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Ipsos/Reuters Clinton 46 Sanders 25 Biden 19. (Original Post) DanTex Oct 2015 OP
The recent polls do seem to be converging and the small differences are within the MOE. DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2015 #1
C'mon 2019! onehandle Oct 2015 #2
Great news. Thanks oasis Oct 2015 #3
Without Biden she's still hovering around the 60% mark she started at. BlueWaveDem Oct 2015 #4
LOL ... I just read a thread where supporters of a certain candidate ... 1StrongBlackMan Oct 2015 #6
That was based on the logic that her support with Hispanics was imploding because of a small sample. DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2015 #7
Damn ... 1StrongBlackMan Oct 2015 #9
The average of all polls Dawson Leery Oct 2015 #11
I don't find being tied in the demographic that are least engaged in the electoral propcess ... 1StrongBlackMan Oct 2015 #13
Yup, unfortunately the 18-29 group is the least reliable voting bloc. BlueWaveDem Oct 2015 #16
I was talking to BabyGirl 1SBM about this the other day ... 1StrongBlackMan Oct 2015 #17
Go Hillary! Metric System Oct 2015 #5
Good numbers. hrmjustin Oct 2015 #8
So Bernie is slowly fading away. Dawson Leery Oct 2015 #10
Bernie is beating Hillary 29% to 14% among Independents Bernblu Oct 2015 #12
That accounts for 19 states ... 1StrongBlackMan Oct 2015 #14
Kick & recommended. William769 Oct 2015 #15

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,706 posts)
1. The recent polls do seem to be converging and the small differences are within the MOE.
Fri Oct 2, 2015, 01:04 PM
Oct 2015

WoW, and Trump is still ascendant.

onehandle

(51,122 posts)
2. C'mon 2019!
Fri Oct 2, 2015, 01:04 PM
Oct 2015

That's the year that anyone will have even a chance to catch up to Hillary at this rate.

Probably Biden.

 

1StrongBlackMan

(31,849 posts)
6. LOL ... I just read a thread where supporters of a certain candidate ...
Fri Oct 2, 2015, 01:34 PM
Oct 2015

were telling Biden to go away. I don't think they would like the polling if he did ... there would be at least two themes that would no longer applied: the one about HRC's support among Black folks imploding and HRC's, general, falling back to the field.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,706 posts)
7. That was based on the logic that her support with Hispanics was imploding because of a small sample.
Fri Oct 2, 2015, 01:39 PM
Oct 2015

That was based on the logic that her support with Hispanics was imploding because of a small sample in a poll published months ago.

A look at the results on pg 18 should disabuse anybody of that notion:

https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/0xv2459omk/econTabReport.pdf

 

1StrongBlackMan

(31,849 posts)
9. Damn ...
Fri Oct 2, 2015, 02:24 PM
Oct 2015

that survey doesn't look good for Bernie:

https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/0xv2459omk/econTabReport.pdf

It doesn't have him up in a single demographic ... and the only groups that he is even "close" are 18-29 (at -6) and White folks (at -10)

And: https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/0xv2459omk/econTabReport.pdf

He doesn't far any better against Biden.

 

1StrongBlackMan

(31,849 posts)
13. I don't find being tied in the demographic that are least engaged in the electoral propcess ...
Fri Oct 2, 2015, 03:39 PM
Oct 2015

and losing in all others, as a sign for encouragement.

 

1StrongBlackMan

(31,849 posts)
17. I was talking to BabyGirl 1SBM about this the other day ...
Fri Oct 2, 2015, 04:05 PM
Oct 2015

For the first 15 years of her life, we left a bit early for daycare, then, school, on the first Tuesday in November because I took her with me to the polls ... Her mother has voted in every election ... She is well read, politically informed and issue involved ...

Yet, she is NOT registered to vote.

I guess there is truth to the phrase: "With age comes wisdom."

I have asked her how she plans to effect change within this system without participating in the system.

She responds: the system is broken (I, largely, agree)

I ask, "Are you and your generation ready to rip shit up?"

She says, "Not really; but we do want a change."

I have told her, and her friends, she can't have it both ways ... if you want change, you either have to vote for change or rip shit up.

While I have my preference ... I'm getting old and it is becoming her world.

Bernblu

(441 posts)
12. Bernie is beating Hillary 29% to 14% among Independents
Fri Oct 2, 2015, 03:15 PM
Oct 2015

A good poll for Hillary but if you look deeper into the poll you'll see that Hillary's lead 46%-25% is among only Democrats. Among Independents Bernie leads Hillary 29%-14%.

This means two things: 1) Bernie is doing better than the top line number in states that have open primaries and 2) Bernie will do better in a general election. When the independents are included, Hillary's lead shrinks to 38% to 26%.

I am surprised at how weak Hillary is among Independents.

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