Ignore the LA Times Poll that Has Trump up 45-43
The LA Times polls have been outliers throughout this whole cycle. While the LA Times poll has Trump +2, four other recent polls have Clinton +5, +6, +9 and +6. And every LA Time poll has exhibited this pattern.
If you want to really track this election and understand what the numbers are saying, follow BTRTN (Born To Run The Numbers). You won't get caught up in any single poll. BTRTN aggregates and explains and also offers a bunch of funny commentary. This is their latest on the electoral college....
http://www.borntorunthenumbers.com/2016/08/btrtn-50-state-electoral-snapshot-2.html
...and on the Senate:
http://www.borntorunthenumbers.com/2016/08/btrtn-latest-senate-rack-up-as-close-as.html
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That USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times Poll is also very much tilted to the right (USC is a very conservative school), so I can imagine who the permanent panel of this particular poll is polling along with their "weird" methodology of how they come up with these numbers, especially in a state like California where tRump will get his ever-loving racist and ignorant clock cleaned come November 
