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2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumNYT: Donald Trump’s Crucial Pillar of Support, White Men, Shows Weakness
http://www.nytimes.com/2016/08/19/us/politics/donald-trump-white-men.html?hp&action=click&pgtype=Homepage&clickSource=story-heading&module=first-column-region®ion=top-news&WT.nav=top-news&_r=0Donald J. Trumps support among white men, the linchpin of his presidential campaign, is showing surprising signs of weakness that could foreclose his only remaining path to victory in November.
If not reversed, the trend could materialize into one of the most unanticipated developments of the 2016 presidential campaign: That Hillary Clinton, the first woman at the head of a major party ticket and a divisive figure unpopular with many men, ends up narrowing the gender gap that has been a constant of American presidential elections for decades.
Surveys of voters nationwide and in battleground states conducted over the last two weeks showed that Mr. Trump was even with or below where Mitt Romney, the Republican Party nominee four years ago, was with white men when he won that demographic by an overwhelming 27 percentage points.
For Mr. Trump, who has staked much of his legitimacy as a candidate on his strength in the polls, the numbers are a dose of cold, dangerous math. If he does not perform any better than Mr. Romney did with white men, he will almost certainly be unable to rally the millions of disaffected white voters he says will propel him to the White House.
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I have a question about this, and I don't mean to sound naive... are there really enough white male voters, especially the disaffected type, to outnumber white women and minorities of both genders?
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NYT: Donald Trump’s Crucial Pillar of Support, White Men, Shows Weakness (Original Post)
GreenEyedLefty
Aug 2016
OP
To answer your question - No, I don't think Trump has enough support...
Cracklin Charlie
Aug 2016
#2
Thanks! I didn't think so, but the article made it seem like Trump has a chance
GreenEyedLefty
Aug 2016
#4
underpants
(182,604 posts)1. Okay Don, you need to perform with men better
You know what to do.
Cracklin Charlie
(12,904 posts)2. To answer your question - No, I don't think Trump has enough support...
Of any gender, race, or level of disaffectedness to get elected President of the United States.
Go, Hillary!
GreenEyedLefty
(2,073 posts)4. Thanks! I didn't think so, but the article made it seem like Trump has a chance
I suppose he does on paper but that doesn't match up with the reality on the ground.
Man, we have got to get out the vote. Trump must be humiliated and repudiated, and we need the House back!
Kber
(5,043 posts)3. This makes me feel good. :)