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Erich Bloodaxe BSN

(14,733 posts)
Fri Oct 2, 2015, 01:13 PM Oct 2015

Hillary Clinton's support from black voters plunges in a new poll.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2015/10/01/hillary-clintons-support-from-black-voters-plunges-in-a-new-poll/?postshare=4081443797590956

Over the course of the still-awfully young Democratic primary season, one demographic split has been repeated over and over again: Non-whites have consistently been more supportive of Hillary Clinton than whites.

That's one reason that Bernie Sanders's strength in Iowa and New Hampshire isn't as worrisome as it might otherwise be for Clinton backers; in states with less-heavily white populations -- a.k.a. most of the rest of the country -- Clinton should conceivably do better.

A new poll from Suffolk University and USA Today, though, suggests a big shift among African Americans that could undermine that confidence. We have to note up front that this is one poll, with large margins of error on black responses. That said, the shift is surprising.


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Hillary Clinton's support from black voters plunges in a new poll. (Original Post) Erich Bloodaxe BSN Oct 2015 OP
"Large margins of error". Ok. BlueWaveDem Oct 2015 #1
I believe something like 100 African Americans were polled. Metric System Oct 2015 #2
She's losing women also. She's losing people to Bernie who didn't know him sabrina 1 Oct 2015 #3
The shift is more than surprising hedda_foil Oct 2015 #4
New national Pew poll is out energy_model Oct 2015 #5

sabrina 1

(62,325 posts)
3. She's losing women also. She's losing people to Bernie who didn't know him
Fri Oct 2, 2015, 02:21 PM
Oct 2015

before, minorities, women, even moderate Repubs whose first reaction was to the word 'socialist' until they looked deeper, listened to him and admitted, 'I have to admit, I agree with this guy on some major issues, and for the first time I may not vote for a Republican'.

AAs are finding out about him and rallying to his support, forming support groups, volunteering to get his message, which they are saying, is 'impressive on Civil Rights' to more people.

OF course that is why the whole smear campaign playing the race card was initiated, to prevent people from LOOKING at his Civil Rights record.

Assuming people are not capable of thinking for and speaking for themselves, is hugely offensive, but then political operatives never worry about how offensive they are.

hedda_foil

(16,368 posts)
4. The shift is more than surprising
Fri Oct 2, 2015, 03:40 PM
Oct 2015

More ...

Since the last Suffolk poll in July, the overall race has tightened. Clinton still leads, but by less than she used to. Now notice how big the drop among black Democrats is on the chart below.

We've added bars that show the 10 percent margin of error for the group, showing how much variability is at play. But even so, it's a giant drop-off. Among white Democrats, Clinton is doing nine points worse since July. With black Democrats, this poll has her down 31

.
https://img.washingtonpost.com/wp-apps/imrs.php?src=&w=1484


The number of undecided voters doubled between the two polls, which is also noteworthy. Voters who are changing their minds about whom to support often make a waystation in the "undecided" category rather than switching immediately from one candidate to the next.

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