016 #8
The eroding of Hill's delegate lead is under way!! JimDandy Mar 2016 #3
I think your math is wrong but picking up 4 delegates to close a 300+ delegate shortfall Trust Buster Mar 2016 #4
Not a whole lot of delegates at stake tonight. JDPriestly Mar 2016 #10
The New York Times agrees with my count. JDPriestly Mar 2016 #16
Halfway through, he needs more delegates than he has. KMOD Mar 2016 #6
The more conservative states in the Deep South voted first. JDPriestly Mar 2016 #11
I thought it was closer to 20? joshcryer Mar 2016 #7
Here are the numbers I show. JDPriestly Mar 2016 #13
+1 CountAllVotes Mar 2016 #14
?? maybe 73 for Bernie and 58 for Hillary ?? DLnyc Mar 2016 #19
Fair enough. I guess I'll wait for The Green Papers. joshcryer Mar 2016 #20
Ten months ago he was unknown. No money, fame, power, MSM nor party support. senz Mar 2016 #17
I'm with you. And I'm so happy to be scaring the establishment Dems. JDPriestly Mar 2016 #18
Completely agree. senz Mar 2016 #21
There were 131 delegates at stake, weren't there? Donald Ian Rankin Mar 2016 #23
Yeah! And I love that we count Democrats in all states even the traditionally red ones. n/t pampango Mar 2016 #24

CountAllVotes

(20,868 posts)
2. California will roll right in
Wed Mar 23, 2016, 02:43 AM
Mar 2016

Have yet to see a solitary Hillary bumper sticker but have seen plenty of Sanders 2016 stickers right here in California where yes, we Feel The Bern!!!

Sanders 2016

& recommend.

 

Solid Snake1

(95 posts)
5. Yup
Wed Mar 23, 2016, 02:45 AM
Mar 2016

Just like AZ, and the "massive Phoenix rally".

Im sorry but that is anecdotal at best. Just like Bernie's internet polls.

JDPriestly

(57,936 posts)
15. Arizona is full of older people. I lived there at one time -- lots of retirees.
Wed Mar 23, 2016, 03:07 AM
Mar 2016

California has lots of younger people.

And California is a state in which the marijuana issue will be big and get young people to the polls.

Marijuana is a huge crop grown in California. That's what someone told me.

I am not a marijuana user, but that is going to be a big issue in California because it is a controlled substance under federal law but legal for medicinal purposes under California state law. Bernie has promised to take it off the controlled substance list. (Which although I don't have any interest in using it should be done. We should treat substance abuse as a medical issue in my opinion and direct substance abusers and their illnesses into special care groups. Marijuana probably does not cause the medical problems that say cocaine or heroin or prescription opiates cause. We need health insurance for all if and special tracks for the care of addiction if we are to deal probably with the national epidemic of drug addiction and the medical problems it causes.)

Another big issue in California is education and student debt. Bernie is strong on that. He is also strong on Black Lives Matter (and reform of the justice system that is needed to make sure that Latino lives matter). He is also strong on immigration and family issues. Gun control is not as big an issue here because we have strong state laws about gun control and are pretty happy with them.

Bernie has the kind of attitude and presence that will be popular in California.

Bernie makes contact on many levels with people. Hillary does not. She does not give speeches to big crowds. Bernie's approach is likely to win voters and activists in California.

We have liberal radio in California -- KPFA and KPFK in big urban areas -- very liberal radio will help Bernie even if it is neutral in the primary.

We haven't really started campaigning yet but the enthusiasm is very high and a lot of experienced campaigners are working for Bernie -- like me.

 

pantsonfire

(1,306 posts)
8. And guess what!
Wed Mar 23, 2016, 02:50 AM
Mar 2016

California is an open primary!!! Meaning that independents (roughly 33% of Americans) will be able to vote in the primary.

 

Trust Buster

(7,299 posts)
4. I think your math is wrong but picking up 4 delegates to close a 300+ delegate shortfall
Wed Mar 23, 2016, 02:44 AM
Mar 2016

Does NOT a winner make.....LOL

JDPriestly

(57,936 posts)
10. Not a whole lot of delegates at stake tonight.
Wed Mar 23, 2016, 02:52 AM
Mar 2016

California's 546 delegates will be the big contest.

I'm in Southern California, and we have not yet really started campaigning. I think Bernie will win big here.

JDPriestly

(57,936 posts)
11. The more conservative states in the Deep South voted first.
Wed Mar 23, 2016, 02:54 AM
Mar 2016

Just wait until the West Coast votes. 546 delegates in California alone. That's a big hunk of delegates. Some will go for Hillary but a lot will go for Bernie.

Bernie will either win the most delegates or go to the convention with a large percentage of delegates. Either way, for a campaign that started only 10-11 months ago and had to win name recognition, that's fantastic.

Bernie will be a force to be reckoned with by Democrats and Republicans in the future. And I am delighted.

Feel the Bern!

joshcryer

(62,269 posts)
7. I thought it was closer to 20?
Wed Mar 23, 2016, 02:48 AM
Mar 2016

Also, AZ is probably going to tighten a bit due to the long lines thanks to GOP ratfuckery.

JDPriestly

(57,936 posts)
13. Here are the numbers I show.
Wed Mar 23, 2016, 02:58 AM
Mar 2016

17 for Bernie and 5 for Hillary

18 for Bernie and 5 for Hillary

20 for Bernie and 41 for Hillary

55 for Bernie and 51 for Hillary total.

The New York Times agrees with me:

http://www.nytimes.com/elections/results

Look for the March 22 results. I had to look a little to find the right page.

DLnyc

(2,479 posts)
19. ?? maybe 73 for Bernie and 58 for Hillary ??
Wed Mar 23, 2016, 03:30 AM
Mar 2016

Current tally at Green Papers, but that will probably change as the night (and days) go on.

See my other post here: http://www.democraticunderground.com/12511557045

 

senz

(11,945 posts)
17. Ten months ago he was unknown. No money, fame, power, MSM nor party support.
Wed Mar 23, 2016, 03:23 AM
Mar 2016

All he had was truth, a passion for democracy, love for people, and a damn good heart.

He's doing GREAT!

So glad to be on team Bernie!

JDPriestly

(57,936 posts)
18. I'm with you. And I'm so happy to be scaring the establishment Dems.
Wed Mar 23, 2016, 03:27 AM
Mar 2016

I was utterly disgusted when the response to the attacks on unions in Wisconsin was so weak.

Bernie would have responded in a big way to what happened there. The Democratic Party showed just how old, decrepit and conservative and even uncaring about working people it has become when Scott Walker did what he did in Wisconsin.

I don't want that to ever happen again in any state in the union.

 

senz

(11,945 posts)
21. Completely agree.
Wed Mar 23, 2016, 03:47 AM
Mar 2016

Wisconsin was unthinkable, felt like we the people were truly losing our country. Which, of course, we still could.

But there's a new spirit out there now. Bernie is doing what he hoped to do: waking people up, stirring a peaceful political revolution throughout the land. It's happening.

I hadn't quite thought of this as "scaring the establishment Dems," but love it. What fun!

People power -- YES!

Donald Ian Rankin

(13,598 posts)
23. There were 131 delegates at stake, weren't there?
Wed Mar 23, 2016, 04:57 AM
Mar 2016

75 in Arizona, 33 in Utah, 23 in Idaho

To be on course for the nomination, Clinton needs about 55 and Sanders needs about 76; 538 gave their targets as 57 and 74 at the start of the campaign, but Clinton is ahead of where she needs to be at this point.

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