2016 Postmortem

Recursion

(56,582 posts) Fri Aug 26, 2016, 11:00 AM Aug 2016

Ha! Even Rasmussen can't get Clinton less than +4 in head-to-heads

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2016/white_house_watch

Clinton 42, Trump 38, Johnson 9, Stein 2

Clinton leads the under-40 crowd by 15 (!) and ties Trump among voters 40 and over (and Rasmussen's turnout model has tended to over-weigh older voters in Presidential years anyways...)

Meanwhile, Quin. puts Clinton at +10 in a head-to-head, +7 in a four-way (polls that include third party candidates have historically overstated those candidates' support):

https://www.qu.edu/images/polling/us/us08252016_U88mxwn.pdf

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Ha! Even Rasmussen can't get Clinton less than +4 in head-to-heads (Original Post) Recursion Aug 2016 OP

And with those numbers JustAnotherGen Aug 2016 #1

JustAnotherGen

(31,780 posts)

1. And with those numbers

Reply to Recursion (Original post)

Fri Aug 26, 2016, 11:19 AM

Aug 2016

They won't acknowledge that Jill Stein is not on the ballot in all 50 states. I think Johnson has about 5 states left to go.

That depresses Stein's numbers - even if her supporters stay home or opt to not vote in the Presidential election but vote down ballot/local elected officials.

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