2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumBernie Is Winning the Primary Race, and I’ll Prove It to You
With that said, lets make an important observation: Bernie Sanders has tied or beaten Hillary Clinton in a majority of the actively contested votes this election season.
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/seth-abramson/sanders-currently-winning-democratic-primary-race-ill-prove-to-you_b_9528076.html
k8conant
(3,030 posts)(emphasis mine)
geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)may disagree with that.
Also, Obama won Florida and Virginia twice. Why did Sanders perform so miserably there?
Cobalt Violet
(9,905 posts)YOU don't speak for me. Nor does Bill on Bullhorn.
Yavin4
(35,357 posts)DemocratSinceBirth
(99,706 posts)"The Sanders camp, and Sanders supporters, are justly excited about how their candidate is performing in homogeneous and sparsely populated states. The problem is that that excitement is quickly becoming the sort of arrogance that will in fact endanger Sanders' quest to be taken seriously. . Both he and his team including all his millions of supporters should consider the fact that Bernie does not, outside of homogeneous and sparsely populated states, do particularly well among voters when theyre given any other reasonable alternative. "
k8conant
(3,030 posts)Dr Hobbitstein
(6,568 posts)geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)k8conant
(3,030 posts)geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)This primary will be effectively OVER before May Day.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,706 posts)The English professor should leave Political Science to Political Science professors and Political Science professors should leave English to English professors. That's why when my lap top isn't working I don't take it to the tire store.
The reason Clinton overperforms in early voting is because her supporters skew older and are more likely to take advantage of early voting and vote at their leisure and avoid long lines. Any Political Science professor would tell you that.
Baobab
(4,667 posts)From :
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/seth-abramson/sanders-currently-winning-democratic-primary-race-ill-prove-to-you_b_9528076.html
"Were early votes reported last rather than first, Arizona as of 2:45 AM ET would have been considered not only too close to call but a genuine nail-biter. In fact, only 400 or so Election Day votes were separating the two Democratic candidates at that point though the momentum with each new vote counted was quite clearly in Sanders favor."
OMG....
This changes everything.
This article is a must-read.
Tarc
(10,472 posts)*mostly white
*open primary/caucus
Yavin4
(35,357 posts)workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)and math illiterate.
H A Goodman...is that you?
NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)Yavin4
(35,357 posts)Then, yes, Bernie is winning. That's like saying if you take away the fact that Scarlett Johanson doesn't know who I am, has never met me, and will never meet me, then I'm in a relationship with her.