2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forum*****BREAKING***** Clinton Leads Trump by 13 Points Among Registered Voters
Hillary Clinton has a 13-point lead over Donald Trump among registered voters. Forty-eight percent of American voters say they would vote for Clinton if the election were being held today, compared to 35% who would vote for Trump. Two percent of voters volunteer that they would vote for Libertarian Gary Johnson, while another 5% volunteer that they would vote for some other candidate and 10% offered no opinion.
Clinton has stronger support among Democrats than Trump has among Republicans. Nearly nine in ten (88%) Democratic voters say they would vote for Clinton if the election were held today, while eight in ten (80%) Republican voters say they would vote for Trump. Among independent voters, Clinton leads Trump by seven points (40% vs. 33%, respectively); however, 4% of independent voters are supporting Johnson, 9% are supporting some other candidate, and 13% of independent voters offer no opinion.
Trump holds a five-point lead over Clinton among white voters (44% vs. 39%, respectively). Black and Hispanic voters, in contrast, strongly prefer Clinton over Trump. Two-thirds (67%) of Hispanic voters and 85% of black voters say they would vote for Clinton if the presidential election were held today...
http://www.prri.org/research/lgbt-2016-presidential-election/
MoonRiver
(36,926 posts)riversedge
(70,084 posts)also.
I agree to a degree--the smears may not work but just too early to say.
MoonRiver
(36,926 posts)We still don't know when this poll was conducted.
Johnny2X2X
(18,970 posts)Good news, but I am not familiar with this polling firm.
And the Clinton Foundation is a winning topic for Clinton, I hope they keep talking about it.
Funtatlaguy
(10,862 posts)Are they considered reputable?
Johnny2X2X
(18,970 posts)No rating from 538, but 538 has listed them before as well as RCP.
+12 in Reuters. +13 in PRRI. Yougov came out +3 yesterday, but they've leaned way Right for the whole cycle.
Funtatlaguy
(10,862 posts)NBC has her up 8....sounds about right.
Johnny2X2X
(18,970 posts)But so is the Reuters poll that has her up 12.
The Wapo Poll is A+ rated and had her up 8 last it was published. Her lead is likely 8-10 points.
Adrahil
(13,340 posts)which currently shows her up about 7 points. Sounds about right, though I'm still amazed that anything like that percentage would actually vote for that festering pile of orange shit.
amuse bouche
(3,657 posts)KewlKat
(5,624 posts)can anyone point that out for me?
riversedge
(70,084 posts)Lots has happened since this poll taken (assume it is the same poll).
............The nonpartisan PRRI conducted the LGBT Issues and the 2016 Election Survey among 2,014 Americans between August 10-16, 2016. Just 11 weeks ahead of the election, the survey examines attitudes on a number of gay, lesbian, bisexual, and transgender issues and the 2016 presidential race.
http://www.prri.org/press-release/new-poll-majority-americans-oppose-laws-requiring-transgender-individuals-use-bathrooms-corresponding-sex-birth-rather-gender-identity/
KewlKat
(5,624 posts)has been saying nor his "reboot, shakeup attempt"
I would be more curious to see a recent survey and how this compares.....thanks for the information!
Laura PourMeADrink
(42,770 posts)says Registered voters - think most polls switching to likely. makes a difference.
riversedge
(70,084 posts)Thinkingabout
(30,058 posts)The larger lead and win by Hillary is a good goal.
riversedge
(70,084 posts)riversedge
(70,084 posts)EricMaundry
(1,619 posts)Laura PourMeADrink
(42,770 posts)imagine how they can co-exist right now. Gives credence to the idea that two things happening. One, with KellyAnn, to save face from a landslide. And the other to position for a media endeavor post-election.
KewlKat
(5,624 posts)The nonpartisan PRRI conducted the LGBT Issues and the 2016 Election Survey among 2,014 Americans between August 10-16, 2016. Just 11 weeks ahead of the election, the survey examines attitudes on a number of gay, lesbian, bisexual, and transgender issues and the 2016 presidential race.
Laura PourMeADrink
(42,770 posts)tightening and Hillary is not expanding her lead and won't up to election
writes3000
(4,734 posts)The whole world is hanging on every headline.
Most people aren't following that closely. But they are starting to commit to their gut instincts. That's great for us.
mcar
(42,278 posts)Moostache
(9,895 posts)Glad to see the polling numbers, but all I could think of during the accompanying video was the goosebumps on my skin from Houston's performance and the pit in my stomach knowing that she died from addiction and self-inflicted behaviors that robbed us of one of the truly great singers of all-time way too soon.
The polls are lagging indicators too...the numbers we see today are the reflection of the Trumpster fire immediately following the conventions. He will rise in the coming weeks if he stays out of the controversy headlines game, but I doubt he can control himself long enough to sustain any gains...he loses the popular vote by 5-8 points and the EC by nearly 100 votes IMO...IF, AND ONLY IF we get out the vote on election day.
Powdered Toast Man
(381 posts)The media needs a race for ratings... Cue the Hillary attacks in 3...2...1...
secondwind
(16,903 posts)Basement Beat
(659 posts)The part of America that would truly vote for Trump is a very, very, ugly part of this country that historically tends to get too much of a "pass" through "free speech" and built-in privileges.