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2016 Postmortem

onehandle

(51,122 posts) Wed Mar 23, 2016, 10:08 AM Mar 2016

12

95% Chance Of Hillary Winning The Democratic Nomination. 71% Chance Of Winning General Election.

95%
http://predictwise.com/politics/2016-president-democratic-nomination

71%
http://predictwise.com/politics/2016-president-winner

10 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

95% Chance Of Hillary Winning The Democratic Nomination. 71% Chance Of Winning General Election. (Original Post) onehandle Mar 2016 OP

Niiice! Thank you! Lucinda Mar 2016 #1

I need a Delorean, and 88 mph. Agnosticsherbet Mar 2016 #2

Go Hillary!! n/t cosmicone Mar 2016 #3

K&R! stonecutter357 Mar 2016 #4

K & R. Surya Gayatri Mar 2016 #5

Are these the same people giving Bernie a 1% Herman4747 Mar 2016 #6

95% is a little low. :-) Alfresco Mar 2016 #7

K&R livetohike Mar 2016 #8

OK, Hillary, quit while you're ahead! k8conant Mar 2016 #9

Good, but I'd prefer 95% for either in the GE, Hortensis Mar 2016 #10

Lucinda

(31,170 posts)

1. Niiice! Thank you!

Reply to onehandle (Original post)

Wed Mar 23, 2016, 10:08 AM

Mar 2016

Agnosticsherbet

(11,619 posts)

2. I need a Delorean, and 88 mph.

Reply to onehandle (Original post)

Wed Mar 23, 2016, 10:09 AM

Mar 2016

Tired of waiting.

cosmicone

(11,014 posts)

3. Go Hillary!! n/t

Reply to onehandle (Original post)

Wed Mar 23, 2016, 10:09 AM

Mar 2016

stonecutter357

(12,695 posts)

4. K&R!

Reply to onehandle (Original post)

Wed Mar 23, 2016, 10:10 AM

Mar 2016

Surya Gayatri

(15,445 posts)

5. K & R.

Reply to onehandle (Original post)

Wed Mar 23, 2016, 10:15 AM

Mar 2016

Herman4747

(1,825 posts)

6. Are these the same people giving Bernie a 1%

Reply to onehandle (Original post)

Wed Mar 23, 2016, 10:17 AM

Mar 2016

chance to win Michigan?

Predictwise to some extent is based on Betfair, which is just a gambling outfit in which British punters wager on American elections.

Alfresco

(1,698 posts)

7. 95% is a little low. :-)

Reply to onehandle (Original post)

Wed Mar 23, 2016, 10:22 AM

Mar 2016

livetohike

(22,133 posts)

8. K&R

Reply to onehandle (Original post)

Wed Mar 23, 2016, 10:50 AM

Mar 2016

k8conant

(3,030 posts)

9. OK, Hillary, quit while you're ahead!

Reply to onehandle (Original post)

Wed Mar 23, 2016, 10:52 AM

Mar 2016

Hortensis

(58,785 posts)

10. Good, but I'd prefer 95% for either in the GE,

Reply to onehandle (Original post)

Wed Mar 23, 2016, 11:01 AM

Mar 2016

71% for the nomination. Trump and Cruz are scary, and what any of the hard cons over there would do if we gave them the chance, in fact.

I was reading that Mormons are extremely unentranced with The Donald. In fact, they really, really dislike him almost as much as he should be. They are the GOP's most reliable religious voting group, but many are saying they will sit out the election or vote Democrat if Trump is the nominee. I'm guessing the former is an especial threat to the GOP this time, but the loss of a few of the latter could become permanent.

Now, hopefully this block'll take a closer look at Cruz. Not too close! Be careful!

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