2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumBecause sending in military advisers has never ended badly...
Barack Obama: U.S. to send up to 300 military advisers to IraqWhat. The. Fuck.
Let the wretches fight it out.
Iraq is not Germany or Japan. It is not a country with any general sense of nationalism, but one fabricated by the British and French, who just drew lines in the sand. It is the fools crawling out of the woodwork now who want endless war and think we can impose democracy in regions with massive ethnic and religious divisions. Saddam was contained - his economy was in shambles and his military crippled - and Iraq was absolutely no threat to the United States. We have already screwed it up enough.
And why are we going into Iraq again? So we can show everyone else how far we can piss.
villager
(26,001 posts)n/t
EEO
(1,620 posts)Unfortunately, money from the oil industry wants to keep it that way for the foreseeable future. And the military industrial complex doesn't mind that at all.
villager
(26,001 posts)And they are all about the "control"
phleshdef
(11,936 posts)...illusion that we are doing something.
EEO
(1,620 posts)... it wouldn't be the first time we lacked foresight (and in this case the hindsight of recent and not so recent history) and it bit us in the ass.
CTyankee
(63,901 posts)I think he can understand the limits of "military adivsors" and the risks thereto. He gets that. That's why they are called "advisers." And I don't think Obama believes in "imposing democracy." He's holding the line, really, against ISIS. I don't see your "endless war" scenario at all.
It may be that those advisers tell Obama that Iraq as a single country simply cannot work. Then they come home...
Louisiana1976
(3,962 posts)Benton D Struckcheon
(2,347 posts)Obama ain't Bush. This is a point that seems lost on a segment of the posters here when looking at foreign policy issues.
Iraq isn't Vietnam either, for the simple reason the Sunnis lack the manpower to take over the country against any sort of determined opposition by the Shia. They can hold the north, but there is no way they have anything approaching the force needed to invade and hold Shia territory in the south.
This is just Obama holding the line so as to keep things down at the level of a dull roar. Nothing else.
CTyankee
(63,901 posts)would come in Europe...but not here...sheesh, what a crap shoot this is...
EEO
(1,620 posts)but we have seen in the past how quickly events can overtake us and catch us by surprise. If Obama really thinks the current Iraqi crisis requires a political solution it seems odd that he would send military advisers rather than seasoned diplomats and statesmen. A move meant to "hold the line" for the sake of keeping up images can have unintended consequences. I do not think it is worth the risk to even crack the door open to military assistance, because those who want us back in Iraq will try to kick it open.
Frankly, I do not understand the lack of concern and I would certainly not characterize what is going on as a "dull roar."
CTyankee
(63,901 posts)in this effort? I think he is. It would be impossible for him not to. He's not GWB. We gotta give the guy a little credit...
EEO
(1,620 posts)a slippery slop we cannot control and unwittingly recommitting ourselves to Iraq militarily. It is folly to gloss over the fact we are sending special operations forces to be assigned to locations in Baghdad and individual brigade headquarters' throughout Iraq, putting them in harms way. We are also conducting surveillance of the situation in coordination with the Iraqis, and this could lead to the beginning of airstrikes. Here is an excerpt from an article in yesterday's NYT:
Other advisers will staff two joint operations centers, which will be used to collate and share intelligence with Iraqi officers, and to do joint planning so that Iraqi forces can better pursue Sunni militants. One will be in Baghdad and the other in northern Iraq, expected in Kurdistan.
Oh, and we are doing Iran a huge favor even sticking our noses into the situation to begin with, seeing as they are so close to the current government in Iraq. You seem to give Obama a little too much credit, and I hope you are not someone who believes he can do no wrong. We must learn from the lessons of the past, not fail to see how its lessons may be applied in the present.
CTyankee
(63,901 posts)We voted for the guy. He inherited the mess of Iraq. I think you are right to point out the obvious pitfalls of his decision. My guess is that, among all the terrible decisions he could make, this was the least terrible. But I agree, it ain't good. Nothing about the situation is good. Iraq has been effed up since it was formed by colonial powers in the first place.
But again, we Dems had a choice in 2008 to elect our party's candidate to be POTUS. As such, we took a chance that once he got there, he might see things differently, and probably confronting facts he didn't have before. I don't recall anyone on DU accurately predicting what just happened in Iraq over the past week or so. Altho I think it would be helpful to go back and read what Biden was saying about the sectioning of Iraq way back when (in the 2008 primaries?). I plan on doing just that...
From what I have read, it seems a good bet that Iraq will not be the Iraq we knew in a few short years, or maybe months. Then other decisions will have to be made. My further guess is that the White House is now looking at a number of different scenarios developing rapidly.
blkmusclmachine
(16,149 posts)CTyankee
(63,901 posts)At a certain point we have to give him the benefit of the doubt. Otherwise, why should we vote at all?
EEO
(1,620 posts)And I am disturbed by the notion a vote for the president should mean we give him a pass.
CTyankee
(63,901 posts)I supported Clinton for both terms of his presidency. I thought he was majorly wrong in two areas: DADT and Rwanda. I disagreed that he was pursuing the right policy. As such, I was gratified when he himself publicly came out and said he made mistakes in both decisions....
Paladin
(28,246 posts)It's a sad thing to be placing one's hopes on the current Iraqi leadership, but that's where Obama has put me. I'm praying that the Iraqi big shots continue to be stupid and stubborn, unwilling to make any compromises which might lead to peace. I hope the Iraqi "army" leaves its weapons where they dropped them, in the midst of their massive, full-scale retreat from a small number of revolutionaries. Anything to get us out of there and keep it that way.
Again I ask: Hillary Clinton, are you taking good notes on all this? This is what it looks like, when a Democratic president really fucks up.
EEO
(1,620 posts)Not one just pretending to be liberal. The Hillary Clinton of the 1990s no longer exists.
EEO
(1,620 posts)No U.S. troops to be sent into Iraq... except these 300 hundred special ops people...
quadrature
(2,049 posts)we should be helping the Kurds
EEO
(1,620 posts)And hung them out to dry following Operation Desert Storm.