2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumDo you think Immigration reform has a better chance with Kevin McCarthy than it ever did with Cantor
I'm not usually one to speculate on Republican politics, but it seems to me that if Kevin McCarthy ever wants to rise to higher office in CA, whether its US Senator or Governor, then he must know that immigration reform is the only path to get there.
Don't get me wrong, I'm convinced he's still a right wing tool, and maybe he's already resigned himself that he's still unelectable outside of Bakersfield, and only padding his resume until he can take up a lucrative lobbying job in DC.
They way I see it, if any Republican wants a hair's chance at replacing our two vacating CA US Senators, or Jerry Brown, they have to support real immigration reform. With Diane Feinstein, Barbara Boxer, and Jerry Brown approaching their last years in office, CA conservatives have to be idiots not to moderate their positions. Those three major offices could firmly stay in Democratic hands for another generation.
Which is perfectly fine by me, but not very smart politics on part of CA Republicans. Any CA Republican who doesn't see this as a key opportunity to revive their dying party is blinded by this tea party shit.
question everything
(47,444 posts)Republicans will run as far away as they can from this topic.
What will happen after the elections is a different matter.
HooptieWagon
(17,064 posts)So there's currently no difference. However, weaker GOP leadership and deepening civil war in the GOP improve Democratic chances of recapturing the House in '16, thus improving future chances of immigration redform passing.
Rosa Luxemburg
(28,627 posts)brooklynite
(94,384 posts)Dreaming is nice, but I prefer to live in the real world. We'll probably hold the Senate (with fewer seats), but every House candidate I've talked to admits we won't take the House in 2014.