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book_worm

(15,951 posts)
Fri Aug 26, 2016, 10:34 AM Aug 2016

New Mason-Dixon Florida Poll: HRC: 44% Trump: 42%

Here we go again. Democrat Hillary Clinton holds a slim 44%-42% lead over Donald Trump in Florida, with Libertarian Gary Johnson drawing 6%, Green Party candidate Jill Stein getting 2% and 6% still undecided.

The race in Florida clearly divides along the traditional demographic lines. Clinton leads among Democrats (83%-7%), women (51-37%), blacks (91%-5%), Hispanics (63%-27%) and in Southeast Florida (56%-31%).

Trump is ahead with Republicans (78%-10%), unaffiliated voters (44%-30%), men (47%-36%) and non-Hispanic whites (54%-29%). Trump has very strong support in North Florida (52%-33%) and Southwest Florida (52%-35%).

The battleground once again is in the I-4 corridor. The race in that area is essentially tied, with Clinton leading 44%-40% in the Tampa Bay region and Trump leading 46%-42% in Central Florida.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2016/Mason_Dixon_FL_Aug_2016.pdf

7 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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New Mason-Dixon Florida Poll: HRC: 44% Trump: 42% (Original Post) book_worm Aug 2016 OP
That 36-point lead among Hispanics for HRC is sure better book_worm Aug 2016 #1
36 points seems high, but 10 seems low democrattotheend Aug 2016 #5
Was the second worst pollster in 2012 (only beating Gallup) nt geek tragedy Aug 2016 #2
Too close...nt helpisontheway Aug 2016 #3
I think Florida will be close book_worm Aug 2016 #4
I am not worried Demsrule86 Aug 2016 #6
I'm in TB. Raissa Aug 2016 #7

book_worm

(15,951 posts)
1. That 36-point lead among Hispanics for HRC is sure better
Fri Aug 26, 2016, 10:36 AM
Aug 2016

than the 10-point lead that Chamber of Commerce FL poll from yesterday gave her.

democrattotheend

(11,605 posts)
5. 36 points seems high, but 10 seems low
Fri Aug 26, 2016, 10:53 AM
Aug 2016

The Florida Hispanic vote is not as Democratic as the Hispanic vote nationwide, because Cubans tend to be more Republican.

Demsrule86

(68,456 posts)
6. I am not worried
Fri Aug 26, 2016, 11:04 AM
Aug 2016

I think in the end Florida goes for Hillary. Howeve, the map is different. Hillary could lose both Ohio and Florida and still win.

Raissa

(217 posts)
7. I'm in TB.
Fri Aug 26, 2016, 11:30 AM
Aug 2016

The divide is clearly visible but I know persoonally that the ground game here is damned good. Stones are not being left unturned.

It will be a close race here but I believe we have the components in place to pick up Florida.

As a note I've now seen Trump's ad about five times total. I've seen three of Hillary's TODAY. Those percentage points will matter here.

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