2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumWisconsin Shock Poll- Clinton 50% Sanders 44%
In the Democratic primary, Clinton leads Sanders by 6 points, 50% to 44%, with 5% undecided.
Wisconsins demographics bode well for Sanders, who has enjoyed his strongest wins in states with a
low percentage of minorities and lopsided support for him among young voters. He leads Clinton 67%
to 29% in the 18-34 age group and ties her at 48% among voters 35-54. As in other primaries
Emerson College has polled, he trails her by large margins with older voters: 63% to 31% (ages 55-
74) and 73% to 19% (ages 75 and up). Less than 10% of the states Democratic voters are African
American or Latino, groups that have supported Clinton very heavily in other states.
http://media.wix.com/ugd/3bebb2_73d4ad9247704c9488a764acae6f7767.pdf
Barack_America
(28,876 posts)This is fantastic news for Sanders.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)Barack_America
(28,876 posts)You may be pretty close to the actual result with that!
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)Barack_America
(28,876 posts)DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)Bernie Sanders can be the president of Utah.
That's as close as the Vermont independent will come to being president of anything.
woolldog
(8,791 posts)DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)Some people puzzle me... X insults Y, what does X expect Y to do?
Do they expect Y to say to himself or herself that they are a pinata or a punching bag?
angrychair
(8,691 posts)Will be Queen of cell block A or otherwise known as "Inmate 98533275"
Ned_Devine
(3,146 posts)...he/she declared Bernie wouldn't win a single state about five months ago. I take what he/she says and put it right in the circular file.
oberliner
(58,724 posts)The Utah caucus was open to independents and other non-Democrats who were not polled.
Dawson Leery
(19,348 posts)workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)DanTex
(20,709 posts)bigtree
(85,986 posts)MadBadger
(24,089 posts)My guess is/was 55-45 running up a huge Margin in Dane County.
Though maybe I'm overestimating his support in Milwaukee County, where there is a good amount of African Americans.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)MadBadger
(24,089 posts)And I laughed at that poll.
I don't buy this one, though he definitely won't do what he needs.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)I don't know why folks think HRC won't do well in NY...Closed primary...Very Diverse electorate... She was a popular senator...
MadBadger
(24,089 posts)And those numbers seem right. I just don't see her winning NY like she did SC.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)CT is a push and she's a -8 favorite in CA., just my opinion.
I only did the bigger states...
Well, DE is not big !!!
MadBadger
(24,089 posts)Dawson Leery
(19,348 posts)She won Florida and Texas by that amount? So why not New York?
Ellipsis
(9,124 posts)OkSustainAg
(203 posts)Wisconsin is Open. So with Independents, It puts Bernie as winning.
KingFlorez
(12,689 posts)Milwaukee County could give her a narrow win statewide.
Kittycat
(10,493 posts)So, are we to expect the same thing happening with polls closing up despite extended hours? Polls closing after hours of waiting without ballots showing up? Hours and hours throughout the day without ballots? The in one county the judge orders voting on Monday because it was so bad, the the AG gets involved and argues against it to "maintain election integrity"? Because that is was happened in IL. And it was a 2pt win
Dawson Leery
(19,348 posts)She is doing better in the rural areas in WI than in other states, according to the polls.
GOTV.
alcibiades_mystery
(36,437 posts)Clenis Interruptus?
Full room fever?
Wolves?
PeaceNikki
(27,985 posts)alcibiades_mystery
(36,437 posts)PeaceNikki
(27,985 posts)Cal Carpenter
(4,959 posts)Aside from one exception, all polls in WI so far have shown a Hillary lead - generally a bigger one than this. If this poll shows anything (and that is a big if), it is that her lead has been gradually shrinking. And given the disparity between polls and actual results throughout this primary season, it doesn't tell us much more than that (ie what the result of the actual primary will be).
redstateblues
(10,565 posts)Bluenorthwest
(45,319 posts)The OP shows a 6 point Clinton advantage when Nate is citing an advantage of over 20 points. What has been said is that it was deeply in Hillary's pocket. It is not so deeply ensconced it seems.
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/primary-forecast/michigan-democratic/
Agschmid
(28,749 posts)Response to DemocratSinceBirth (Original post)
Post removed
NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)Does that mean I am doing something right?
NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)Unfortunately, with over 1200 individuals on "ignore", I get to avoid most of the rude and ugly comments and replies.
Case-in-point: At present, there are 36 replies to this OP, but I can only see 18 of them ... exactly half!
Putting individuals on ignore has its plus-sides and negative sides. I avoid seeing much of the hatred and attacks (good) but I also miss a lot of the unintentionally hilarious and absurd posts (bad).