2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumFlorida Poll: Trump: 43% Clinton: 41%
BOCA RATON, Fla. (August 24, 2016) Republican nominee Donald Trump
leads Democrat Hillary Clinton in Florida 43 to 41 percent, with Libertarian Gary
Johnson taking 8 percent and 5 percent undecided, according to a new survey by the
Florida Atlantic University Business and Economics Polling Initiative (FAU BEPI).
In the Florida race for the U.S. Senate, Democrat Patrick Murphy and Republican
Marco Rubio lead by wide margins before their respective party primaries on Tuesday,
Aug. 30, with Rubio leading Murphy 44 percent to 39 percent in a potential general
election matchup in November.
For the presidential race, both candidates are underwater in terms of their
favorability ratings in Florida. Trump scores a 41 percent favorable and 56 percent
unfavorable rating, while Clinton has 40 percent favorable and 58 percent unfavorable
rating. Clinton, meanwhile, has a loyalty score of 90 percent (those who have a favorable
opinion and are voting for her), while Trump has a loyalty score of 94 percent. Trump
leads among males 46 percent to 36 percent, but trails Clinton among women 45 percent
to 41 percent. Independents are voting for Trump by a wide margin of 47 percent to 26
percent.
Trump leads among white voters 49 to 33 percent, but trails with African
Americans 68 to 20 percent, as well as Hispanics 50 to 40 percent.
https://politicalwire.com/2016/08/24/state-poll-roundup-wednesday-3/
Trump is getting 20% of the African-American and 40% of the Hispanic vote and HRC leads among women by only 4? I think this poll is crap, but we'll see how other polls show the race in Florida in the coming days.
Renew Deal
(81,852 posts)And Trump isn't even good on Cuba policy for those that want an embargo. He was for opening it up.
riversedge
(70,180 posts)Godhumor
(6,437 posts)So, it is a poll with a corrective consistent lean (I.e it is useful for trending. In this case, Florida has been pretty stable, according to FAU, since January.
voteearlyvoteoften
(1,716 posts)This is an outlier
Liberal_Stalwart71
(20,450 posts)Motley13
(3,867 posts)Fl Atlantic Univ has Trump ahead by 2 - they used robocalls
Rubio 44, Murphy 39
St Leo Univ (never heard of it) has Clinton ahead by 14 - used an online survey
Rubio 46, Murphy 38
VOTE
molova
(543 posts)Thanks for noting that stat, which casts doubt on the poll.
JCMach1
(27,555 posts)I don't believe she is up by 12, but this poll is off its rocker
ProudToBeBlueInRhody
(16,399 posts)Sorry.